USC: a football coaching history

Power Program I#13 of 138–
See USC’s full 91-year Zeitgeist History →
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Stature and coaches, 1936–2026

The program’s standing over time, with every coach’s tenure beneath it — read down to see who was there for each rise and fall.

DynastyBlue BloodPower ProgramNational ProgramRegional Program

Run↔pass identity, by season

No play-by-play coverage before 2004more passmore run200420062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
Program GOAT
Pete Carroll
2 Dynasty · 7 Blue-Blood seasons
The fall
Lane Kiffin
Blue Blood → Blue Blood (−13.2)
Right now
Lincoln Riley
the 10th-best of USC's 13 ranked coaches so far

Every coach

Big movers show how many stature points they built or lost against what they inherited; steadier tenures show the tier they reached instead. A small blue arrow marks a real System Shift at that changeover — how hard the offense’s run/pass identity flipped.

2022–now
Lincoln Riley Inheritor
Lincoln Riley inherited USC at Power Program I and kept it there.
2022 defense ranked in the 0th percentile nationally — historically bad
vs. Notre Dame
−2.7 pts over 5 seasons · top 48% of 3-5-season tenures (717 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Bill Doba’s Washington State run (2003–2007)

10th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Donte Williams (2021).

System Shift, on arrival
Season20222023202420252026Trend
Record & result
Record11-38-57-69-47-2
PostseasonL bowlW bowlW bowlL bowl—
Recruiting rank#70#8#17#14#1
Style — pass rate
Pass rate52.156.059.849.851.1
Coordinators
OCJosh HensonJosh HensonJosh HensonLuke HuardLuke Huard
DCAlex GrinchAlex Grinch / Brian Odom / Shaun NuaD'Anton Lynn / Eric HendersonD'Anton Lynn / Eric HendersonGary Patterson
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense9997719189
Defense010403331
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%48.951.652.543.944.5
Red-zone pass%48.344.153.042.346.7
4th-down go%opp. territory39.536.731.145.542.9
Recruiter or developer?

Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent
+24.6 pts
#23 of 208 · top quarter
Defense vs. talent
-42.5 pts
#208 of 208 · bottom quarter
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
77
3.4★ avg rating
Portal departures
127
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-50
#70 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
Bear Alexander On3 modeled · $1,500,000Jayden Maiava On3 modeled · $1,500,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in

Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 234 lbs
across 64 of 77 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+5.0 lbs
#102 of 255 · middle half
Avg. class year
Jr
#11 of 255 · top quarter
Top states: CA (20), AZ (5), TX (4), PA (3), FL (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
66.5
position-weighted
Talent lost
67.1
position-weighted
Net
-0.6
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Caleb Williams (QB) from Oklahoma
Biggest loss: Jaxson Dart (QB) to Ole Miss
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Josh Henson → Luke Huard · 2025The system held
84th pct90th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 52.0% → 44.2% (-7.8 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 37% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: D'Anton Lynn / Eric Henderson (co) → Gary Patterson · 2026
33rd pct31st pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
218 lbs
6′2″ avg · #245 of 767 · middle half
Running back
207 lbs
5′10″ avg · #401 of 791 · middle half
Wide receiver
196 lbs
6′0″ avg · #263 of 791 · middle half
Tight end
247 lbs
6′4″ avg · #298 of 731 · middle half
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
317 lbs
6′5″ avg · #101 of 779 · top quarter
D-line
295 lbs
6′4″ avg · #164 of 753 · top quarter
Linebacker
232 lbs
6′2″ avg · #218 of 772 · middle half
Cornerback
192 lbs
6′0″ avg · #293 of 771 · middle half
Safety
199 lbs
6′1″ avg · #134 of 346 · middle half
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
86%
#160 of 188 stints
Grows Tackle from high school
85%
#185 of 223 stints
Postseason detail2022: Lost to Tulane 45-46 Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic2023: Beat Louisville 42-28 DIRECTV Holiday Bowl2024: Beat Texas A&M 35-31 SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl2025: Lost to TCU 27-30 Valero Alamo Bowl

17 NFL Draft picks: Jordan Addison (2023), Tuli Tuipulotu (2023), Mekhi Blackmon (2023), Andrew Vorhees (2023), Caleb Williams (2024), Calen Bullock (2024), MarShawn Lloyd (2024), Jarrett Kingston (2024) + 9 more

7 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Caleb Williams (2022), Tuli Tuipulotu (2022), Andrew Vorhees (2022), Zachariah Branch (2023), Eddie Czaplicki (2024), Bishop Fitzgerald (2025), Makai Lemon (2025)

AI Narratives — “USC's Offseason Rebuild” and 3 more on the team page.

