Next game: at Florida Atlantic
UTSA’s best edge on Florida Atlantic is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
UTSA offense against Florida Atlantic defense
Florida Atlantic offense against UTSA defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Surgeon · +0.24 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 169 / 243 | 69.5 | 1751 #47 FBS | 7.2 | 10 #72 FBS | 4 | 140.4 | 25 | 50.7 | 6.8 | 4.0 | |
Yards by week → Pocket surgeonHigh-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation. Impact starter — 243 pass attempts and 42 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB McCown picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Jackson is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Completion %70.1% 88th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush usage14.7% bottom 25th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Owen McCown's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Merchant · +0.20 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 109 | 662 #35 FBS | 6.1 | 5 | 75 | 17.8 | 16.8 | |
Yards by week → Speed merchant· Boom-or-bustCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 109 carries and 14 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB III hits the crease and outruns the angle. White is the one who beats you as a runner and a receiver. Season receipt Yards / carry6.4 83th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception5.9 bottom 27th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Will Henderson III's full player page | ||||||||||
| Speed Merchant · +0.47 EPA/play | 28 | 8 | 57 | 354 | 6.2 | 10 #12 FBS | 53 | 12.7 | 10.9 | |
Yards by week → Speed merchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. 57 carries and 6 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Peterson hits the crease and outruns the angle. White is the one who beats you as a runner and a receiver. Season receipt Yards / carry6.7 89th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate17.5% 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View A'Marion Peterson's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.17 EPA/play | 10 | 8 | 63 | 289 | 4.6 | 3 | 25 | 11.3 | 6.5 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 63 carries and 5 catches in 8 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Brandon High's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.58 EPA/play | 15 | 7 | 25 | 347 | 13.9 | 2 | 62 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 25 catches in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View DJ Allen's full player page | ||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.31 EPA/play | — | 8 | 40 | 335 | 8.4 | 1 | 36 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Starter — 40 catches, 2 pass attempts and 1 carry in 8 games, more catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week. This week's matchup — WR II wins underneath on volume and route precision. Tipton is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Reception volume40 89th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception8.8 bottom 9th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View David Amador II's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.54 EPA/play | 14 | 8 | 29 | 317 | 10.9 | 3 | 46 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 29 catches and 3 carries in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Anderson moves the chains on third down. Tipton is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception11.2 bottom 26th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume29 62th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Mekhi Anderson's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.44 EPA/play | 84 | 8 | 21 | 276 | 13.1 | 1 | 40 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View AJ Wilson's full player page | ||||||||
| Red-Zone Weapon · +0.79 EPA/play | 89 | 7 | 11 | 108 | 9.8 | 3 | 25 | |
Yards by week → Red-zone weaponThe first read called near the goal line — size and catch radius do the rest. This week's matchup — TE Jr. is the first read once you cross the 20. Long is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt TD rate27.3% 98th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.8 80th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brandon Young Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| +0.21 EPA/play | 81 | 4 | 5 | 73 | 14.6 | 0 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.49 EPA/play | 19 | 3 | 5 | 55 | 11 | 0 | 14 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.30 EPA/play | 86 | 5 | 5 | 52 | 10.4 | 0 | 14 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | — | 8 | 21 | 8 | 3.5 | 1 | 7 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 21 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 55th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jeremiah Bailey's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 98 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight325 lb 93th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jameian Buxton's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 99 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate3.8% bottom 16th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tai Leonard's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 91 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight315 lb 86th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jusiah Sampleton's full player page | |||||||
| 95 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 94 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| 95 | — | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 23 | 8 | 56 | 25 | 31 | 2.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 56 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume56 85th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate4.5% bottom 25th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brandon Tucker Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 44 | 8 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 50 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 2-star, 2025 class View Darion White's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 2 | 8 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 37 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 85th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate10.8% 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Owen Pewee's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 26 | 8 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.4% 90th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Bryce Grays's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 34 | 6 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 79th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume23 bottom 20th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View James Walley Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 53 | 6 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume20 bottom 16th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Eze Osondu's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 32 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume19 bottom 14th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Elijah Baldwin's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 1 | 8 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate27.8% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume18 bottom 13th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Camron Cooper's full player page | |||||||||
