Next game
at Kutztown
Sat Oct 24 · 12 pm ET
Andre Reed Stadium · series 1-4, lost the last 3
West Chester University 6% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Pennsylvania State Athletic · John A. Farrell Stadium · 7,500 seats
Next game
Sat Oct 24 · 12 pm ET
Andre Reed Stadium · series 1-4, lost the last 3
West Chester University 6% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Last game · Sat Oct 17
Our model gave West Chester University 91% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Kutztown 6%, Bloomsburg 39%, Gannon 63%
Win out 1% · expect 1.8 of 4 more wins
West Chester University's chance to win each game left, from our model: Kutztown 6%, Bloomsburg 39%, Shippensburg 76%, Gannon 63%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #367 | #418 | — | @Lincoln (PA) | W 21-13 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #375 | #317 | — | IU Pennsylvania | L 21-27 | 1-1 | 0-1 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #374 | #363 | — | @Edinboro | W 44-24 | 2-1 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #363 | #412 | — | Millersville | W 17-16 | 3-1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #364 | #353 | — | @East Stroudsburg | L 13-27 | 3-2 | 2-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #368 | #336 | — | Shepherd | L 14-28 | 3-3 | 2-3 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #367 | — | — | Lackawanna | W 52-0 | 4-3 | 2-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #361 | #292 | @Kutztown | 12 pm ET6% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #361 | #357 | @Bloomsburg | 2 pm ET39% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Shippensburg | 2 pm ET76% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Gannon | 12 pm ET |
Win chances are our model for West Chester University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for West Chester University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Range of outcomes · West Chester University · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 5%; 5 wins 29%; 6 wins 45%; 7 wins 20%; 8 wins 1%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Pennsylvania State Athletic teams the same season
West Chester is the PSAC power rebuilding under Duke Greco — a historic program in year three of a restoration toward championship contention.
Fans here believe west Chester was a PSAC program that mattered. Greco's hire signals the administration wants that status back. Year three is about proving the rebuild is real.
West Chester is the PSAC power rebuilding under Duke Greco — a historic program in year three of a restoration toward championship contention.
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.