−2.7
42-20
2021
Donte Williams Short tenure
No outlier style signal this stint
vs. Notre Dame
3-7
2013 (1 game), 2015–2021
Clay Helton Inheritor
Clay Helton inherited the Trojans at Blue Blood and saw it slip to Power Program I.
No outlier style signal this stint
vs. Notre Dame
−5.8 pts over 6 seasons · bottom 17% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Tommy West’s Memphis run (2001–2009)

6th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Steve Sarkisian (2014–2015) · succeeded by Donte Williams (2021).

System Shift, on arrival
Season20132015201620172018201920202021Trend
Record & result
Record1-05-410-311-35-78-55-11-1
PostseasonW bowlL bowlW bowlL bowl—L bowl——
Recruiting rank—#2#10#4#4#20#55—
Style — pass rate
Pass rate—46.847.847.550.456.858.8—
Coordinators
OC—Clay Helton / Tee MartinTee MartinTee MartinTee MartinGraham HarrellGraham Harrell—
DC—Justin WilcoxClancy PendergastClancy PendergastClancy PendergastClancy PendergastTodd Orlando—
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense—728779468448—
Defense—655957511859—
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%—45.644.640.042.457.259.9—
Red-zone pass%—38.848.136.852.657.050.0—
4th-down go%opp. territory—50.021.639.132.520.050.0—
Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent
-1.8 pts
#118 of 208 · middle half
Defense vs. talent
-17.7 pts
#172 of 208 · bottom quarter
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Tee Martin → Graham Harrell · 2019The system held
62nd pct66th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 41.2% → 58.5% (+17.3 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 86% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2015: Lost to Wisconsin 21-23 National Funding Holiday Bowl2016: Beat Penn State 52-49 Rose Bowl Game Pres. By Northwestern Mutual2017: Lost to Ohio State 7-24 Bowl2019: Lost to Iowa 24-49 San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl

24 NFL Draft picks: Su'a Cravens (2016), Max Tuerk (2016), Cody Kessler (2016), Kevon Seymour (2016), Adoree' Jackson (2017), JuJu Smith-Schuster (2017), Zach Banner (2017), Leon McQuay III (2017) + 16 more

1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): Talanoa Hufanga (2020)

−5.8
46-24
2014–2015
Steve Sarkisian Short tenure
No outlier style signal this stint
vs. Notre Dame
12-6
2013
Ed Orgeron Short tenure
2013 defense ranked in the 97th percentile nationally — elite
vs. Notre Dame
6-2
2010–2013
Lane Kiffin Inheritor
Lane Kiffin inherited USC at Blue Blood and kept it there.
2013 defense ranked in the 97th percentile nationally — elite
vs. Notre Dame
−13.2 pts over 4 seasons · bottom 5% of 3-5-season tenures (717 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Darrell Hazell’s Purdue run (2013–2016)

4th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Pete Carroll (2001–2009) · succeeded by Ed Orgeron (2013).

System Shift, on arrival
Season2010201120122013Trend
Record & result
Record8-510-27-63-2
Postseason——L bowlW bowl
Recruiting rank#3#3#8#13
Style — pass rate
Pass rate48.753.354.042.1
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense59871983
Defense18305497
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%50.755.653.536.4
Red-zone pass%50.850.448.434.6
4th-down go%opp. territory48.827.045.519.6
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2012: Lost to Georgia Tech 7-21 Hyundai Sun Bowl

19 NFL Draft picks: Tyron Smith (2011), Jurrell Casey (2011), Shareece Wright (2011), Jordan Cameron (2011), Ronald Johnson (2011), Allen Bradford (2011), Stanley Havili (2011), David Ausberry (2011) + 11 more

−13.2
28-15
2001–2009
Pete Carroll Transformer
Pete Carroll took the Trojans from Power Program I to Blue Blood — 2 Dynasty seasons.
2005 offense ranked in the 100th percentile nationally — elite
vs. Notre Dame
+32.1 pts over 9 seasons · top 1% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Art Briles’s Baylor run (2008–2015)

1st-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Paul Hackett (1998–2000) · succeeded by Lane Kiffin (2010–2013).

