Next game
at Southern Arkansas
Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 pm ET
Wilkins Stadium · series 5-0, won the last 5
Ouachita Baptist 93% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Ouachita Baptist
5-2Great American · Cliff Harris Stadium · 3,060 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 62-10 vs Arkansas Monticello
Our model gave Ouachita Baptist 93% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Henderson State 60%
Win out 47% · expect 3.4 of 4 more wins
Ouachita Baptist's chance to win each game left, from our model: Southern Arkansas 93%, Northwestern (OK) 97%, Southwestern Oklahoma State 87%, Henderson State 60%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Southern Arkansas · our model 93% Ouachita Baptist
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Ouachita Baptist · 2026 schedule and results5-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 53%.Our rank entering each game: #302 to #307
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #302 | #339 | — | East Central | L 17-27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #304 | #367 | — | @Southeastern Oklahoma State | W 23-17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #306 | #359 | — | @Arkansas Tech | W 34-17 | 2-1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #308 | #271 | — | Harding | L 27-28 | 2-2 | 2-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #301 | #391 | — | @Oklahoma Baptist | W 35-21 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #306 | #389 | — | Southern Nazarene | W 49-14 | 4-2 | 4-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #307 | #390 | — | Arkansas Monticello | W 62-10 | 5-2 | 5-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #309 | #369 | @Southern Arkansas | 3:30 pm ET93% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #308 | #395 | @Northwestern (OK) | 2 pm ET97% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Southwestern Oklahoma State | 2 pm ET87% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Henderson State | 2 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Ouachita Baptist, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Ouachita Baptist: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Ouachita Baptist has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Streak W3Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Ouachita Baptist · 2026
Range of outcomes · Ouachita Baptist · 2026Ouachita Baptist’s most likely regular season is 9-2. 90% of outcomes land from 8-3 to 9-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 9%; 8 wins 44%; 9 wins 47%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor7-5Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base9-3Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-2
Game feel54even gamescombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 12 in the Great American
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 7)8th most one-score games of 12 in the Great American
Margin+16.1comfortableavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 12 in the Great American
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Great American teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Ouachita Baptist is the D2 powerhouse that began on September 17, 1897—the first college football game ever played in Arkansas—and has been the purple-and-gold heartbeat of Arkadelphia for 130 years.
Title DroughtSince 2011 · 15 yrs
Fans here believe ouachita Baptist has no external chip. The Tigers' driving force is internal: the belief that 130 years of sustained football excellence—including being the first program to ever…
Game day
The experience
Ouachita Baptist is the D2 powerhouse that began on September 17, 1897, the first college football game ever played in Arkansas, and has been the purple-and-gold heartbeat of Arkadelphia for 130 years.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site