Next game
at East Central
Sat Oct 24 · 4 pm ET
Koi Ishto Stadium · series 2-3, won the last 2
Southwestern Oklahoma State 33% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Southwestern Oklahoma State
2-4-1Great American · Milam Stadium · 8,600 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 0-0 vs Southern Nazarene
Our model gave Southwestern Oklahoma State 88% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Ouachita Baptist 13%, East Central 33%
Win out 3% · expect 2.1 of 4 more wins
Southwestern Oklahoma State's chance to win each game left, from our model: East Central 33%, Arkansas Monticello 79%, Ouachita Baptist 13%, Northwestern (OK) 88%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at East Central · our model 33% Southwestern Oklahoma State
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Southwestern Oklahoma State · 2026 schedule and results2-4-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 55%.Our rank entering each game: #353 to #346
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #353 | #350 | — | @Arkansas Tech | L 20-26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | |
| 2 | Sep 10 | #358 | #270 | — | Harding | L 14-37 | 0-2 | 0-2 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #358 | #369 | — | Southeastern Oklahoma State | L 21-27 | 0-3 | 0-3 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #361 | #391 | — | @Oklahoma Baptist | W 28-7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #356 | #330 | — | @Henderson State | L 33-38 | 1-4 | 1-4 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #349 | #363 | — | Southern Arkansas | W 28-18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #346 | #393 | — | Southern Nazarene | T 0-0 | 2-4-1 | 2-4 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #353 | #341 | @East Central | 4 pm ET33% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #353 | #383 | Arkansas Monticello | time TBA79% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Ouachita Baptist | 2 pm ET13% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Northwestern (OK) | 4 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Southwestern Oklahoma State, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Southwestern Oklahoma State: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Southwestern Oklahoma State has won two of its last five.
4-5 over the last 10, and tied the last one.
Streak T1Last 5 · 2-2Last 10 · 4-5
Range of outcomes · Southwestern Oklahoma State · 2026
Range of outcomes · Southwestern Oklahoma State · 2026Southwestern Oklahoma State’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 96% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 2%; 3 wins 17%; 4 wins 51%; 5 wins 27%; 6 wins 3%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base4-8Mid-table finish.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-4
Game feel42rock fightscombined pts / game12th highest-scoring of 12 in the Great American
Heart rate0-3some dramain one-score games (3 of 7)4th most one-score games of 12 in the Great American
Margin-1.3competitiveavg scoring margin6th best margin of 12 in the Great American
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Great American teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Southwestern Oklahoma State is the Bulldogs back from a decade in the desert—2025 brought the first winning season since 2015, a 6-5 record and a perfect in-state sweep.
Title DroughtSince 2015 · 11 yrs
Fans here believe southwestern Oklahoma State has no chip against anyone. The motivation is internal—the desire to prove that 2025 was the beginning of a climb, not a one-year blip.
Game day
The experience
Southwestern Oklahoma State is the Bulldogs back from a decade in the desert—2025 brought the first winning season since 2015, a 6-5 record and a perfect in-state sweep.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site