System Shift, on departure
Season200120022003200420052006200720082009Trend
Record & result
Record6-611-212-113-012-111-211-212-19-4
PostseasonL bowlW bowlW bowlW bowlL bowlW bowlW bowlW bowlW bowl
Recruiting rank———#2#1#1#2#4#2
Style — pass rate
Pass rate———46.548.051.847.143.546.4
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense———7910085869776
Defense———861674989936
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%———50.357.561.249.153.145.7
Red-zone pass%———43.445.358.751.351.343.0
4th-down go%opp. territory———34.455.252.133.332.427.0
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2001: Lost to Utah 6-10 Bowl2002: Beat Iowa 38-17 Orange Bowl2003: Beat Michigan 28-14 Rose Bowl Presented By Citi2004: Beat Oklahoma 55-19 Orange Bowl2005: Lost to Texas 38-41 The Rose Bowl Game presented by Citi2006: Beat Michigan 32-18 Rose Bowl At Pasadena Ca2007: Beat Illinois 49-17 Bowl2008: Beat Penn State 38-24 The Rose Bowl Game Presented By Citi2009: Beat Boston College 24-13 Bowl

60 NFL Draft picks: Kris Richard (2002), Chris Cash (2002), Carson Palmer (2003), Troy Polamalu (2003), Justin Fargas (2003), Kareem Kelly (2003), Malaefou MacKenzie (2003), Kenechi Udeze (2004) + 52 more

+32.1
97-19
1998–2000
Paul Hackett Inheritor
Paul Hackett inherited USC at Power Program I and kept it there.
vs. Notre Dame
−5.2 pts over 3 seasons · bottom 35% of 3-5-season tenures (717 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Brent Guy’s Utah State run (2005–2008)

9th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed John Robinson (1993–1997) · succeeded by Pete Carroll (2001–2009).

Season199819992000Trend
Record & result
Record8-56-65-7
PostseasonL bowl——
Recruiting rank———
Style — pass rate
Pass rate———
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense———
Defense———
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%———
Red-zone pass%———
4th-down go%opp. territory———
Postseason detail1998: Lost to TCU 19-28 Bowl

13 NFL Draft picks: Chris Claiborne (1999), Daylon McCutcheon (1999), Larry Parker (1999), Rashard Cook (1999), Billy Miller (1999), R. Jay Soward (2000), Travis Claridge (2000), Windrell Hayes (2000) + 5 more

−5.2
19-18
1976–1982, 1993–1997
John Robinson Sustainer
John Robinson kept USC a national power for 7 seasons.
vs. Notre Dame
+5.0 pts over 12 seasons · bottom 20% of 10+-season tenures (202 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Lloyd Carr’s Michigan run (1995–2007)

3rd-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed John McKay (1960–1975) · succeeded by Ted Tollner (1983–1986) · returned in 1993, succeeding Larry Smith (1987–1992) · succeeded by Paul Hackett (1998–2000).

Season197619771978197919801981198219931994199519961997Trend
Record & result
Record11-18-412-111-0-18-2-19-38-38-58-3-19-2-16-66-5
PostseasonW bowlW bowlW bowlW bowl—L bowl—W bowlW bowlW bowl——
Recruiting rank————————————
Style — pass rate
Pass rate————————————
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense————————————
Defense————————————
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%————————————
Red-zone pass%————————————
4th-down go%opp. territory————————————
Postseason detail1976: Beat Michigan 14-6 Bowl1977: Beat Texas A&M 47-28 Bowl1978: Beat Michigan 17-10 Bowl1979: Beat Ohio State 17-16 Bowl1981: Lost to Penn State 10-26 Bowl1993: Beat Utah 28-21 Bowl1994: Beat Texas Tech 55-14 Bowl1995: Beat Northwestern 41-32 Bowl

64 NFL Draft picks: Ricky Bell (1977), Marvin Powell (1977), Gary Jeter (1977), Dave Lewis (1977), Shelton Diggs (1977), Donnie Hickman (1977), Vince Evans (1977), Mike Burns (1977) + 56 more

+5.0
104-35-4
1987–1992
Larry Smith Inheritor
Larry Smith inherited the Trojans at Power Program I and won with it.
vs. Notre Dame
+2.0 pts over 6 seasons · bottom 48% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Bob Davie’s New Mexico run (2012–2019)

7th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Ted Tollner (1983–1986) · succeeded by John Robinson (1993–1997).

