Washington

2-0Coaches #24

Big Ten · Jedd Fisch, year 3 (17-11) · Husky Stadium · 70,138 · 66,604 avg in 2026

The nationCoaches #24
The model#29 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #29 (+12.0) · FPI #44
The marketno line yetvs Eastern Washington · our model 97% Washington · a number, not a pick

LastW 16–14 vs Utah State · Sat Sep 12 · Alex McLaughlin 2 sacks, 2 TFL, 1 INT

Nextvs Eastern Washington · Sat Sep 19 · 7:15 pm ET · Husky Stadium · series 3-0, won the last 3 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
20.0
Pts allowed/game
12.0
Total yards/gm#91 / 138 · 34th pct
379.0
Rush yards/gm#111 / 138 · 20th pct
120.5
Pass yards/gm#55 / 138 · 61st pct
258.5
Yards allowed/gm#32 / 138 · 77th pct
256.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#38 / 138 · 73rd pct
87.5
SacksT-#20 / 138 · 80th pct
6
InterceptionsT-#1 / 115 · 98th pct
5
3rd-down convT-#101 / 138 · 26th pct
34.5%
All 89 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
758379.0/gm5.49/play#91 / 138 · 34th pct#53 / 69 · 24th pct#13 / 18 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
513256.5/gm4.50/play#32 / 138 · 77th pct#29 / 69 · 59th pct#10 / 18 · 47th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
241120.5/gm1.75/play#111 / 138 · 20th pct#60 / 69 · 14th pct#14 / 18 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
17587.5/gm1.54/play#38 / 138 · 73rd pct#30 / 69 · 57th pct#5 / 18 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6231.0/gmT-#115 / 138 · 16th pctT-#58 / 69 · 15th pctT-#13 / 18 · 28th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6030.0/gmT-#32 / 138 · 76th pctT-#24 / 69 · 64th pct#4 / 18 · 81st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
31.5/gmT-#77 / 138 · 34th pctT-#45 / 69 · 28th pctT-#10 / 18 · 39th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 69 · 64th pctT-#4 / 18 · 67th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
517258.5/gm3.75/play#55 / 138 · 61st pct#35 / 69 · 50th pct#10 / 18 · 47th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
338169.0/gm2.96/play#46 / 138 · 67th pct#34 / 69 · 51st pct#12 / 18 · 36th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
7638.0/gmT-#24 / 138 · 82nd pctT-#10 / 69 · 84th pctT-#4 / 18 · 78th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5427.0/gmT-#47 / 138 · 66th pctT-#31 / 69 · 55th pctT-#13 / 18 · 28th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
5025.0/gmT-#26 / 138 · 81st pctT-#11 / 69 · 84th pct#5 / 18 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3316.5/gmT-#50 / 138 · 60th pctT-#31 / 69 · 51st pctT-#11 / 18 · 36th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
10.5/gmT-#114 / 138 · 11th pctT-#60 / 69 · 8th pctT-#14 / 18 · 17th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#45 / 138 · 57th pctT-#29 / 69 · 46th pctT-#7 / 18 · 50th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating#99 / 115 · 14th pct#56 / 59 · 6th pct#15 / 16 · 9th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
114.1114.1
Interceptions thrown
Team
00.0/gmT-#92 / 138 · 17th pctT-#42 / 69 · 20th pctT-#10 / 18 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#135 / 138 · 1st pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#18 / 18 · 3rd pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Sacks (def)
Team
63.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 69 · 78th pctT-#3 / 18 · 78th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#33 / 138 · 67th pctT-#20 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#4 / 18 · 64th pct#2 / 11 · 91st pct
Tackles for loss
Team
168.0/gmT-#18 / 138 · 86th pctT-#10 / 69 · 84th pct#2 / 18 · 92nd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
73.5/gmT-#30 / 138 · 76th pctT-#18 / 69 · 70th pctT-#6 / 18 · 64th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3819.0/gmT-#97 / 138 · 29th pctT-#56 / 69 · 18th pct#13 / 18 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3216.0/gmT-#46 / 138 · 65th pctT-#35 / 69 · 48th pctT-#8 / 18 · 56th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
105.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 44th pctT-#42 / 69 · 35th pctT-#11 / 18 · 36th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#12 / 138 · 86th pctT-#10 / 69 · 80th pct#2 / 18 · 92nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2914.5/gmT-#34 / 138 · 72nd pctT-#13 / 69 · 78th pctT-#3 / 18 · 81st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2211.0/gmT-#13 / 138 · 89th pctT-#4 / 69 · 94th pct#3 / 18 · 86th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
00.0/gmT-#114 / 138 · 9th pctT-#52 / 69 · 13th pctT-#14 / 18 · 14th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#7 / 18 · 56th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
31.5/gmT-#66 / 138 · 41st pctT-#35 / 69 · 43rd pctT-#11 / 18 · 36th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 74th pctT-#10 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#5 / 18 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
64:2132:10/gm#49 / 138 · 65th pct#23 / 69 · 67th pct#7 / 18 · 64th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
55:3927:50/gm#40 / 138 · 71st pct#23 / 69 · 67th pct#7 / 18 · 64th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.38 EPA/play1250 / 7665.8517
#40 FBS
6.810127.35450.76.72.6
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.57 EPA/play82711616.6035
Possession Receiver · +0.04 EPA/play22141007.1018
Complete TE · +0.70 EPA/play8528708.8019
+0.19 EPA/play8627466.6015

