CFB Zeitgeist Score
84
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 97th percentile.
Carsen Ryan
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
620 REC YDS · 45 REC · 3 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Cleveland2026 NFL rookie season
#248Rd 7 · Pick 32
Cleveland2026 NFL rookie season
TE · BYU · BIG 12
Carsen Ryan
- 4
- #20
- 6-4 | 250 lb
- Orem, UT
Heisman Heat
#814
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+656%
Up 656% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 · #248
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9010 | No. 306 recruit | HighSchool | UCLA |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (620).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to UCLA
Composite
0.9010
#306 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 7, Pick 32
#248 overall · Cleveland
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Carsen Ryan
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
67
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=19
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Carsen Ryan
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
13.8
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #173 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 68th
Why it matters
#173 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.8 yards per reception (45 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 13.8 (68th)
HIGH · n=45 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#135 / 531
- Receiving TDs#222 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 vs Georgia Tech — 120 ypr
Result W 25-21
The week the volume broke through — put up 120 yds vs Georgia Tech.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
620Rec yards
45Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
47.7Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
620Rec yards
45Receptions
3Rec TDs
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Carsen Ryan's story is about how role and output meet each other. For BYU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
45 98th
YDS
620 99th
YPR
13.8 85th
TD
3 91st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 69-0vs Portland State | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | 1 | 25 | Season-high 120 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 27-3vs Stanford | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | 0 | 25 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-13@ East Carolina | 4 | 63 | 15.8 | 1 | 24 | |
| Wk 5 | W 24-21@ Colorado | 3 | 46 | 15.3 | 0 | 28 | |
| Wk 6 | W 38-24vs West Virginia | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-21vs Utah | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 9 | W 41-27@ Iowa State | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 11 | L 7-29@ Texas Tech | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 12 | W 44-13vs TCU | 4 | 79 | 19.8 | 1 | 43 | |
| Wk 13 | W 26-14@ Cincinnati | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 14 | W 41-21vs UCF | 5 | 85 | 17.0 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 15 | L 7-34@ Texas Tech | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Bowl | W 25-21vs Georgia Tech | 8 | 120 | 15.0 | 0 | 35 | |
| Total | 45 | 620 | 13.3 | 3 | 43 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022UCLA9-4HC: Chip Kelly · Run-leaning
2023UCLA8-5HC: Chip Kelly · Run-leaning
2024Utah5-7HC: Kyle Whittingham · Balanced
2025BYU12-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 45 | #11/475 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 620 | #6/475 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #45/475 | 91st pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 13.8 | #70/475 | 85th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 15.1% | #21/468 | 96th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 43 | #59/475 | 88th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.8% | #13/468 | 97th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.3% | #62/468 | 87th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.6% | #94/468 | 80th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 6.5% | #34/468 | 93rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.2% | #37/468 | 92nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.8% | #125/468 | 74th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 4.0 | 60.3 | 15.1 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 2.8 | 33.0 | 11.3 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins11g | 3.5 | 50.9 | 13.8 | 0.3 |
| Losses2g | 3.0 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 3.7 | 55.2 | 15.2 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 3.3 | 41.3 | 11.8 | 0.1 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
84All-Conference
Elite: rec yards (96th). Strength: receptions (94th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Carsen RyanBYUJamari JohnsonOregon· 87% simMichael TriggBaylor· 87% simJyrin JohnsonBowling Green· 87% sim
Rec yards
Receptions
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Move TE
Lined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ben Yurosek’s 2021 season.
Ben Yurosek
82%match
#2
Cade Stover
All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
76%
#3
Sam LaPorta
All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 3
76%
#4
David Martin-Robinson
All-AAC
73%
#5
Dae'Quan Wright
71%
Matches Ben on
TD rate
Yards / reception
Class year
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Dae'Quan Wright's senior season at Ole Miss (2025).
Dae'Quan Wright
74%match
#2
Josh Cuevas
NFL Rd 5
74%
#3
Cade Stover
All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
73%
#4
Jack Velling
All-Big Ten
73%
#5
Ben Yurosek
73%
Matches Dae'Quan on
Weight
Reception volume
Recruiting rating
Differs from Dae'Quan on
TD rate (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kalani Sitake
Pass share
43.5%
401 pass / 520 run
Plays / game
65.8
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
270 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2023
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2024
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2025
Kalani Sitake
BYU
Played his entire career under Kalani Sitake.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownOrem, UT
Height6'4"
Weight250 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey20
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBYU
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.