Next game
at California (PA)
Sat Oct 24 · 5 pm ET
Adamson Stadium · series 2-3
IU Pennsylvania 52% to win · our ratings after 7 games
IU Pennsylvania
5-2Pennsylvania State Athletic · George P. Miller Stadium · 6,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 26-42 vs Slippery Rock
Our model gave IU Pennsylvania 19% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Shepherd 40%, California (PA) 52%, Clarion 64%
Win out 9% · expect 2.3 of 4 more wins
IU Pennsylvania's chance to win each game left, from our model: California (PA) 52%, Gannon 71%, Clarion 64%, Shepherd 40%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at California (PA) · our model 52% IU Pennsylvania
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
IU Pennsylvania · 2026 schedule and results5-2Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51%.Our rank entering each game: #320 to #336
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #320 | #282 | — | @Ashland | W 34-24 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #317 | #375 | — | @West Chester | W 27-21 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #320 | #407 | — | @Shippensburg | W 28-26 | 3-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #322 | #389 | — | Seton Hill | W 35-7 | 4-0 | 3-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #322 | #372 | — | @Edinboro | W 46-44 | 5-0 | 4-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #322 | #362 | — | Lock Haven | L 20-35 | 5-1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #336 | #303 | — | Slippery Rock | L 26-42 | 5-2 | 4-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #336 | #356 | @California (PA) | 5 pm ET52% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #336 | #387 | @Gannon | 12 pm ET71% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Clarion | 2 pm ET64% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Shepherd | 2 pm ET |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for IU Pennsylvania, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for IU Pennsylvania: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
IU Pennsylvania has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last two.
Streak L2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · IU Pennsylvania · 2026
Range of outcomes · IU Pennsylvania · 2026IU Pennsylvania’s most likely regular season is 7-4. 88% of outcomes land from 6-5 to 8-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 3%; 6 wins 18%; 7 wins 38%; 8 wins 32%; 9 wins 9%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor7-5Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base9-3Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-2
Game feel59even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Heart rate3-0some dramain one-score games (3 of 7)9th most one-score games of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Margin+2.4competitiveavg scoring margin8th best margin of 15 in the Pennsylvania State Athletic
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Pennsylvania State Athletic teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
IU Pennsylvania enters the 2026 season at 5-2.
2026 Record5-2
Game day
The experience
IU Pennsylvania is the Pennsylvania State Athletic program known for the crimson hawks.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site