cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Evan Crenshaw /Troy

Evan Crenshaw

P · Troy · Jr · #28

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Troy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Troy for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Punter · Troy

Returning around him

  • 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (14 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Troy · Last season: 8-6 · Talent rank #99 · 2026 recruiting class #82

P · TROY · SUN BELT

Evan Crenshaw

  • 3
  • #28
  • 6-4 | 192 lb
  • Ponte Vedra Beach, FL

CFB Zeitgeist P Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#16113

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP P AWARD

Ray Guy

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R12 All-American · 2025

2022

Coastal Carolina · P

2023

Coastal Carolina · P

2024

Troy · P

2025

Troy · P

R12 · All-American

Elite

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1746 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionP
Class3
Jersey28
Measurements6-4 | 192 lb
HometownPonte Vedra Beach, FL
Primary teamTroy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1746 recruit
Composite rating 0.8283 HighSchool
Signed with Coastal Carolina 2022
Origin Nease Ponte Vedra Beach, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8283 No. 1746 recruit | HighSchool | Coastal Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Troy 2024
Transfer stars 2-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 6, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Coastal Carolina -> Troy 2-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#16113Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#16115Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Honors Badge 0.7% Honors Badge Recognized on a major honors list (Heisman, All-American, Davey O'Brien, Maxwell, Walter Camp, Nagurski, Biletnikoff). Held by 0.7% of the 2025 pool. Recognized on: All-America (FWAA).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Coastal Carolina

Composite

0.8283

#1746 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Evan Crenshaw

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Evan Crenshaw

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Evan Crenshaw already has 3 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #16113 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

OTHER season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards -12 Combined rushing and receiving
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Usage -- Role share still loading
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppPUNTYDSAVGLONGIN20Note
Wk 1W 38-20vs Nicholls316254.0571
Wk 2L 16-27@ Clemson312642.0442
Wk 3L 7-28vs Memphis1153048.2585
Wk 4W 21-17@ Buffalo526152.2623
Wk 6W 31-24vs South Alabama314347.7583
Wk 7W 48-41@ Texas State314648.7510
Wk 8W 37-14@ UL Monroe314648.7573
Wk 9W 35-23vs Louisiana210150.5551
Wk 10L 10-23vs Arkansas State627045.0560
Wk 12L 0-33@ Old Dominion729842.6513
Wk 13W 31-19vs Georgia State626143.5621
Wk 14W 28-18@ Southern Miss417142.8493
Wk 15L 14-31@ James Madison936340.3503
BowlL 13-17@ Jacksonville State312943.0491
Total68310746.46229
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Coastal Carolina9-4HC: Chad Staggs · Run-leaning
2023Coastal Carolina8-5HC: Tim Beck · Balanced
2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Troy8-6HC: Gerad Parker · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 11 #9/15 47th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Passing Yards / attempt 11.0 #7/15 60th pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Passing Attempts 1 #4/25 88th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Passing Completion % 100.0% #1/15 100th pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Passing Completions 1 #3/15 87th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/25 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS peers
Passing Pass TD 0 #2/25 96th pct Scoringvs FBS peers
Rushing Carries 1 #9/50 84th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Rushing Rush TD 0 #5/54 93rd pct Scoringvs FBS peers
Rushing Rushing yards -12 #45/53 17th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Rushing Yards / carry -12.0 #42/49 16th pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Defense Total tackles 1 #109/388 72nd pct Volumevs FBS peers
Defense Sacks 0.0 #15/390 96th pct Disruptionvs FBS peers
Defense TFL 0.0 #20/390 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS peers
Punting Punting YDS 3,107 #3/179 99th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting NO 68 #5/179 98th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting LONG 62 #66/179 64th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting YPP 46 #32/179 83rd pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting IN 20 29 #1/166 100th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting TB 4 #33/142 77th pct Metricvs FBS peers

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-AMERICAN

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-AMERICAN · Rung 12 of 16

Why he’s here

All-American — named 1st team by at least one NCAA-recognized selector.

What moves him up

Add selectors to reach Consensus (3 of 5).

What moves him down

Lose the selector and this slips to national-watch territory.

Accolade streams

1st-team selections2×1ST

First-team selections from 2 selectors.

AP
FWAA1st
AFCA
WCFF
SN1st
SI

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g
Road8g1.40.011.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins8g1.40.011.00.0
Losses6g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g
Weeks 8+7g1.60.011.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · P · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Gerad Parker

Pass share

47.1%

431 pass / 484 run

Plays / game

65.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

17.0%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jon Sumrall
Troy
2023
Jon Sumrall
Troy
2024
Gerad Parker
Troy
era →
2025
Gerad Parker
Troy

Coaching transition mid-career: Jon Sumrall → Gerad Parker. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPonte Vedra Beach, FL
Height6'4"
Weight192 lb
Class3
PositionP
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

3 entries
🥇

ALL-AMERICA

Named All-American (2025)

2 selectors honored him

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-America

2 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Troy | Sun Belt P
2025 All-America (SN) all_america Troy | SN P
2025 All-America (FWAA) all_america Troy | FWAA P

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Troy P3 #16113 #16115 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Coastal Carolina P3 #15963 #15916 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Coastal Carolina P3 #15314 #15226 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Troy Sun Belt P 3 No. 28 | 6-4 | 192 lb | Ponte Vedra Beach, FL
2024 Troy Sun Belt P 3 No. 28 | 6-4 | 192 lb | Ponte Vedra Beach, FL
2023 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt P 3 No. 28 | 6-4 | 192 lb | Ponte Vedra Beach, FL
2022 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt P 3 No. 28 | 6-4 | 192 lb | Ponte Vedra Beach, FL