cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jacob Gill /Iowa

Jacob Gill

WR · Iowa · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

278 REC YDS · 24 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Iowa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Iowa for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Iowa

Returning around him

  • 49% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 7 Iowa players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (15 in / 8 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Iowa · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #42 · 2026 recruiting class #38

WR · IOWA · BIG TEN

Jacob Gill

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-0 | 185 lb
  • Raleigh, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

33

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 33rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#438

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
85.02021
99.02022
11.02023
4112024
2782025

+227%

Up 227% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1188 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-0 | 185 lb
HometownRaleigh, NC
Primary teamIowa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1188 recruit
Composite rating 0.8500 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Cardinal Gibbons Raleigh, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8500 No. 1188 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Iowa 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 19, 2024
Season Move Context
2024 Northwestern -> Iowa 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#438Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#476Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8500

#1188 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jacob Gill

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jacob Gill

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

11.6

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #311 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 42nd

Why it matters

#311 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.6 yards per reception (24 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 11.6 (42th)

MODERATE · n=24 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#411 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 at Iowa State — 52 ypr

Result L 13-16

The week the volume broke through — put up 52 yds at Iowa State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
278Rec yards
24Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
25.3Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
328.5Rec yards
28Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 278): needs 211/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 278): needs 361/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 24): needs 18/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 24): needs 28/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jacob Gill's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Iowa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #438 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 24 1 rec TD | #358/1110 (68th pct)
Receiving yards 278 11.6 per catch | #372/1107 (66th pct)
Scrimmage yards 278 Total offensive yardage | #372/1107 (66th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
24 68th
YDS
278 66th
YPR
11.6 48th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs UAlbany11313.0013
Wk 2L 13-16@ Iowa State55210.4022Season-high 52 yds
Wk 3W 47-7vs Massachusetts11515.0015
Wk 4W 38-28@ Rutgers11111.0011
Wk 5L 15-20vs Indiana3289.3011
Wk 7W 37-0@ Wisconsin166.006
Wk 9W 41-3vs Minnesota3258.3011
Wk 11L 16-18vs Oregon24321.5038
Wk 12L 21-26@ USC14444.0044
Wk 13W 20-17vs Michigan State4235.8113
BowlW 34-27@ Vanderbilt2189.0013
Total2427813.9144
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Northwestern3-9HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Run-leaning
2022Northwestern1-11HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Balanced
2023Northwestern8-5HC: David Braun · Run-leaning
2024Iowa8-5HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy
2025Iowa9-4HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa2427811.61--
2024Iowa3541111.72--
2023Northwestern11111.00--
2022Northwestern79914.11--
2021Northwestern88510.61--
Career5 loaded seasons7588411.85--
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa----------
2024Iowa513------
2023Northwestern----------
2022Northwestern----------
2021Northwestern----------
Career5 loaded seasons513------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.4% 13.8% pass-game share | #287/1137 (75th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 24 #358/1110 68th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 278 #372/1107 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.6 #578/1106 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.8% #287/1137 75th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 44 #368/1105 67th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.8% #49/1137 96th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.4% #168/1137 85th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.4% #442/1137 61st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.6% #611/1137 46th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.1% #669/1137 41st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.3% #880/1137 23rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.324.512.20.2
Road5g2.026.216.10.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g1.915.99.70.1
Losses4g2.841.821.30.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.020.410.50.0
Weeks 8+4g2.533.819.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

33Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec tds (23rd).

Long catch#317 / 558 · 42nd pct
44rece
Receptions#358 / 558 · 35th pct
24rece
Yards / catch#361 / 558 · 35th pct
11.6rece
Rec yards#372 / 558 · 33rd pct
278rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jacob GillIowaJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 66% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 66% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 64% sim
Long catch
42
Gill
56
Gibson
16
III
56
Jr.
Receptions
35
Gill
92
Gibson
92
III
94
Jr.
Yards / catch
35
Gill
15
Gibson
9
III
28
Jr.
Rec yards
33
Gill
74
Gibson
70
III
84
Jr.
Rec TDs
24
Gill
7
Gibson
24
III
24
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Gabriel Rogers’s 2021 season.

Gabriel Rogers

88%match

Memphis · 2021

#2

Brian Casteel

Arizona · 2021

85%
#3

Geordon Porter

UConn · 2023

87%
#4

Talik Keaton

Marshall · 2020

All-Conference USA
83%
#5

Tyson Mobley

Liberty · 2024

85%

Matches Gabriel on

Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
TD rate

Differs from Gabriel on

Class year (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Derick Eugene’s path through Long Island University.

Derick Eugene

98%match

Long Island University · 2021

#2

Elijah Steward

Lafayette · 2025

98%
#3

John Paul Richardson

TCU · 2024

95%
#4

Dino Tomlin

Boston College · 2023

95%
#5

Drue Jackson

Texas State · 2022

94%

Matches Derick on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Tyson Mobley's graduate season at Liberty (2024).

Tyson Mobley

81%match

Liberty · 2024

#2

Caleb Coombs

Jacksonville State · 2025

75%
#3

Will Nixon

Syracuse · 2025

72%
#4

Roman Hemby

Indiana · 2025

All-Big Ten
72%
#5

Rahmir Johnson

Nebraska · 2024

70%

Matches Tyson on

Yards / reception
Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Tyson on

Recruiting rating (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kirk Ferentz

Pass share

36.6%

286 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

60.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.9%

228 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
2022
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
2023
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
2024
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
2025
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa

Played his entire career under Kirk Ferentz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRaleigh, NC
Height6'0"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Iowa WR4 #438 #476 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Northwestern WR4 #2801 #2852 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Northwestern WR4 #2618 #3312 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Northwestern WR4 #2211 #2468 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Iowa Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Raleigh, NC
2024 Iowa Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Raleigh, NC
2023 Northwestern Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Raleigh, NC
2022 Northwestern Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Raleigh, NC
2021 Northwestern Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Raleigh, NC