2026 stat leaders · Washington

through 2 games

Alex McLaughlin leads Washington with 15 tackles through 2 games.

1. Alex McLaughlin S 15 tackles
2. Jacob Manu LB 13 tackles
3. Demond Williams Jr. QB 517 passing yards
4. Chris Lawson WR 116 receiving yards
5. Dylan Robinson CB 9 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Washington fields an elite offense behind an elite defense.

Offense
87th pct EPA/play
Defense
84th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Washington · 2025

Washington reads strongest in success rate (top 7%) and rushing epa (top 7%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Washington sits at the 48th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.29
87th
Success Rate +0.49
94th
Explosive Plays +1.25
49th
Rushing EPA +0.25
93rd

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.06
84th
Success Rate Allowed +0.38
79th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.25
56th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.19
65th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.41
84th
Rushing EPA Allowed -0.03
90th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 13 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Washington · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Washington is worth +4.3 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 56th percentile of 133 programs

79% at home, 54% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (37–10 home, 19–16 away). Interval ±3.5.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Washington has beaten the number by +3.9 more at home than away over 71 games — inside the ±6.3 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Husky Stadium seats 70,138 and has averaged 96% full (67,455, 28 games reported). Visitors face the 9th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 706 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads middle of fbs. 23% of the 2026 roster (23 of 99 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 53 home games since 2018.

Home37–10Away19–16Edge+4.3 ±3.5Visitor trip706 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Washington hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

