Iowa 30-0 Wisconsin (Oct 31, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Wisconsin · Iowa

No. 25 Wisconsin5-30

Iowa6-230Final

Sat, Oct 31 · Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, Iowa · Crowd 69,250

Iowa routed No. 25 Wisconsin 30-0.

We had Iowa favored. It won.

Next: Wisconsin vs Rutgers, Sat Nov 7 · 4:15 PM ET · Wisconsin favored by 17.5

Next: Iowa at Northwestern, Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET · Iowa underdog by 2.5

I came here for the punts. What is this forward pass nonsense?

A fan of another team

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Iowa a 51% chance, and the closing betting line (Iowa was a 2.5-point favorite) put it at 58%.

FinalIowa 30-0 WisconsinIowa wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The play that swung it

1Q1 13:33Brown 45-yd pass to VonnahmeIowa 63% → 74% (+11)

The play that swung it

1Q1 13:33Brown 45-yd pass to VonnahmeWisconsin 37% → 26% (−11)

Diabolical play call

Q2 4:22 · r/CFB game thread

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 1:02Hank Brown throws touchdown pass to Vonnahme as Iowa leads Wisconsin 10-0VONNAHME YAHr/CFB game thread
Q2 4:22The team ran an unusual play call on fourth down.
Q2 0:45Wisconsin's Colton Joseph fumbles, giving Iowa the ball with 45 seconds left in the halfClassic Fickell waving the white flag and trying to kill clock just to fumble it away. You’re down three scores on the road. You should have been trying to scorer/CFB game thread
Q2 0:40A player fumbled the ball.BUTT FUMBLE. WE HAVE A BUTT FUMBLEr/CFB game thread

Iowa’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Iowa -2.5), at 65% for Iowa (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Iowa or Wisconsin flair (890 and 503); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Iowa’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Iowa scored on 6 of its 11 drives; Wisconsin on 0 of its 10.

Iowa’s drives are teal, Wisconsin’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

How fans reacted

Quiet

The biggest reaction came in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was steady.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Wisconsin fans

fickell“Ball on the half yd line... Luke Fickell: "Make sure we go backwards 3 yds before we try to fall forward." Truly elite offensive game planning.”

fire“I dont think u need any more explanation to fire him other than "lost to Iowa 5 in a row"”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, every, run, let.

What it cost

Wisconsin’s chance to make the playoff fell from 4% to 1%.

Make the playoff

Wisconsin · lost4% → ▼1%

Iowa · won1% → ▲2%

Win the conference

Wisconsin · lost3% → ▼1%

Iowa · won0% → ▲1%

Before the game (October 30, 2026) → after this result alone, in our model. Other games that weekend move it too, so the team page may differ.

Wisconsin plays vs Rutgers on Sat Nov 7 with a 1% chance to make the playoff. Iowa plays at Northwestern on Sat Nov 7 with a 2% chance to make the playoff.

Box score

Iowa 30, Wisconsin 0

Iowa covered −2.5 by 27.5. The total, 30, stayed under 36.5.

Team totals	Wisconsin	Iowa
Total yards	235	362
Passing	13 of 27, 183 yds	20 of 24, 222 yds
Rushing	24 for 52 yds	42 for 140 yds
First downs	9	20
Third down	4 of 13	8 of 15
Fourth down	1 of 3	0 of 0
Turnovers	3	1
Penalties	8 for 70 yds	2 for 10 yds
Time of possession	23:39	36:21

Wisconsin leaders

Passing Ryan Hopkins 8 of 13, 93 yds, 1 INT
Rushing Abu Sama III 6 for 23 yds; Darrion Dupree 5 for 22 yds
Receiving Jaylon Domingeaux 6 for 86 yds; Tyrell Henry 2 for 54 yds

Iowa leaders

Passing Hank Brown 20 of 24, 222 yds, 2 TD
Rushing Xavier Williams 20 for 78 yds; L.J. Phillips Jr. 9 for 27 yds
Receiving Tony Diaz 4 for 75 yds, 1 TD; DJ Vonnahme 5 for 54 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

54° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 4 mph from the east-southeast, gusts to 10

October game-day temperatures at Kinnick Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:47 left11:12 a.m.

