cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Chris Brazzell II /Tennessee

Chris Brazzell II

WR · Tennessee · Jr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,017 REC YDS · 62 REC · 9 REC TD

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Carolina — Rd 3, Pick 19, #83 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Carolina2026 NFL rookie season

#83Rd 3 · Pick 19
Carolina2026 NFL rookie season

WR · TENNESSEE · SEC

Chris Brazzell II

  • 3
  • #17
  • 6-5 | 200 lb
  • Midland, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

92

Elite in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#378

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2022

Tulane · WR

2023

Tulane · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2024

Tennessee · WR

2025

Tennessee · WR

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 3, Pick 19 · #83 overall · Carolina

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
11.02022
7112023
3332024
1,0172025

+9145%

Up 9145% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1288 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 &middot; #83
Carolina &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey17
Measurements6-5 | 200 lb
HometownMidland, TX
Primary teamTennessee

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1288 recruit
Composite rating 0.8493 HighSchool
Signed with Tulane 2022
Origin Midland Legacy Midland, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8493 No. 1288 recruit | HighSchool | Tulane

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Tennessee 2024
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 4, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Tulane -> Tennessee 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#378Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#347Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 1017 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (1017).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Tulane

Composite

0.8493

#1288 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 3, Pick 19

#83 overall · Carolina

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Chris Brazzell II

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

64

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 26 mentions
Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 26 mentions · belief +27 · "Tennessee's explosive offense ignites college football playoff discussions as th"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=26

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Chris Brazzell II

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

16.4

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #54 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 90th

Why it matters

#54 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.4 yards per reception (62 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 16.4 (90th)

HIGH · n=62 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#18 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#17 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 3 vs Georgia — 177 ypr

Result L 41-44

The week the volume broke through — put up 177 yds vs Georgia.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
1,017Rec yards
62Receptions
9Rec TDs
Per game
84.8Rec yards
5Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
1,102Rec yards
67Receptions
10Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 1,017.

✓ Hit 1,000-yard receiver · finished with 1,017.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 62.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 62): needs 18/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 8 receiving TDs · finished with 9.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 9): needs 1/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Chris Brazzell II already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #378 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 62 9 rec TD | #50/1110 (96th pct)
Receiving yards 1,017 16.4 per catch | #19/1107 (98th pct)
Scrimmage yards 1,017 Total offensive yardage | #19/1107 (98th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetBig-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
62 96th
YDS
1,017 98th
YPR
16.4 84th
TD
9 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-26vs Syracuse56212.4018
Wk 2W 72-17vs East Tennessee State912513.92322 TD catches
Wk 3L 41-44vs Georgia617729.5372Season-high 177 yds
Wk 4W 56-24vs UAB56212.4122
Wk 5W 41-34@ Mississippi State610517.5132
Wk 7W 34-31vs Arkansas155.005
Wk 8L 20-37@ Alabama7669.4019
Wk 9W 56-34@ Kentucky413834.5150138-yard receiving day
Wk 10L 27-33vs Oklahoma66811.3027
Wk 12W 42-9vs New Mexico State36521.7045
Wk 13W 31-11@ Florida45313.3019
Wk 14L 24-45vs Vanderbilt69115.2152
Total62101716.3972
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Tulane12-2HC: Willie Fritz · Run-leaning
2023Tulane11-3HC: Slade Nagle · Run-leaning
2024Tennessee10-3HC: Josh Heupel · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2025Tennessee8-5HC: Josh Heupel · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Tennessee621,01716.49--
2024Tennessee2933311.52--
2023Tulane4471116.25--
2022Tulane11111.00--
Career4 loaded seasons1362,07215.216--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 10.0% 20.4% pass-game share | #83/1137 (93rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 9 Across offense and returns | #17/1111 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 62 #50/1110 96th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 1,017 #19/1107 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 9 #17/1111 99th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.4 #183/1106 84th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 20.4% #83/1137 93rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 72 #83/1105 93rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 13.5% #82/1137 93rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.4% #156/1137 86th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.2% #106/1137 91st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 10.0% #98/1137 91st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.9% #127/1137 89th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.7% #117/1137 90th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home8g5.181.915.20.9
Road4g5.290.518.70.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g4.676.916.30.6
Losses4g6.210016.41.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g5.389.315.11.2
Weeks 8+6g5.080.217.60.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

92Elite
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (96th). Strength: rec tds (96th).

Rec yards#19 / 558 · 97th pct
1017rece
Rec TDs#17 / 558 · 97th pct
9rece
Receptions#50 / 558 · 91st pct
62rece
Yards / catch#75 / 558 · 87th pct
16.4rece
Long catch#77 / 558 · 86th pct
72rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Chris Brazzell IITennesseeCamden BrownGeorgia Southern· 98% simAnthony SmithEast Carolina· 98% simEric McAlisterTCU· 94% sim
Rec yards
97
II
98
Brown
98
Smith
99
McAlister
Rec TDs
97
II
100
Brown
92
Smith
98
McAlister
Receptions
91
II
93
Brown
93
Smith
97
McAlister
Yards / catch
87
II
88
Brown
87
Smith
87
McAlister
Long catch
86
II
87
Brown
86
Smith
98
McAlister

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Matt Landers’s 2022 season.

Matt Landers

77%match

Arkansas · 2022

#2

Jayden Higgins

Iowa State · 2023

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 2
74%
#3

Jake Bobo

UCLA · 2022

73%
#4

Ja'Kobi Lane

USC · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 3 · Pk 16
72%
#5

Elijah Cooks

San José State · 2022

All-Mountain West
72%

Matches Matt on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Matt on

Reception volume (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Derry’s path through Monmouth.

Joshua Derry

91%match

Monmouth · 2025

#2

Justin Bowick

Illinois · 2025

90%
#3

Jaden Bradley

UNLV · 2025

All-Mountain West
90%
#4

Brian Thomas Jr.

LSU · 2023

All-SECNFL Rd 1 · Pk 23
90%
#5

Dillon Stoner

Oklahoma State · 2020

89%

Matches Joshua on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Denzel Boston's senior season at Washington (2025).

Denzel Boston

71%match

Washington · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 7
#2

Isaiah Horton

Alabama · 2025

65%
#3

Eric McAlister

TCU · 2025

All-Big 12
61%
#4

Devaughn Vele

Utah · 2023

NFL Rd 7
60%
#5

Jaden Bradley

UNLV · 2025

All-Mountain West
60%

Matches Denzel on

Height
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Josh Heupel

Pass share

47.3%

437 pass / 486 run

Plays / game

71.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.4%

334 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2023
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2024
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2025
Josh Heupel
Tennessee

Played his entire career under Josh Heupel.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMidland, TX
Height6'5"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-AAC all_conference Tulane | AAC WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tennessee WR3 #378 #347 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Tulane WR3 #577 #623 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Tulane WR3 #2071 #1724 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tennessee SEC WR 3 No. 17 | 6-5 | 200 lb | Midland, TX
2024 Tennessee SEC WR 3 No. 17 | 6-5 | 200 lb | Midland, TX
2023 Tulane American Athletic WR 3 No. 17 | 6-5 | 200 lb | Midland, TX
2022 Tulane American Athletic WR 3 No. 17 | 6-5 | 200 lb | Midland, TX