cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Chas Nimrod /South Florida

Chas Nimrod

WR · South Florida · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

466 REC YDS · 23 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred South Florida → Auburn for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Auburn

2025South Florida
2026Auburn

WR · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Chas Nimrod

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-2 | 198 lb
  • Bentonville, AR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#666

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1942023
1212024
4662025

+140%

Up 140% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#562 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-2 | 198 lb
HometownBentonville, AR
Primary teamSouth Florida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 562 recruit
Composite rating 0.8804 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Bentonville Bentonville, AR, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8804 No. 562 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Auburn 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 South Florida -> Auburn 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2025 Tennessee -> South Florida 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#666Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#540Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8804

#562 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Chas Nimrod

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 6 mentions · belief +0 · "si.com Why College Football Analyst J.D. PicKell Believes Auburn Could Go 5-0 to"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=6

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Chas Nimrod

Obsession score 4
Rival mentions 6
Weeks on radar 3
Peak moment Week 0 · 3 mentions
Grudging respect 0% Neutral 100% Mockery 0%

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

20.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #8 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 99th

Why it matters

#8 of 531 All FBS WRs at 20.3 yards per reception (23 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 20.3 (99th)

MODERATE · n=23 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#243 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 3 at Miami — 128 ypr

Result L 12-49

The week the volume broke through — put up 128 yds at Miami.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
466Rec yards
23Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
77.7Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
1,010Rec yards
50Receptions
6Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 466): needs 33.4/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 466): needs 76.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 23): needs 5.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 23): needs 8.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 0.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 1/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Chas Nimrod's story is about how role and output meet each other. For South Florida, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #666 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 23 3 rec TD | #373/1110 (66th pct)
Receiving yards 466 20.3 per catch | #245/1107 (78th pct)
Scrimmage yards 466 Total offensive yardage | #245/1107 (78th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
23 66th
YDS
466 78th
YPR
20.3 94th
TD
3 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs Boise State39632.0055
Wk 2W 18-16@ Florida3248.0016
Wk 3L 12-49@ Miami412832.0053Season-high 128 yds
Wk 4W 63-14vs South Carolina State411929.82462 TD catches
Wk 6W 54-26vs Charlotte55410.8118
Wk 7W 63-36@ North Texas44511.3026
Total2346620.6355
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Tennessee9-4HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning
2024Tennessee10-3HC: Josh Heupel · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2025South Florida9-4HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Florida2346620.33--
2024Tennessee1012112.10--
2023Tennessee1919410.21--
Career3 loaded seasons5278115.04--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.0% 18.9% pass-game share | #111/1137 (90th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 23 #373/1110 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 466 #245/1107 78th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 20.3 #67/1106 94th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 18.9% #111/1137 90th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 55 #215/1105 81st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.0% #181/1137 84th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 10.8% #70/1137 94th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.1% #286/1137 75th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 9.0% #146/1137 87th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.2% #136/1137 88th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.7% #334/1137 71st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g4.089.724.21.0
Road3g3.765.717.10.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g3.867.618.40.6
Losses1g4.012832.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.877.720.70.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

62Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (97th).

Yards / catch#12 / 558 · 98th pct
20.3rece
Long catch#189 / 558 · 65th pct
55rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Rec yards#245 / 558 · 56th pct
466rece
Receptions#373 / 558 · 32nd pct
23rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Chas NimrodSouth FloridaNik McMillanBuffalo· 68% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 67% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 63% sim
Yards / catch
98
Nimrod
84
McMillan
78
III
80
Jr.
Long catch
65
Nimrod
65
McMillan
65
III
96
Jr.
Rec TDs
57
Nimrod
57
McMillan
68
III
68
Jr.
Rec yards
56
Nimrod
96
McMillan
94
III
96
Jr.
Receptions
32
Nimrod
90
McMillan
90
III
93
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Donavon Greene’s 2025 season.

Donavon Greene

85%match

Virginia Tech · 2025

#2

Samson Nacua

BYU · 2021

82%
#3

Chris Parker

Central Michigan · 2023

79%
#4

Jordan Kerley

SMU · 2023

79%
#5

Jaden Bray

Oklahoma State · 2021

79%

Matches Donavon on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Reception volume

Differs from Donavon on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Camden Brown’s path through Georgia Southern.

Camden Brown

99%match

Georgia Southern · 2025

All-Sun Belt
#2

Cary Angeline

NC State · 2020

98%
#3

Treyshun Hurry

Louisville · 2025

98%
#4

Jaray Jenkins

LSU · 2022

97%
#5

Ja'Lynn Polk

Washington · 2023

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 5
95%

Matches Camden on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Kerley's junior season at SMU (2023).

Jordan Kerley

80%match

SMU · 2023

#2

Marlion Jackson

Louisiana Tech · 2025

78%
#3

Chris Parker

Central Michigan · 2023

78%
#4

Jaedon Wilson

Arkansas · 2023

78%
#5

Mark Walker

Navy · 2022

76%

Matches Jordan on

Yards / reception
Reception volume
TD rate

Differs from Jordan on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Alex Golesh

Pass share

44.8%

404 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

69.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.8%

291 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Alex Golesh
South Florida
2024
Alex Golesh
South Florida
2025
Alex Golesh
South Florida

Played his entire career under Alex Golesh.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBentonville, AR
Height6'2"
Weight198 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tennessee WR4 #666 #540 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Tennessee WR4 #1465 #1362 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Tennessee WR4 #2133 #1562 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Florida American Athletic WR 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 198 lb | Bentonville, AR
2024 Tennessee SEC WR 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 198 lb | Bentonville, AR
2023 Tennessee SEC WR 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 198 lb | Bentonville, AR
2022 Tennessee SEC WR 4 No. 2 | 6-2 | 198 lb | Bentonville, AR