Next game
vs Lock Haven
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET · on WKBN-TV
Mihalik-Thompson Stadium · series 1-0
Slippery Rock University 94% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Slippery Rock University
7-0Pennsylvania State Athletic · Mihalik-Thompson Stadium · 10,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 42-26 at IU Pennsylvania
Our model gave Slippery Rock University 81% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Every game left is at least 90%
Win out 83% · expect 3.8 of 4 more wins
Slippery Rock University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Lock Haven 94%, Clarion 91%, Edinboro 97%, Lackawanna >99%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Lock Haven · our model 94% Slippery Rock University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Slippery Rock University · 2026 schedule and results7-0Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 46%.Our rank entering each game: #310 to #303
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | #310 | #289 | — | Minnesota Duluth | W 45-43 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #311 | #351 | — | @East Stroudsburg | W 59-35 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #311 | #411 | — | @Millersville | W 70-10 | 3-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #311 | #364 | — | @California (PA) | W 41-26 | 4-0 | 3-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #303 | #403 | — | Gannon | W 49-10 | 5-0 | 4-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #305 | #375 | — | Seton Hill | W 59-14 | 6-0 | 5-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #303 | #336 | — | @IU Pennsylvania | W 42-26 | 7-0 | 6-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #297 | #354 | Lock Haven | 1 pm ET · WKBN-TV94% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #297 | #368 | @Clarion | 12 pm ET91% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Edinboro | 4 pm ET97% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Lackawanna | 1 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Slippery Rock University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Slippery Rock University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Slippery Rock University has won seven straight.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last seven.
Streak W7Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · Slippery Rock University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Slippery Rock University · 2026Slippery Rock University’s most likely regular season is 11-0. 99% of outcomes land from 10-1 to 11-0.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
10 wins 16%; 11 wins 83%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor10-2Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base12-0Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 7-0
Game feel76shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Heart rate1-0rarely closein one-score games (1 of 7)12th most one-score games of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Margin+28.7comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Pennsylvania State Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Slippery Rock is the PSAC West's defining power — an 88-25 record and five conference titles under Shawn Lutz prove that 'The Rock' is built for winning.
Standard Gap88 wins in 11 seasons, five PSAC West championships, six NCAA playoff…
Slippery Rock fans know their program is elite, 88 wins and five PSAC titles prove it, but the national media overlooks The Rock because it's not Kutztown or a Power-Five school.
Game day
The experience
Slippery Rock is the PSAC West's defining power — an 88-25 record and five conference titles under Shawn Lutz prove that 'The Rock' is built for winning.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site