| 24 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 31 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 22 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 31 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Elijah Newell's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 14 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 31 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Joel Rogers's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 11 | 8 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Cam Upshaw Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 17 | 7 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'3" 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Asaad Chapman's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 13 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'3" 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View RJ Lester's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 20 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 2 #51 FBS | 0.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Zach Morris's full player page | |||||||
| 25 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Press Corner | 18 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Press corner· Takeaway threatLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'2" 87th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ahamad Chapman's full player page | |||||||
| 27 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 29 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 92 | 8 | 11/14 | 78.6 | 32/32 | 65 | 53 |
| 46 | 1 | 1/1 | 100 | 0/0 | 3 | 43 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 30 | 8 | 31 | 1278 | 41.2 | 59 | 11 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.17 EPA/play | 10 | 8 | 6 | 143 | 23.8 | 0 | 37 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.31 EPA/play | — | 8 | 13 | 109 | 8.4 | 0 | 21 |
Biggest plays from UTSA’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in UTSA’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:15 · UTSA down 1, takes the leadA'Marion Peterson runs 1 yard for a touchdownSouth Florida at UTSA, week 6Q4, 0:15 · UTSA 31, South Florida 240:15Go-ahead touchdown for UTSA with 0:15 left0:15Go-ahead touchdown for UTSA with 0:15 leftGo-ahead touchdown for UTSA with 0:15 leftA'Marion Peterson 1 yd Run (Owen McCown Pass to David Amador II for Two-Point Conversion)▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 3:13 · UTSA down 7, ties itA'Marion Peterson runs 53 yards for a touchdownSouth Florida at UTSA, week 6Q1, 3:13 · UTSA 7, South Florida 75353-yard touchdown run5353-yard touchdown run53-yard touchdown runA.Peterson rush middle for 53 yards gain to the USF00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 0:11 · South Florida breaks the tieMichael Van Buren Jr. finds Bryson Rodgers for a 42-yard touchdownSouth Florida at UTSA, week 6Q1, 0:11 · South Florida 14, UTSA 7South Florida took the lead in the first quarterSouth Florida took the lead in the first quarterBryson Rodgers 42 yd pass from Michael Van Buren Jr. (Nico Gramatica Kick)▶Watch from this play- Q1, 10:27 · South Florida tiedD.J. Crowther runs 15 yards for a touchdownSouth Florida at UTSA, week 6Q1, 10:27 · South Florida 7, UTSA 0South Florida opened the scoringSouth Florida opened the scoringD.Crowther rush middle for 15 yards gain to the UTSA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q4, 1:56 · South Florida down 6, takes the leadSouth Florida scores a touchdownSouth Florida at UTSA, week 6Q4, 1:56 · South Florida 24, UTSA 231:56Go-ahead touchdown for South Florida with 1:56 left1:56Go-ahead touchdown for South Florida with 1:56 leftGo-ahead touchdown for South Florida with 1:56 leftM.Van Buren Jr. pass complete short left to D.Crowther caught at UTSA06, for 11 yards to the UTSA00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 13:34 · Texas tiedArch Manning finds Cam Coleman for a 24-yard touchdownUTSA at Texas, week 3Q1, 13:34 · Texas 7, UTSA 0Texas opened the scoringTexas opened the scoringA.Manning pass complete short middle to C.Coleman caught at UTSA10, for 24 yards to the UTSA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
UTSA lost 1 of 8 games, none after a real lead; the closest win was against South Florida, down to 14%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave UTSA during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · UTSA
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · UTSABrandon Tucker Jr. leads UTSA with 56 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+22 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
UTSA fields a strong methodical, ball-control offense behind a leaky defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
UTSA reads strongest in rushing EPA (top 12%) and field position (O) (top 15%); the crux lives in rushing EPA allowed, where UTSA sits at the 9th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
UTSA is worth +7.5 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 97th percentile of 133 programs
73% at home, 45% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (35-13 home, 23-28 away). Interval ±3.9.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, UTSA has beaten the number by +5.6 more at home than away over 106 games. That is inside the ±5.7 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Alamodome seats 36,582 and has averaged 68% full (24,926, 30 games reported). Visitors cover a median 504 miles to get here since 2018 — 49th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 22% of the 2026 roster (34 of 155 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 55 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- UnderdogDavid Amador II produces at a notably higher rate when his team is an underdog than when favored, and his per-target value rises too, not just raw catches.
- Money downDevin Mccuin is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Deep threatDavid Amador II is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatDevin Mccuin is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatHouston Thomas is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatJamel Hardy is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Will Henderson III and Brandon High split the carries (107/169 vs 62/169) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Brandon High produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
David Amador II (WR) and Brandon Young Jr. (TE) split the targets (54/66 vs 12/66) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Brandon Young Jr. produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How UTSA actually scores
72nd percentile quality, 20th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
UTSA’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 96th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 93rd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does UTSA hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
91st percentile success on standard downs, 33rd on passing downs — a 58-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
UTSA by half
1st-half offense ranks 63rd percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 83rd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of UTSA’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.22; 72nd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.07. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.51 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How UTSA’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), UTSA’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (70.5% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 217-play sample) — mid-pack, 122 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), UTSA’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (62.8% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 177-play sample) — mid-pack, 7 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 55% of the fumbles they've forced — running hot vs. the ~48% league rate.
6 of 11 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 25% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~18% league rate.
7 interceptions of 28 disrupted passes (21 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Losing the penalty battle: 65 penalties committed vs. 69 drawn on opponents, a 89-yard deficit.
644 penalty yards committed vs. 555 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · UTSA
Most similar programs · UTSAReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
UTSA’s breakout has happened before — and the 4 closest all held onto theirs.
Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.