cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cameron Ward /Miami

Cameron Ward

QB · Miami · Sr · #1

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLTennessee — drafted 2025, No. 1 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

TennesseeEntering 2nd NFL season

#1Rd 1 · Pick 1
TennesseeEntering 2nd NFL season

QB · MIAMI · ACC

Cameron Ward

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-2 | 223 lb
  • West Columbia, TX

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#2

14.4% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

14.4%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

In contention

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 5 · Apex

R15 · POTY finalist

Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R15 POTY finalist · 2024

2022

Washington State · QB

2023

Washington State · QB

2024

Miami · QB

R15 · POTY finalist

Apex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2024
3,2182022
3,7322023
4,3132024

+34%

Up 34% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#773 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-2 | 223 lb
HometownWest Columbia, TX
Primary teamMiami

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 773 recruit
Composite rating 0.8659 HighSchool
Signed with Washington State 2021
Origin Eleanor Roosevelt Corona, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8659 No. 773 recruit | HighSchool | Washington State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Washington State 2022
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 11, 2021
Season Move Context
2022 Incarnate Word -> Washington State 4-star | 0.9300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2Where the full season sim points
Win probability14.4%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability73.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability100.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Washington State

Composite

0.8659

#773 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cameron Ward

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cameron Ward

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the transfer arc matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cameron Ward's path is unusually interesting because the candidacy survived movement. The page has 1 portal move on file, and national relevance after a change in program usually signals that role, fit, and surrounding ecosystem all amplified the player instead of merely carrying him.

Current place #2 14.4% win | 73.0% finalist
Role load 54.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 4,313 39 TD | 7 INT | #2/382 (100th pct)
Completion rate 67.2% 305/454 completions | #93/383 (76th pct)
Yards/attempt 9.5 Explosiveness through the air | #38/382 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientVertical threatDual-threat

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
305 98th
ATT
454 98th
CMP%
67.2% 76th
Y/A
9.5 90th

Passing Production

YDS
4,313 100th
TD
39 100th
INT
7 23rd

Rushing

CAR
60 75th
YDS
204 79th
YPC
3.4 58th
TD
4 82nd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Washington State7-6HC: Jake Dickert · Pass-leaning
2023Washington State5-7HC: Jake Dickert · Pass-leaning
2024Miami10-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2024Miami30545467.2%4,3139.5397172.2----
2023Washington State32448666.7%3,7327.7257145.3----
2022Washington State31949664.3%3,2186.5239130.5----
Career3 loaded seasons9481,43666.0%11,2637.88723148.7----
SeasonTeam
2024Miami602043.44--
2023Washington State1201221.08--
2022Washington State106700.75--
Career3 loaded seasons2863961.417--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 204 4 rush TD | #85/408 (79th pct)
Usage 54.8% 91.8% pass share | 9.2% rush share | #44/428 (90th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.62 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #1/200 (100th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 4,313 #2/382 100th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 39 #2/407 100th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 305 #8/383 98th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 67.2% #93/383 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 9.5 #38/382 90th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 204 #85/408 79th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.62 #1/200 100th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 480 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 54.8% #44/428 90th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 454 #11/407 98th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 7 #316/407 23rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 60 #103/408 75th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 24 #145/391 63rd pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #74/408 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.4 #171/407 58th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 91.8% #47/428 89th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 73.2% #24/428 95th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 68.3% #45/428 90th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 55.0% #48/428 89th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 49.9% #35/428 92nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 48.1% #46/428 89th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 9.2% #170/428 61st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.51 #1/140 100th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 38 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #213/258 18th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mario Cristobal

Pass share

47.2%

496 pass / 554 run

Plays / game

65.6

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.1%

245 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2024

1 coach
2022
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2023
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2024
Mario Cristobal
Miami

Played his entire career under Mario Cristobal.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWest Columbia, TX
Height6'2"
Weight223 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

3 entries
🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2024)

All-ACC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

3 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-ACC all_conference Miami | ACC QB
2024 All-ACC all_conference Miami | ACC --
2024 All-ACC all_conference Miami | ACC QUAR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Miami QB4 #2 #2 14.4% 73.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Washington State QB4 #44 #84 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Washington State QB4 #83 #139 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Miami ACC QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 223 lb | West Columbia, TX
2023 Washington State Pac-12 QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 223 lb | West Columbia, TX
2022 Washington State Pac-12 QB 4 No. 1 | 6-2 | 223 lb | West Columbia, TX