Next game
at East Stroudsburg
Sat Oct 24 · 1:05 pm ET
Eiler-Martin Stadium · series 4-1
Shepherd University 29% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Shepherd University
5-2Pennsylvania State Athletic · Ram Stadium (WV) · 5,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 21-27 vs Bloomsburg
Our model gave Shepherd University 85% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: East Stroudsburg 29%, IU Pennsylvania 60%
Win out 14% · expect 2.7 of 4 more wins
Shepherd University's chance to win each game left, from our model: East Stroudsburg 29%, Shippensburg 85%, Lackawanna 99%, IU Pennsylvania 60%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at East Stroudsburg · our model 29% Shepherd University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Shepherd University · 2026 schedule and results5-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 48%.Our rank entering each game: #347 to #328
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #347 | #336 | — | Frostburg State | W 34-26 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #352 | #409 | — | Gannon | W 45-28 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #356 | #364 | — | California (PA) | W 28-7 | 3-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #352 | #281 | — | @Kutztown | L 18-28 | 3-1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #341 | #408 | — | Millersville | W 35-7 | 4-1 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #336 | #368 | — | @West Chester | W 28-14 | 5-1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #328 | #370 | — | Bloomsburg | L 21-27 | 5-2 | 4-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #331 | #321 | @East Stroudsburg | 1:05 pm ET29% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #331 | #389 | @Shippensburg | 1 pm ET85% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Lackawanna | 12 pm ET99% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @IU Pennsylvania | 2 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Shepherd University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Shepherd University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Shepherd University has won three of its last five.
8-2 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · Shepherd University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Shepherd University · 2026Shepherd University’s most likely regular season is 8-3. 95% of outcomes land from 7-4 to 9-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
6 wins 5%; 7 wins 32%; 8 wins 48%; 9 wins 14%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor7-5Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base9-3Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-2
Game feel49rock fightscombined pts / game12th highest-scoring of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Heart rate1-1some dramain one-score games (2 of 7)11th most one-score games of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Margin+10.3comfortableavg scoring margin4th best margin of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Pennsylvania State Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Shepherd is the West Virginia PSAC anchor — a stable program under Ernie McCook that competes every year and represents Mountain State pride in a Northeastern conference.
Standard GapAn 8th-year HC with a 66–22 record and PSAC East championship history…
Shepherd fans know the PSAC is Pennsylvania's conference. Getting an 8-year stable HC and consistent winning is Shepherd's way of saying the Rams belong at the table, too.
Game day
The experience
Shepherd is the West Virginia PSAC anchor — a stable program under Ernie McCook that competes every year and represents Mountain State pride in a Northeastern conference.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site