81st percentile success on standard downs, 4th on passing downs — a 77-point gap between the two.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantWashingtonWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i18th standard · 41st passingUNLV51st standard · 7th passingStanford76th standard · 15th passingEastern Michigan52nd standard · 10th passingSan José State54th standard · 22nd passingNew Mexico State45th standard · 75th passingSacramento State23rd standard · 14th passingOklahoma State41st standard · 49th passingDuke20th standard · 29th passingFlorida State28th standard · 65th passingRutgers30th standard · 71st passingKansas70th standard · 35th passingBoston College27th standard · 56th passingNorfolk State16th standard · 9th passingLouisville96th standard · 70th passingMissouri36th standard · 85th passingMemphis69th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Southern24th standard · 45th passingOle Miss94th standard · 50th passingJacksonville State65th standard · 82nd passingNorth Dakota State86th standard · 27th passingArizona92nd standard · 86th passingUSC97th standard · 99th passingWake Forest56th standard · 97th passingTCU93rd standard · 8th passingDelaware70th standard · 31st passingUAB65th standard · 81st passingMichigan State62nd standard · 29th passingSouth Florida91st standard · 52nd passingFlorida International46th standard · 43rd passingNavy98th standard · 59th passingWisconsin13th standard · 18th passingOregon State10th standard · 38th passingSyracuse48th standard · 64th passingOhio State90th standard · 40th passingBall State12th standard · 24th passingPittsburgh30th standard · 76th passingColorado35th standard · 77th passingGeorgia Tech58th standard · 44th passingAuburn75th standard · 55th passingBaylor40th standard · 96th passingNorth Texas49th standard · 68th passingApp State44th standard · 90th passingIowa State4th standard · 23rd passingUTSA99th standard · 29th passingArkansas60th standard · 80th passingBoise State58th standard · 46th passingOregon35th standard · 33rd passingTulsa56th standard · 1st passingTulane31st standard · 2nd passingPurdue83rd standard · 88th passingMiddle Tennessee87th standard · 68th passingVanderbilt80th standard · 12th passingSan Diego State4th standard · 40th passingLSU33rd standard · 98th passingClemson1st standard · 19th passingCentral Michigan16th standard · 6th passingTexas Tech88th standard · 48th passingMichigan2nd standard · 62nd passingWestern Michigan39th standard · 20th passingOhio38th standard · 17th passingBuffalo7th standard · 14th passingTexas72nd standard · 94th passingCoastal Carolina61st standard · 52nd passingColorado State82nd standard · 91st passingWyoming65th standard · 36th passingTexas A&M85th standard · 72nd passingLiberty14th standard · 59th passingFlorida Atlantic43rd standard · 87th passingLouisiana19th standard · 92nd passingSouth Alabama50th standard · 73rd passingTroy22nd standard · 59th passingSam Houston78th standard · 61st passingNevada77th standard · 52nd passingWestern Kentucky25th standard · 34th passingWashington State8th standard · 3rd passingWashington81st standard · 4th passingCalifornia9th standard · 25th passingCharlotte73rd standard · 83rd passingTennessee65th standard · 78th passingUtah State4th standard · 93rd passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
App State44th90th
Arizona92nd86th
Arkansas60th80th
Auburn75th55th
Ball State12th24th
Baylor40th96th
Boise State58th46th
Boston College27th56th
Buffalo7th14th
California9th25th
Central Michigan16th6th
Charlotte73rd83rd
Clemson1st19th
Coastal Carolina61st52nd
Colorado35th77th
Colorado State82nd91st
Delaware70th31st
Duke20th29th
Eastern Michigan52nd10th
Florida Atlantic43rd87th
Florida International46th43rd
Florida State28th65th
Georgia Southern24th45th
Georgia Tech58th44th
Hawai'i18th41st
Iowa State4th23rd
Jacksonville State65th82nd
Kansas70th35th
LSU33rd98th
Liberty14th59th
Louisiana19th92nd
Louisville96th70th
Memphis69th65th
Michigan2nd62nd
Michigan State62nd29th
Middle Tennessee87th68th
Missouri36th85th
Navy98th59th
Nevada77th52nd
New Mexico State45th75th
Norfolk State16th9th
North Dakota State86th27th
North Texas49th68th
Ohio38th17th
Ohio State90th40th
Oklahoma State41st49th
Ole Miss94th50th
Oregon35th33rd
Oregon State10th38th
Pittsburgh30th76th
Purdue83rd88th
Rutgers30th71st
Sacramento State23rd14th
Sam Houston78th61st
San Diego State4th40th
San José State54th22nd
South Alabama50th73rd
South Florida91st52nd
Stanford76th15th
Syracuse48th64th
TCU93rd8th
Tennessee65th78th
Texas72nd94th
Texas A&M85th72nd
Texas Tech88th48th
Troy22nd59th
Tulane31st2nd
Tulsa56th1st
UAB65th81st
UNLV51st7th
USC97th99th
UTSA99th29th
Utah State4th93rd
Vanderbilt80th12th
Wake Forest56th97th
Washington81st4th
Washington State8th3rd
Western Kentucky25th34th
Western Michigan39th20th
Wisconsin13th18th
Wyoming65th36th

Halftime identity

Washington by half

1st-half offense ranks 12th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 40th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.

league median1st half · 12th pctile2nd half · 40th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin
Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Washington’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Defense: Ryan Walters (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 47% → 2026: 53% · 7-pt range · #153 of 203 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2025: 44% → 2026: 33% · 11-pt range · #130 of 200 · a typical amount
4th-down go rate
2025: 36% → 2026: 27% · 8-pt range · #158 of 189 · less than most
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

Pass-depth identity

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), Washington’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (70.1% vs 68.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 68-play sample) — mid-pack, 30 of 41 qualifying offenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 59 claims, 59 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=68 short-zone plays, raw rate 72.1%
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Washington

CFB Zeitgeist

#29

+5.7

SP+

#29

+12.0

FPI

#44

+5.9

Elo

#20

1757

The national models put Washington between 20th and 44th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 29th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Washington

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

60°F average kickoff temp; 17% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.

Based on 82 home games with weather data.

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