Next game
at Slippery Rock
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET · on WKBN-TV
Mihalik-Thompson Stadium · series 0-1
Lock Haven 6% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Lock Haven
4-3Pennsylvania State Athletic · Hubert Jack Stadium · 3,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 35-42 vs Edinboro
Our model gave Lock Haven 83% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Slippery Rock 6%
Win out <1% · expect 1.4 of 4 more wins
Lock Haven's chance to win each game left, from our model: Slippery Rock 6%, California (PA) 59%, Seton Hill 53%, East Stroudsburg 21%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Slippery Rock · our model 6% Lock Haven
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Lock Haven · 2026 schedule and results4-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 46%.Our rank entering each game: #361 to #344
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #361 | #407 | — | @Shippensburg | W 24-16 | 1-0 | 1-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #361 | #390 | — | @American International | L 14-21 | 1-1 | 1-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #371 | #279 | — | Kutztown | L 20-35 | 1-2 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #367 | #405 | — | @Gannon | W 24-14 | 2-2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #366 | #370 | — | Clarion | W 38-35 | 3-2 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #362 | #322 | — | @IU Pennsylvania | W 35-20 | 4-2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #344 | #377 | — | Edinboro | L 35-42 | 4-3 | 4-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #354 | #297 | @Slippery Rock | 1 pm ET · WKBN-TV6% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #354 | #356 | California (PA) | 6 pm ET59% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Seton Hill | 1 pm ET53% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | East Stroudsburg | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Lock Haven, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Lock Haven: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Lock Haven has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Lock Haven · 2026
Range of outcomes · Lock Haven · 2026Lock Haven’s most likely regular season is 5-6. 91% of outcomes land from 4-7 to 6-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 14%; 5 wins 41%; 6 wins 35%; 7 wins 8%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Game feel53even gamescombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Heart rate2-2white-knucklein one-score games (4 of 7)2nd most one-score games of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Margin+1.0competitiveavg scoring margin9th best margin of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Pennsylvania State Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Lock Haven enters the 2026 season at 4-3.
2026 Record4-3
Game day
The experience
Lock Haven is the Pennsylvania State Athletic program known for the bald eagles.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site