cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jacob Stewart /Louisville

Jacob Stewart

TE · Louisville · Sr · #86

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

70 REC YDS · 4 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Louisville for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Louisville for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Louisville

Returning around him

  • 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Louisville player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Louisville · Last season: 9-4 (AP #19) · Talent rank #50 · 2026 recruiting class #68

TE · LOUISVILLE · ACC

Jacob Stewart

  • 4
  • #86
  • 6-5 | 230 lb
  • Woodland, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

34

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3642

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#94 national
CFB
College
Louisville
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey86
Measurements6-5 | 230 lb
HometownWoodland, CA
Primary teamLouisville

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 94 recruit
Composite rating 0.8292 JUCO
Signed with San José State 2024
Origin Sacramento City College Brentwood, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8292 No. 94 recruit | JUCO | San José State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3642Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3485Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to San José State

Composite

0.8292

#94 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jacob Stewart

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jacob Stewart

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
70Rec yards
4Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
17.5Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
227.5Rec yards
13Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 70): needs 70/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 70): needs 103.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 4): needs 6.2/game over remaining 9.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 4): needs 8.4/game over remaining 9.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.8/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jacob Stewart's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Louisville, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3642 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 4 1 rec TD | #287/475 (40th pct)
Receiving yards 70 17.5 per catch | #231/475 (52nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 70 Total offensive yardage | #231/475 (52nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
4 40th
YDS
70 52nd
YPR
17.5 95th
TD
1 71st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 51-17vs Eastern Kentucky111.001
Wk 2W 28-14vs James Madison11515.0015
Wk 11L 26-29vs California11111.0011
Wk 14W 41-0vs Kentucky14343.0143Season-high 43 yds
Total47017.5143
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Louisville47017.51--
Career1 loaded season47017.51--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.6% 2.9% pass-game share | #415/468 (12th pct)
Return yards -6 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #140/475 (71st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 4 #287/475 40th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 70 #231/475 52nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #140/475 71st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 17.5 #26/475 95th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 2.9% #415/468 12th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 43 #59/475 88th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 3.5% #232/468 51st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.6% #263/468 44th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 1.6% #364/468 22nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 1.6% #385/468 18th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 1.2% #372/468 21st pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 0.7% #435/468 7th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g1.017.517.50.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g1.019.719.70.3
Losses1g1.011.011.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.08.08.00.0
Weeks 8+2g1.027.027.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

34Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (98th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#3 / 175 · 99th pct
17.5rece
Long catch#53 / 175 · 69th pct
43rece
Rec TDs#126 / 175 · 21st pct
1rece
Rec yards#174 / 175 · 1st pct
70rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jacob StewartLouisvilleRiley NowakowskiIndiana· 50% simLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 49% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 48% sim
Yards / catch
99
Stewart
71
Nowakowski
53
Lindenmeyer
62
DeGraaf
Long catch
69
Stewart
69
Nowakowski
23
Lindenmeyer
39
DeGraaf
Rec TDs
21
Stewart
43
Nowakowski
43
Lindenmeyer
43
DeGraaf
Rec yards
1
Stewart
77
Nowakowski
63
Lindenmeyer
72
DeGraaf
Receptions
0
Stewart
75
Nowakowski
66
Lindenmeyer
75
DeGraaf

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Brohm

Pass share

50.2%

414 pass / 410 run

Plays / game

63.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

314 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jeff Brohm
Louisville

Played his entire career under Jeff Brohm.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWoodland, CA
Height6'5"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey86

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 San José State TE4 #3642 #3485 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisville ACC TE 4 No. 86 | 6-5 | 230 lb | Woodland, CA
2024 San José State Mountain West TE 4 No. 86 | 6-5 | 230 lb | Woodland, CA