CFB Zeitgeist Score
50
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 61st percentile.
Gabe Burkle
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
302 REC YDS · 26 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Iowa State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Iowa State
Returning around him
- 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Iowa State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (48 in / 55 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Iowa State · Last season: 8-4 (AP #22) · Talent rank #71 · 2026 recruiting class #54
TE · IOWA STATE · BIG 12
Gabe Burkle
- 3
- #84
- 6-6 | 255 lb
- Cedar Rapids, IA
Heisman Heat
#2024
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+3256%
Up 3256% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Iowa State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8544 | No. 1140 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8544
#1140 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Gabe Burkle
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=3
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Gabe Burkle
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
11.6
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #311 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 42nd
Why it matters
#311 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.6 yards per reception (26 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 11.6 (42th)
MODERATE · n=26 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#390 / 531
- Receiving TDs#402 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 vs South Dakota — 85 ypr
Result W 55-7
The week the volume broke through — put up 85 yds vs South Dakota.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 9g
302Rec yards
26Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
33.6Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
436.2Rec yards
38Receptions
1Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 302): needs 99.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 302): needs 174.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 26): needs 8.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 26): needs 13.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Gabe Burkle's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Iowa State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
26 85th
YDS
302 86th
YPR
11.6 69th
TD
1 71st
Rushing
CAR
1 51st
YDS
1 30th
YPC
1.0 40th
TD
0 69th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 24-21@ Kansas State | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | 17 | Season-high 85 yds |
| Wk 1 | W 55-7vs South Dakota | 4 | 85 | 21.3 | 1 | 44 | Season-high 85 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 16-13vs Iowa | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 5 | W 39-14vs Arizona | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-38@ Cincinnati | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 7 | L 17-24@ Colorado | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 9 | L 27-41vs BYU | 5 | 44 | 8.8 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 10 | L 19-24vs Arizona State | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 11 | W 20-17@ TCU | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Total | 26 | 302 | 11.0 | 1 | 44 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Iowa State7-6HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 26 | 302 | 11.6 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Iowa State | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 28 | 311 | 11.1 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 26 | #71/475 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 302 | #68/475 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #140/475 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.6 | #146/475 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 12.6% | #47/468 | 90th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #30/59 | 51st pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 1 | #39/50 | 24th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1 | #38/53 | 30th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.0 | #33/53 | 40th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #20/62 | 69th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 44 | #56/475 | 88th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.9% | #17/468 | 97th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.1% | #34/468 | 93rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.4% | #54/468 | 89th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 5.9% | #53/468 | 89th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.6% | #85/468 | 82nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.4% | #175/468 | 63rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.3% | #43/468 | 91st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 3.2 | 39.0 | 11.5 | 0.2 |
| Road4g | 2.5 | 26.8 | 10.3 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 2.8 | 38.0 | 12.6 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 3.0 | 28.0 | 8.9 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.8 | 37.0 | 12.0 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 3.0 | 26.7 | 8.9 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
50Mid-pack
Concern: rec tds (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Gabe BurkleIowa StateJett CarpenterNevada· 84% simJackson CanaanSan José State· 80% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 80% sim
Long catch
Yards / catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Isaac Rex’s 2023 season.
Isaac Rex
71%match
#2
Will Kacmarek
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 23
69%
#3
Grayson Gunter
64%
#4
Luke Musgrave
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 11
68%
#5
Will Kacmarek
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 23
66%
Matches Isaac on
Height
TD rate
Differs from Isaac on
Class year (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Reception volume (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to George Takacs's junior season at Boston College (2022).
George Takacs
76%match
#2
Keyan Burnett
71%
#3
Marlin Klein
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 27
74%
#4
Eli Finley
All-Conference USA
74%
#5
Austin Stogner
74%
Matches George on
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from George on
Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Campbell
Pass share
42.4%
345 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCedar Rapids, IA
Height6'6"
Weight255 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey84
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIowa State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Iowa State | TE3 | #2024 | #1718 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Iowa State | TE3 | #2888 | #2682 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Iowa State | TE3 | #3899 | #3979 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | Big 12 | TE | 3 | No. 84 | 6-6 | 255 lb | Cedar Rapids, IA |
| 2024 | Iowa State | Big 12 | TE | 3 | No. 84 | 6-6 | 255 lb | Cedar Rapids, IA |
| 2023 | Iowa State | Big 12 | TE | 3 | No. 84 | 6-6 | 255 lb | Cedar Rapids, IA |
| 2022 | Iowa State | Big 12 | TE | 3 | No. 84 | 6-6 | 255 lb | Cedar Rapids, IA |