cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Donavon Greene /Virginia Tech

Donavon Greene

WR · Virginia Tech · Sr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

267 REC YDS · 16 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Virginia Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Virginia Tech for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Virginia Tech

Returning around him

  • 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (27 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Virginia Tech · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #40 · 2026 recruiting class #39

WR · VIRGINIA TECH · ACC

Donavon Greene

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-2 | 196 lb
  • Mount Airy, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

41

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3848

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
6422022
2672025

-58%

Sharp dropoff (-58%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#257 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-2 | 196 lb
HometownMount Airy, NC
Primary teamVirginia Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 257 recruit
Composite rating 0.9089 HighSchool
Signed with Wake Forest 2019
Origin Mount Airy Mount Airy, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 4-star | 0.9089 No. 257 recruit | HighSchool | Wake Forest

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Virginia Tech 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Wake Forest -> Virginia Tech 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3848Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4123Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Wake Forest

Composite

0.9089

#257 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Donavon Greene

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Donavon Greene

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
267Rec yards
16Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
44.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
578.5Rec yards
35Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 267): needs 61.9/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 267): needs 104.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 16): needs 6.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 16): needs 9.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 0.9/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.1/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Donavon Greene's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Virginia Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3848 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 257 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 16 2 rec TD | #465/1110 (58th pct)
Receiving yards 267 16.7 per catch | #393/1107 (65th pct)
Scrimmage yards 267 Total offensive yardage | #393/1107 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
16 58th
YDS
267 65th
YPR
16.7 85th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 11-24@ South Carolina39431.3037Season-high 94 yds
Wk 2L 20-44vs Vanderbilt12222.0022
Wk 3L 26-45vs Old Dominion57715.42232 TD catches
Wk 4W 38-6vs Wofford11010.009
Wk 5W 23-21@ NC State2126.007
Wk 6L 23-30vs Wake Forest45213.0024
Total1626716.3237
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Wake Forest8-5HC: Dave Clawson · Balanced
2025Virginia Tech3-9HC: Brent Pry · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia Tech1626716.72--
2022Wake Forest3764217.46--
Career2 loaded seasons5390917.28--
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia Tech----------
2022Wake Forest----21----
Career2 loaded seasons----21----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.7% 12.9% pass-game share | #325/1137 (72nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 16 #465/1110 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 267 #393/1107 65th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.7 #167/1106 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 12.9% #325/1137 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 37 #499/1105 55th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.4% #278/1137 76th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.3% #432/1137 62nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 6.9% #251/1137 78th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.7% #300/1137 74th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.3% #368/1137 68th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.4% #351/1137 69th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g2.840.215.10.5
Road2g2.553.018.60.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.511.08.00.0
Losses4g3.261.220.40.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.744.516.30.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

41Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (88th). Concern: receptions (15th).

Yards / catch#62 / 558 · 89th pct
16.7rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rec yards#393 / 558 · 30th pct
267rece
Long catch#416 / 558 · 25th pct
37rece
Receptions#465 / 558 · 15th pct
16rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Donavon GreeneVirginia TechNik McMillanBuffalo· 51% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 51% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 50% sim
Yards / catch
89
Greene
84
McMillan
78
III
40
Walker
Rec TDs
42
Greene
57
McMillan
68
III
42
Walker
Rec yards
30
Greene
96
McMillan
94
III
89
Walker
Long catch
25
Greene
65
McMillan
65
III
39
Walker
Receptions
15
Greene
90
McMillan
90
III
95
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Chas Nimrod’s 2025 season.

Chas Nimrod

85%match

South Florida · 2025

#2

Jordan Kerley

SMU · 2023

83%
#3

Marlion Jackson

Louisiana Tech · 2025

82%
#4

Jaden Bray

Oklahoma State · 2021

81%
#5

Mark Walker

Navy · 2022

79%

Matches Chas on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Reception volume

Differs from Chas on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Cam Vaughn’s path through West Virginia.

Cam Vaughn

93%match

West Virginia · 2025

All-Conference USA
#2

Kevin Austin

Notre Dame · 2021

92%
#3

Landon Ellis

James Madison · 2025

All-Sun Belt
90%
#4

Kahtero Summers

Rhode Island · 2023

90%
#5

Jakobie Keeney-James

Massachusetts · 2024

88%

Matches Cam on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Stephon Johnson Jr.'s senior season at Houston (2025).

Stephon Johnson Jr.

75%match

Houston · 2025

#2

Rara Thomas

Troy · 2025

73%
#3

Keontra Smith

SMU · 2023

70%
#4

Umari Hatcher

Syracuse · 2024

69%
#5

J.Michael Sturdivant

UCLA · 2024

68%

Matches Stephon on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Stephon on

Yards / reception (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Pry

Pass share

42.0%

319 pass / 441 run

Plays / game

63.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.5%

296 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech
2025
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech

Played his entire career under Brent Pry.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMount Airy, NC
Height6'2"
Weight196 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wake Forest WR4 #3848 #4123 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Wake Forest WR4 #4270 #4544 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Wake Forest WR4 #345 #429 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Wake Forest WR4 #2567 #2175 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-2 | 196 lb | Mount Airy, NC
2024 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-2 | 196 lb | Mount Airy, NC
2023 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-2 | 196 lb | Mount Airy, NC
2022 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-2 | 196 lb | Mount Airy, NC
2021 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-2 | 196 lb | Mount Airy, NC