CFB Zeitgeist Score
68
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 92nd percentile.
Gavin Harris
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
514 REC YDS · 36 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to New Mexico State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · New Mexico State
Returning around him
- 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +1 net (25 in / 24 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
New Mexico State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #130 · 2026 recruiting class #126
TE · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA
Gavin Harris
- 3
- #2
- 6-3 | 240 lb
- San Antonio, TX
Heisman Heat
#4547
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
New Mexico State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (514).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Gavin Harris
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Gavin Harris
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
14.3
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #136 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 74th
Why it matters
#136 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.3 yards per reception (36 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 14.3 (74th)
HIGH · n=36 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#205 / 531
- Receiving TDs#402 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 5 at New Mexico — 97 ypr
Result L 20-38
The week the volume broke through — put up 97 yds at New Mexico.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
514Rec yards
36Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
42.8Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
556.8Rec yards
39Receptions
1Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 514): needs 186/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 514): needs 486/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 36): needs 24/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 36): needs 44/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Gavin Harris already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
36 94th
YDS
514 97th
YPR
14.3 87th
TD
1 71st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 19-3vs Bryant | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 0 | 33 | |
| Wk 2 | W 21-14vs Tulsa | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 1 | 15 | |
| Wk 3 | L 14-49@ Louisiana Tech | 3 | 52 | 17.3 | 0 | 34 | |
| Wk 5 | L 20-38@ New Mexico | 6 | 97 | 16.2 | 0 | 26 | Season-high 97 yds |
| Wk 6 | W 37-10vs Sam Houston | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 8 | L 27-30@ Liberty | 4 | 62 | 15.5 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 9 | L 17-24vs Missouri State | 4 | 56 | 14.0 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 10 | L 16-35@ Western Kentucky | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-24vs Kennesaw State | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 12 | L 9-42@ Tennessee | 3 | 50 | 16.7 | 0 | 25 | |
| Wk 13 | W 34-31@ UTEP | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-31vs Middle Tennessee | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Total | 36 | 514 | 13.6 | 1 | 34 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025New Mexico State4-8HC: Tony Sanchez · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | 36 | 514 | 14.3 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 36 | 514 | 14.3 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 36 | #29/475 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 514 | #15/475 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #140/475 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.3 | #62/475 | 87th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 13.0% | #43/468 | 91st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 34 | #103/475 | 79th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 13.9% | #5/468 | 99th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.1% | #21/468 | 96th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 7.9% | #16/468 | 97th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.0% | #23/468 | 95th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.5% | #32/468 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.7% | #137/468 | 71st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.7 | 35.2 | 12.5 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 3.3 | 50.5 | 14.7 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 2.0 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 0.2 |
| Losses8g | 3.5 | 52.0 | 14.7 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 3.2 | 46.8 | 13.3 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 2.9 | 40.0 | 13.8 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
68Solid starter
Elite: rec yards (91st). Strength: yards / catch (91st). Concern: rec tds (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Gavin HarrisNew Mexico StateJyrin JohnsonBowling Green· 88% simJaren KanakOklahoma· 82% simRiley NowakowskiIndiana· 82% sim
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Receptions
Long catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Move TE
Lined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaheim Bell’s 2023 season.
Jaheim Bell
73%match
All-ACCNFL Rd 7
#2
Desirrio Riles
72%
#3
Kenyon Sadiq
NFL Rd 1 · Pk 16
71%
#4
Cole Cavallo
65%
#5
Brady Russell
69%
Matches Jaheim on
Weight
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Jaheim on
Class year (higher)
Yards / reception (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Desirrio Riles's junior season at East Carolina (2025).
Desirrio Riles
76%match
#2
Luke Lindenmeyer
72%
#3
Jack Westover
71%
#4
Bru McCoy
70%
#5
Josh Sapp
70%
Matches Desirrio on
Weight
EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume
Differs from Desirrio on
Yards / reception (higher)
TD rate (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tony Sanchez
Pass share
57.4%
472 pass / 350 run
Plays / game
68.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.7%
359 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State
Played his entire career under Tony Sanchez.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSan Antonio, TX
Height6'3"
Weight240 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNew Mexico State
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | New Mexico State | Conference USA | TE |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Central Michigan | TE3 | #4547 | #4840 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | TE | 3 | No. 2 | 6-3 | 240 lb | San Antonio, TX |
| 2024 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | TE | 3 | No. 2 | 6-3 | 240 lb | San Antonio, TX |