cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Corey Rucker /Arkansas State

Corey Rucker

WR · Arkansas State · Sr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,029 REC YDS · 73 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Arkansas State

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (24 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75

WR · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT

Corey Rucker

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-0 | 213 lb
  • Yazoo City, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

77

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4689

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

5 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2021

2020

Arkansas State · WR

2021

Arkansas State · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2022

South Carolina · WR

2023

Arkansas State · WR

2025

Arkansas State · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2020–2025
4502020
8162021
52.02022
7052023
1,0292025

+129%

Up 129% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1467 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2020–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-0 | 213 lb
HometownYazoo City, MS
Primary teamArkansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1467 recruit
Composite rating 0.8417 HighSchool
Signed with Arkansas State 2020
Origin Yazoo County Yazoo City, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8417 No. 1467 recruit | HighSchool | Arkansas State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arkansas State 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 14, 2022
Season Move Context
2023 South Carolina -> Arkansas State 3-star | Immediate
2022 Arkansas State -> South Carolina 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4689Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5041Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 1029 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (1029).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Arkansas State

Composite

0.8417

#1467 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Corey Rucker

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Raiders sign WR Brandon Johnson, place WR Corey Rucker on Reserve/Injured list &"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here](https://www.re"National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Corey Rucker

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.1

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #153 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 71st

Why it matters

#153 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.1 yards per reception (73 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.1 (71th)

HIGH · n=73 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#16 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#161 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 vs Missouri State — 166 ypr

Result W 34-28

The week the volume broke through — put up 166 yds vs Missouri State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
1,029Rec yards
73Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
79.2Rec yards
6Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
1,029Rec yards
73Receptions
4Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 1,029.

✓ Hit 1,000-yard receiver · finished with 1,029.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 73.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Corey Rucker already has 3 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #4689 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 13.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 73 4 rec TD | #13/1110 (99th pct)
Receiving yards 1,029 14.1 per catch | #16/1107 (99th pct)
Scrimmage yards 1,045 Total offensive yardage | #16/1107 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
73 99th
YDS
1,029 99th
YPR
14.1 69th
TD
4 86th

Rushing

CAR
4 74th
YDS
16 60th
YPC
4.0 47th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State25929.5150Season-high 166 yds
Wk 2L 14-56@ Arkansas3206.7010
Wk 3L 16-24vs Iowa State12626.0026
Wk 4L 21-28@ Kennesaw State242.004
Wk 5L 16-28@ UL Monroe912013.3030
Wk 6W 31-30vs Texas State810212.8027
Wk 8W 15-14@ South Alabama8587.309
Wk 9W 34-24vs Georgia Southern57715.4031
Wk 10W 23-10@ Troy46416.0027
Wk 11L 21-27vs Southern Miss712317.6055
Wk 13L 30-34vs Louisiana812015.0028
Wk 14W 30-29@ App State10909.02342 TD catches
BowlW 34-28vs Missouri State616627.7171
Total73102915.3471
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2020Arkansas State4-7HC: Blake Anderson · Balanced, fast tempo
2021Arkansas State2-10HC: Butch Jones · Pass-heavy
2022South Carolina8-5HC: Shane Beamer · Balanced
2023Arkansas State6-7HC: Butch Jones · Run-leaning
2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas State731,02914.14--
2023Arkansas State3670519.62--
2022South Carolina15252.01--
2021Arkansas State5981613.89--
2020Arkansas State1545030.05--
Career5 loaded seasons1843,05216.621--
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas State416------
2023Arkansas State16------
2022South Carolina----------
2021Arkansas State220------
2020Arkansas State----------
Career5 loaded seasons742------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 13.9% 23.9% pass-game share | #32/1137 (97th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 73 #13/1110 99th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 1,029 #16/1107 99th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.1 #340/1106 69th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 23.9% #32/1137 97th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 16 #160/397 60th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 4 #108/407 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 4 #279/346 20th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 4.0 #211/393 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 71 #89/1105 92nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 18.1% #19/1137 98th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 17.3% #18/1137 99th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 13.9% #17/1137 99th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 13.7% #23/1137 98th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.0% #59/1137 95th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 12.0% #25/1137 98th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.1% #179/1137 84th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g5.396.120.60.3
Road6g6.059.39.00.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g6.188.016.80.6
Losses6g5.068.813.40.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.471.016.90.3
Weeks 8+6g7.088.713.40.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

77All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (97th). Strength: rec yards (97th).

Receptions#13 / 558 · 98th pct
73rece
Rec yards#16 / 558 · 97th pct
1029rece
Long catch#83 / 558 · 85th pct
71rece
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Yards / catch#192 / 558 · 65th pct
14.1rece
Rush yards#128 / 287 · 55th pct
16rush
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Corey RuckerArkansas StateKyre DuplessisDelaware· 94% simTed HurstGeorgia State· 92% simChris BellLouisville· 88% sim
Receptions
98
Rucker
92
Duplessis
97
Hurst
97
Bell
Rec yards
97
Rucker
91
Duplessis
96
Hurst
93
Bell
Long catch
85
Rucker
81
Duplessis
84
Hurst
77
Bell
Rec TDs
68
Rucker
78
Duplessis
87
Hurst
87
Bell
Yards / catch
65
Rucker
59
Duplessis
65
Hurst
47
Bell
Rush yards
55
Rucker
60
Duplessis
Rush TDs
39
Rucker
39
Duplessis

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Keagan Johnson’s 2025 season.

Keagan Johnson

76%match

New Mexico · 2025

#2

Javon Baker

UCF · 2022

NFL Rd 4
70%
#3

Velus Jones Jr.

Tennessee · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 7
68%
#4

Corey Rucker

Arkansas State · 2021

All-Sun Belt
68%
#5

Kawaan Baker

South Alabama · 2020

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 7
60%

Matches Keagan on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Keagan on

Weight (higher)
Reception volume (higher)

Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jamarien Wheeler’s path through Eastern Michigan.

Jamarien Wheeler

98%match

Eastern Michigan · 2025

#2

Joshua Derry

Monmouth · 2025

90%
#3

Damon Ward Jr.

North Texas · 2024

89%
#4

Reggie Roberson Jr.

SMU · 2021

89%
#5

Dillon Stoner

Oklahoma State · 2020

89%

Matches Jamarien on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Butch Jones

Pass share

53.7%

506 pass / 437 run

Plays / game

72.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

367 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2020–2025

2 coaches
2020
Blake Anderson
Arkansas State
2021
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
era →
2022
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2023
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2025
Butch Jones
Arkansas State

Coaching transition mid-career: Blake Anderson → Butch Jones. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownYazoo City, MS
Height6'0"
Weight213 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

3 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

3 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Arkansas State | Sun Belt WR
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Arkansas State | Sun Belt WR
2021 All-Sun Belt all_conference Arkansas State | Sun Belt WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arkansas State WR4 #4689 #5041 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Arkansas State WR4 #1098 #1365 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 South Carolina WR4 #1416 #1319 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Arkansas State WR4 #863 #1303 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2020 Arkansas State WR4 #106 #152 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS
2024 Arkansas State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS
2023 Arkansas State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS
2022 South Carolina SEC WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS
2021 Arkansas State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS
2020 Arkansas State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS