Iowa (#22) hosts Northern Illinois. The market has Iowa (#22) favored by 31.5.
What’s at stake
Iowa
- Iowa is ranked #22, right on the edge of the Top 25.
- Iowa hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2021.
Northern Illinois
- A win would be one of Northern Illinois’s biggest of the season — a 118-spot gap in the power ratings.
The series
Iowa leads the series 9-1
10 meetings since 1985 · Iowa won the last meeting
- 2018Iowa 33–7
- 2013Northern Illinois 30–27
- 2012 · neutral siteIowa 18–17
- 2007Iowa 16–3
- 2006Iowa 24–14
Face-off
What each fanbase carries into this one.
Northern Illinois
The chip · vs the blue bloodsDeKalb walked into one of the sport's cathedrals as a four-touchdown underdog and walked out with the win — and the national story was the giant who lost, not the Huskies who won. The fanbase keeps the receipts: the scoreboard said Northern Illinois.
Iowa
The chip · vs the national mediaHawkeye fans are tired of the highlight shows treating their brand of football as a punchline; they'll tell you the punt is a weapon and a 13-10 win counts the same as a 49-42 one, and they relish making the cool offenses look silly.
What this game touches
The ceiling above the floor. Iowa almost never bottoms out — and almost never breaks through. Year after year the Hawkeyes grind to nine wins and lose the games that would change the story, like 2025's four regular-season losses by a combined fifteen points to four top-20 teams: close enough to taste, never quite enough to take.
Best players
Iowa
- Xavier Nwankpa (DB) · 2025: 76 tackles
- Zach Lutmer (DB) · 2025: 71 tackles
- Kamari Moulton (RB) · 2025: 878 rushing yards
Northern Illinois
- Quinton Urwiler (LB) · 2025: 127 tackles
- Chavon Wright (RB) · 2025: 875 rushing yards
- Muhammed Jammeh (S) · 2025: 57 tackles
What to watch
The spread has moved 2.0 points toward Iowa since opening (−29.5 → −31.5).
The line, and the room
Northern Illinois fans are feeling better about their season (71st percentile) than Iowa fans are (19th) — even with Iowa favored here.
- Model · 94%
- Market · 99%
- Iowa fans · 19th
- Northern Illinois fans · 71st
Home −31.5 · O/U 44.5
Conditions
89°F · 6 mph wind · Fair
Iowa is 77% at home, 63% on the road since 2018 (41-12 home, 24-14 away).