Season198719881989199019911992Trend
Record & result
Record8-410-29-2-18-4-13-86-5-1
PostseasonL bowlL bowlW bowlL bowl—L bowl
Recruiting rank——————
Style — pass rate
Pass rate——————
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense——————
Defense——————
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%——————
Red-zone pass%——————
4th-down go%opp. territory——————
Postseason detail1987: Lost to Michigan State 17-20 Bowl1988: Lost to Michigan 14-22 Bowl1989: Beat Michigan 17-10 Bowl1990: Lost to Michigan State 16-17 Bowl1992: Lost to Fresno State 7-24 Bowl

20 NFL Draft picks: Erik Affholter (1989), Rodney Peete (1989), Chris Hale (1989), Junior Seau (1990), Mark Carrier (1990), Dan Owens (1990), Tim Ryan (1990), Bill Schultz (1990) + 12 more

+2.0
44-25-3
1983–1986
Ted Tollner Inheritor
Ted Tollner inherited the Trojans at Blue Blood and saw it slip to Power Program I.
vs. Notre Dame
−10.7 pts over 4 seasons · bottom 11% of 3-5-season tenures (717 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Jack Crowe’s Arkansas run (1990–1992)

5th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed John Robinson (1976–1982) · succeeded by Larry Smith (1987–1992).

Season1983198419851986Trend
Record & result
Record4-6-19-36-67-5
Postseason—W bowlL bowlL bowl
Recruiting rank————
Style — pass rate
Pass rate————
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense————
Defense————
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%————
Red-zone pass%————
4th-down go%opp. territory————
Postseason detail1984: Beat Ohio State 20-17 Bowl1985: Lost to Alabama 3-24 Bowl1986: Lost to Auburn 7-16 Bowl

14 NFL Draft picks: Keith Browner (1984), Fred Cornwell (1984), Tony Slaton (1984), Duane Bickett (1985), Ken Ruettgers (1985), Jack Del Rio (1985), Brian Luft (1985), James Fitzpatrick (1986) + 6 more

−10.7
26-20-1
1960–1975
John McKay Transformer
John McKay took USC from Power Program III to Blue Blood.
vs. Notre Dame
+32.9 pts over 16 seasons · top 7% of 10+-season tenures (202 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Barry Alvarez’s Wisconsin run (1990–2005, 2012 (1 game), 2014 (1 game))

2nd-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Don Clark (1957–1959) · succeeded by John Robinson (1976–1982).

Season1960196119621963196419651966196719681969197019711972197319741975Trend
Record & result
Record4-64-5-111-07-37-37-2-17-410-19-1-110-0-16-4-16-4-112-09-2-110-1-18-4
Postseason————————————W bowlL bowlW bowlW bowl
Recruiting rank————————————————
Style — pass rate
Pass rate————————————————
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense————————————————
Defense————————————————
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script
1st-down pass%————————————————
Red-zone pass%————————————————
4th-down go%opp. territory————————————————
Postseason detail1972: Beat Ohio State 42-17 Bowl1973: Lost to Ohio State 21-42 Bowl1974: Beat Ohio State 18-17 Bowl1975: Beat Texas A&M 20-0 Bowl
+32.9
127-40-8
1957–1959
Don Clark Steady
Don Clark slid the Trojans from Power Program II to Power Program III in 3 seasons.
vs. Notre Dame
−4.5 pts over 3 seasons · bottom 39% of 3-5-season tenures (717 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Rick Neuheisel’s Colorado run (1995–1998)

13th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Jess Hill (1951–1956) · succeeded by John McKay (1960–1975).

−4.5
13-16-1
1951–1956
Jess Hill Steady
Jess Hill moved the Trojans from Power Program III to Power Program II in 6 seasons.
vs. Notre Dame
+5.5 pts over 6 seasons · top 33% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Kevin Sumlin’s Texas A&M run (2012–2017)

12th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Jeff Cravath (1942–1950) · succeeded by Don Clark (1957–1959).

+5.5
45-17-1
1942–1950
Jeff Cravath Inheritor
Jeff Cravath inherited USC at Power Program I and saw it slip to Power Program III.
vs. Notre Dame
−5.6 pts over 9 seasons · bottom 19% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Scot Loeffler’s Bowling Green run (2019–2024)

11th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Followed Sam Barry (1941) · succeeded by Jess Hill (1951–1956).

−5.6
54-28-8
1941
Sam Barry Short tenure
vs. Notre Dame
2-6-1
1936–1940
Howard Jones Steady
Howard Jones held USC at Power Program I for 5 seasons.
vs. Notre Dame

8th-best USC tenure of 13 by the numbers.

Succeeded by Sam Barry (1941).