cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Derius Davis /TCU

Derius Davis

WR · TCU · Sr · #11

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLLos Angeles — drafted 2023, Rd 4, Pick 23, #125 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Los AngelesEntering 4th NFL season

#125Rd 4 · Pick 23
Los AngelesEntering 4th NFL season

WR · TCU · BIG 12

Derius Davis

  • 4
  • #11
  • 5-10 | 175 lb
  • Saint Francisville, LA

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#121

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2021

TCU · WR

2022

TCU · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2023 · Rd 4, Pick 23 · #125 overall · Los Angeles

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2022
5182021
5312022

+3%

Modest growth (3%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#983 national
CFB
College
TCU
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
R4 &middot; #125
Los Angeles &middot; 2023

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements5-10 | 175 lb
HometownSaint Francisville, LA
Primary teamTCU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 983 recruit
Composite rating 0.8532 HighSchool
Signed with TCU 2018
Origin West Feliciana Saint Francisville, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8532 No. 983 recruit | HighSchool | TCU

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#121Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#112Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to TCU

Composite

0.8532

#983 national

NFL Draft

2023 · Rd 4, Pick 23

#125 overall · Los Angeles

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Derius Davis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Derius Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Derius Davis already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #121 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 42 5 rec TD | #175/1110 (84th pct)
Receiving yards 531 12.6 per catch | #194/1107 (83rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 561 Total offensive yardage | #194/1107 (83rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

All-purpose weapon

2022 Season · Final

2022 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
42 84th
YDS
531 83rd
YPR
12.6 56th
TD
5 91st

Rushing

CAR
3 64th
YDS
30 74th
YPC
10.0 87th
TD
1 96th

Returns

KR YDS
572 98th
KR AVG
19.7 53rd
PR YDS
268 96th
PR AVG
14.9 87th
RET TD
2 96th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021TCU5-7HC: Gary Patterson · Run-heavy
2022TCU13-2HC: Sonny Dykes · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2022TCU4253112.65--
2021TCU3651814.41--
Career2 loaded seasons781,04913.46--
SeasonTeam
2022TCU3305722682
2021TCU104247392--
Career2 loaded seasons13721,0453602
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.9% 13.1% pass-game share | #317/1137 (72nd pct)
Return yards 840 2 return TD | #5/238 (98th pct)
Touchdowns 8 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 42 #175/1110 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 531 #194/1107 83rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.6 #486/1106 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 572 #5/238 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 268 #9/224 96th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.1% #317/1137 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 30 #105/397 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 27 #41/346 88th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 10.0 #54/393 87th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 3 #146/407 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 80 #28/1105 98th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 29 #2/243 100th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 19.7 #111/236 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 18 #21/237 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 14.9 #29/222 87th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return TD 2 #2/27 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.9% #189/1137 83rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.5% #97/1137 92nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.9% #285/1137 75th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.6% #497/1137 56th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.1% #380/1137 67th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.6% #474/1137 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.5% #72/1137 94th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #274/302 10th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Dykes

Pass share

51.9%

460 pass / 426 run

Plays / game

68.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.6%

340 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

2 coaches
2021
Gary Patterson
TCU
2022
Sonny Dykes
TCU
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSaint Francisville, LA
Height5'10"
Weight175 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2022)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2022 All-Big 12 all_conference TCU | Big 12 RET

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 TCU WR4 #121 #112 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 TCU WR4 #946 #1128 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2022 TCU Big 12 WR 4 No. 11 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Saint Francisville, LA
2021 TCU Big 12 WR 4 No. 11 | 5-10 | 175 lb | Saint Francisville, LA