cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Deuce Adams /Louisville

Deuce Adams

QB · Louisville · Fr · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

112 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 33 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Louisville → Wisconsin for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Wisconsin

2025Louisville
2026Wisconsin

QB · LOUISVILLE · ACC

Deuce Adams

  • 1
  • #13
  • 6-2 | 190 lb
  • Austin, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

39

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1039

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#629 national
CFB
College
Louisville
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class1
Jersey13
Measurements6-2 | 190 lb
HometownAustin, TX
Primary teamLouisville

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 629 recruit
Composite rating 0.8811 HighSchool
Signed with Louisville 2024
Origin Vandegrift Austin, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8811 No. 629 recruit | HighSchool | Louisville

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Wisconsin 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 9, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Louisville -> Wisconsin 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1039Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#940Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Louisville

Composite

0.8811

#629 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Deuce Adams

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Umich is also scheduled to host Louisville transfer QB Deuce Adams on a visit la"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Deuce Adams

Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
112Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
18.7Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
242.7Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 112): needs 412.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 112): needs 555.4/game over remaining 7.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 4.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Deuce Adams's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Louisville, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1039 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 112 0 TD | 0 INT | #260/382 (32nd pct)
Completion rate 71.4% 15/21 completions | #57/383 (85th pct)
Yards/attempt 5.3 Explosiveness through the air | #302/382 (21st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Highly efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Highly efficient

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
15 38th
ATT
21 39th
CMP%
71.4% 85th
Y/A
5.3 21st

Passing Production

YDS
112 32nd
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
14 44th
YDS
33 49th
YPC
2.4 45th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 51-17vs Eastern Kentucky2/321007.061.7
Wk 4W 40-17vs Bowling Green1/1-300-3.00.0
Wk 8W 24-21@ Miami
Wk 10W 28-16@ Virginia Tech
Wk 13L 6-38@ SMU12/1794005.566.6Season-high 94 yds
Wk 14W 41-0vs Kentucky
Total15/21112003.242.8
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
2025Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Louisville152171.4%1125.300116.2----
2024Louisville--------------------
Career2 loaded seasons152171.4%1125.300116.2----
SeasonTeam
2025Louisville14332.40--
2024Louisville111.00--
Career2 loaded seasons15342.30--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 33 0 rush TD | #209/408 (49th pct)
Usage 8.8% 12.3% pass share | 6.1% rush share | #282/428 (34th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 112 #260/382 32nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 15 #240/383 38th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 71.4% #57/383 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 5.3 #302/382 21st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 33 #209/408 49th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 8.8% #282/428 34th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 21 #251/407 39th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 14 #231/408 44th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 11 #281/391 28th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.4 #226/407 45th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.7% #285/428 34th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 12.3% #290/428 32nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 12.1% #285/428 34th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.8% #294/428 32nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 7.7% #290/428 32nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 7.6% #279/428 35th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 6.1% #245/428 43rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home3g6.00.02.00.0
Road3g31.30.05.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins5g3.60.02.00.0
Losses1g94.00.05.50.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g9.00.02.00.0
Weeks 8+4g23.50.05.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

39Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: completion % (97th). Concern: pass tds (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Completion %#6 / 183 · 97th pct
71.4%pass
Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Rush yards#130 / 183 · 29th pct
33rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Yards / att#175 / 183 · 5th pct
5.3pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
112pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Deuce AdamsLouisvilleNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 57% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 56% simJalen KitnaUAB· 52% sim
Interceptions
99
Adams
44
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
10
Kitna
Completion %
97
Adams
41
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
79
Kitna
Fumbles lost
91
Adams
66
Vattiato
91
Lindsey
91
Kitna
Rush yards
29
Adams
27
Vattiato
1
Lindsey
8
Kitna
Rush TDs
9
Adams
39
Vattiato
59
Lindsey
9
Kitna
Yards / att
5
Adams
13
Vattiato
16
Lindsey
57
Kitna
Pass yards
0
Adams
57
Vattiato
61
Lindsey
64
Kitna
Pass TDs
0
Adams
64
Vattiato
72
Lindsey
55
Kitna

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Brohm

Pass share

50.2%

414 pass / 410 run

Plays / game

63.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

314 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
2025
Jeff Brohm
Louisville

Played his entire career under Jeff Brohm.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAustin, TX
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisville QB1 #1039 #940 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisville ACC QB 1 No. 13 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Austin, TX
2024 Louisville ACC QB 1 No. 13 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Austin, TX