Next game
vs IU Pennsylvania
Sat Oct 24 · 5 pm ET
Adamson Stadium · series 3-2, last win 2024
California (PA) 48% to win · our ratings after 7 games
California (PA)
4-3Pennsylvania State Athletic · Adamson Stadium · 6,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 26-20 at Clarion
Our model gave California (PA) 31% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Lock Haven 41%, IU Pennsylvania 48%, Bloomsburg 50%
Win out 7% · expect 2.1 of 4 more wins
California (PA)'s chance to win each game left, from our model: IU Pennsylvania 48%, Lock Haven 41%, Gannon 74%, Bloomsburg 50%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs IU Pennsylvania · our model 48% California (PA)
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
California (PA) · 2026 schedule and results4-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51%.Our rank entering each game: #365 to #360
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #365 | #303 | — | Charleston (WV) | W 49-24 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #363 | #412 | — | @Millersville | W 40-17 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #364 | #356 | — | @Shepherd | L 7-28 | 2-1 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #364 | #311 | — | Slippery Rock | L 26-41 | 2-2 | 1-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #361 | #388 | — | @Seton Hill | L 0-29 | 2-3 | 1-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #370 | #373 | — | Edinboro | W 30-20 | 3-3 | 2-3 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #360 | #365 | — | @Clarion | W 26-20 | 4-3 | 3-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #356 | #336 | IU Pennsylvania | 5 pm ET48% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #356 | #354 | @Lock Haven | 6 pm ET41% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Gannon | 12 pm ET74% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Bloomsburg | 12 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for California (PA), through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for California (PA): a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
California (PA) has won two of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · California (PA) · 2026
Range of outcomes · California (PA) · 2026California (PA)’s most likely regular season is 6-5. 89% of outcomes land from 5-6 to 7-4.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 4%; 5 wins 22%; 6 wins 39%; 7 wins 28%; 8 wins 7%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Game feel51even gamescombined pts / game11th highest-scoring of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Heart rate1-0rarely closein one-score games (1 of 7)14th most one-score games of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Margin-0.1competitiveavg scoring margin10th best margin of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Pennsylvania State Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
California (PA) enters the 2026 season at 4-3.
2026 Record4-3
Game day
The experience
California (PA) is the Pennsylvania State Athletic program known for the vulcans.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site