cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / James Jackson /Virginia

James Jackson

LB · Virginia · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

66 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Virginia for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Virginia for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Linebacker · Virginia

Returning around him

  • 28% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +8 net (30 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Virginia · Last season: 11-3 (AP #20) · Talent rank #62 · 2026 recruiting class #58

LB · VIRGINIA · ACC

James Jackson

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-3 | 234 lb
  • Roanoke, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 92nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9102

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

5 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2021

Virginia · LB

2022

Virginia · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

Virginia · LB

2024

Virginia · LB

2025

Virginia · LB

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1344 national
CFB
College
Virginia
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-3 | 234 lb
HometownRoanoke, VA
Primary teamVirginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1344 recruit
Composite rating 0.8444 HighSchool
Signed with Virginia 2021
Origin North Cross School Roanoke, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8444 No. 1344 recruit | HighSchool | Virginia

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9102Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9740Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Virginia

Composite

0.8444

#1344 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on James Jackson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about James Jackson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
66Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
66Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

James Jackson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Virginia's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9102 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 66 24 solo | #316/4942 (94th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
66 94th
SOLO
24 83rd
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
5 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 48-7vs Coastal Carolina310.00.00
Wk 2L 31-35@ NC State820.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 3W 55-16vs William & Mary320.00.00
Wk 4W 48-20vs Stanford300.00.00
Wk 5W 46-38vs Florida State400.00.00
Wk 6W 30-27@ Louisville430.00.01
Wk 8W 22-20vs Washington State620.00.01
Wk 9W 17-16@ North Carolina840.00.00
Wk 10W 31-21@ California200.00.00
Wk 11L 9-16vs Wake Forest721.00.01
Wk 12W 34-17@ Duke210.50.00
Wk 14W 27-7vs Virginia Tech510.00.00
Wk 15L 20-27vs Duke750.00.00
BowlW 13-7@ Missouri411.00.00
Total66242.50.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Virginia6-6HC: Bronco Mendenhall · Pass-heavy
2022Virginia3-7HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
2023Virginia3-9HC: Tony Elliott · Run-leaning
2024Virginia5-7HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
2025Virginia11-3HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia66242.50.03----
2024Virginia45165.02.0------
2023Virginia80344.01.051--
2022Virginia60291.51.01----
2021Virginia310.00.0------
Career5 loaded seasons25410413.04.091--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 66 #316/4942 94th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 24 #790/4584 83rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g4.80.10.00.2
Road6g4.70.20.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins11g4.00.10.00.2
Losses3g7.30.30.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.10.10.00.1
Weeks 8+7g5.30.20.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

62Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (92nd). Strength: tackles (89th). Concern: sacks (23rd).

QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Tackles#316 / 2975 · 89th pct
66defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Solo tackles#790 / 2975 · 73rd pct
24defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
James JacksonVirginiaBlake FletcherAir Force· 85% simBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 85% simAndon ThomasArmy· 81% sim
QB hurries
92
Jackson
92
Fletcher
72
Llewellyn
82
Thomas
Tackles
89
Jackson
99
Fletcher
99
Llewellyn
99
Thomas
Passes defended
78
Jackson
67
Fletcher
86
Llewellyn
91
Thomas
Solo tackles
73
Jackson
91
Fletcher
95
Llewellyn
100
Thomas
Tackles for loss
56
Jackson
28
Fletcher
80
Llewellyn
73
Thomas
Forced fumbles
47
Jackson
47
Llewellyn
Sacks
24
Jackson
24
Fletcher
24
Llewellyn
51
Thomas

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Alec Marenco’s 2023 season.

Alec Marenco

83%match

New Mexico · 2023

#2

Cody Simon

Ohio State · 2023

NFL Rd 4
81%
#3

Trevor Brohard

New Mexico State · 2022

80%
#4

Riko Jeffers

Texas Tech · 2021

80%
#5

Alan Tisdale

Virginia Tech · 2023

80%

Matches Alec on

Sack rate
Weight
TFL rate

Differs from Alec on

Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Ethan Barr's graduate season at UCF (2024).

Ethan Barr

88%match

UCF · 2024

#2

Jermaine Johnson

Massachusetts · 2024

84%
#3

Deshawn Pace

UCF · 2024

80%
#4

Wayne Matthews III

Michigan State · 2025

All-Sun Belt
80%
#5

Shammond Cooper

Akron · 2025

79%

Matches Ethan on

Class year
TFL rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Elliott

Pass share

48.0%

492 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

73.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Bronco Mendenhall
Virginia
2022
Tony Elliott
Virginia
era →
2023
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2024
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2025
Tony Elliott
Virginia

Coaching transition mid-career: Bronco Mendenhall → Tony Elliott. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRoanoke, VA
Height6'3"
Weight234 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2022)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2022 All-Sun Belt all_conference South Alabama | Sun Belt OL

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Virginia LB4 #9102 #9740 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Virginia LB4 #11053 #11644 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Virginia LB4 #9925 #10311 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Virginia LB4 #13243 #13191 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia ACC LB 4 No. 1 | 6-3 | 234 lb | Roanoke, VA
2024 Virginia ACC LB 4 No. 1 | 6-3 | 234 lb | Roanoke, VA
2023 Virginia ACC LB 4 No. 1 | 6-3 | 234 lb | Roanoke, VA
2022 Virginia ACC LB 4 No. 1 | 6-3 | 234 lb | Roanoke, VA
2021 Virginia ACC LB 4 No. 1 | 6-3 | 234 lb | Roanoke, VA