Wisconsin 0, Iowa 0 · Iowa 65% to win

no rain · wind 4 mph from the south · 54°

Williams 0-yd run

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Iowa City airport, 1.4 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

This is Heartland Trophy — see the full head-to-head history →

Recent games

Last three games

Wisconsin · 5-2

Rated 86th in our preseason ratings, 39th now, up 47 spots.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 17-point win over USC as a 1.5-point underdog.

W 24-7 vs USCTop 25 No. 30 of 668 teams

won by 17 as a 1.5-point underdog

L 7-17 @ UCLATop 25 No. 19 of 668 teams

lost by 10 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 31-3 vs Michigan State No. 139 of 668 teams

won by 28 as an 8.5-point favorite

W 24-20 @ Penn StateTop 25 No. 32 of 668 teams

won by 4 as a 9.5-point underdog

W 54-10 vs Eastern Michigan No. 142 of 668 teams

won by 44 as a 23.5-point favorite

W 36-9 vs Western Illinois No. 238 of 668 teams

won by 27 as a 43.5-point favorite

L 13-41 @ Notre DameTop 25 No. 1 of 668 teams

lost by 28 as a 21-point underdog

Last three games

Iowa · 5-2

Rated 13th in our preseason ratings, 22nd now.

1-2 in its last three, including a 17-point win over Washington as a 3-point underdog.

L 10-13 @ Minnesota No. 56 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 41-24 @ WashingtonTop 25 No. 35 of 668 teams

won by 17 as a 3-point underdog

L 14-31 vs Ohio StateTop 25 No. 2 of 668 teams

lost by 17 as a 14.5-point underdog

W 20-19 @ MichiganTop 25 No. 20 of 668 teams

won by 1 as a 4.5-point underdog

W 55-0 vs Northern Iowa No. 160 of 668 teams

won by 55 as a 37.5-point favorite

W 16-13 vs Iowa State No. 138 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 14-point favorite

W 40-0 vs Northern Illinois No. 95 of 668 teams

won by 40 as a 31.5-point favorite

Week by week

Iowa

Wk 3Wvs Northern Iowa55-0
Wk 4Wat Michigan20-19
Wk 5Lvs Ohio State14-31
Wk 6Wat Washington41-24
Wk 8Lat Minnesota10-13

Wisconsin

Wk 3Wvs Eastern Michigan54-10
Wk 4Wat Penn State24-20
Wk 5Wvs Michigan State31-3
Wk 7Lat UCLA7-17
Wk 8Wvs USC24-7

Power rating by week

Iowa is rated 2.7 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Wisconsin’s success rate against Iowa, 80 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Wisconsin’s success rate against Iowa’s defense
Wisconsin offense, 17th percentile · Iowa defense, 97th
Iowa’s explosive plays against Wisconsin’s defense
Iowa offense, 34th percentile · Wisconsin defense, 99th
Wisconsin’s rushing EPA against Iowa’s defense
Wisconsin offense, 55th percentile · Iowa defense, 100th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

WisconsinIowa

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Wisconsin leads the series 49-48-2

99 meetings since 1894 · Iowa has won the last 4

2025Iowa 37-0
2024Iowa 42-10
2023Iowa 15-6
2022Iowa 24-10
2021Wisconsin 27-7

Each line is Iowa’s chance to win through that meeting. Iowa is 1-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Iowa fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (18th percentile among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Iowa favored by 2.5 · Total 36.5

How games like this usually go

Iowa by 2.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 304 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Wisconsin.

The total fell 3 points.

The books’ cut: 4.1%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Iowa is worth +2.9 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 25th percentile.

75% at home, 63% on the road against FBS opponents (40-13 home, 26-15 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -3.5 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 146 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Wisconsin 27, Iowa 7Oct 30, 2021

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.

Iowa10th2-2
Wisconsin5th3-1

Full Big Ten standings

Iowa routs No. 25 Wisconsin 30-0