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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jayden Daniels /LSU

Jayden Daniels

QB · LSU · Sr · #5

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLWashington — drafted 2024, Rd 1, Pick 2, #2 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

WashingtonEntering 3rd NFL season

#2Rd 1 · Pick 2
WashingtonEntering 3rd NFL season

QB · LSU · SEC

Jayden Daniels

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-4 | 210 lb
  • San Bernardino, CA

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#2

8.2% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

8.2%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

In contention

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 5 · Apex

R16 · POTY / Heisman winner

Position-of-the-Year / Heisman winner. The trophy is in the case.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R15 POTY finalist · 2023

2021

Arizona State · QB

2022

LSU · QB

R08 · Watch-list name

Recognized

2023

LSU · QB

R15 · POTY finalist

Apex

NFL Draft 2024 · Rd 1, Pick 2 · #2 overall · Washington

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2023
2,3802021
2,9132022
3,8122023

+60%

Up 60% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#35 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
R1 · #2
Washington · 2024

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-4 | 210 lb
HometownSan Bernardino, CA
Primary teamLSU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 35 recruit
Composite rating 0.9832 HighSchool
Signed with Arizona State 2019
Origin Cajon San Bernardino, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 4-star | 0.9832 No. 35 recruit | HighSchool | Arizona State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#2Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2Where the full season sim points
Win probability8.2%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability43.7%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability99.2%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish#1Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Arizona State

Composite

0.9832

#35 national

NFL Draft

2024 · Rd 1, Pick 2

#2 overall · Washington

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jayden Daniels

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jayden Daniels

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Jayden Daniels's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For LSU, he has 3,812 passing yards and 40 touchdown passes, but he also adds 1,134 rushing yards and 10 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #2 8.2% win | 43.7% finalist
Role load 52.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 35 recruit

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,812 40 TD | 4 INT | #5/382 (99th pct)
Completion rate 72.2% 236/327 completions | #52/383 (87th pct)
Yards/attempt 11.7 Explosiveness through the air | #22/382 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Highly efficient | Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerHighly efficientVertical threatDual-threat

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
236 89th
ATT
327 84th
CMP%
72.2% 87th
Y/A
11.7 95th

Passing Production

YDS
3,812 99th
TD
40 100th
INT
4 36th

Rushing

CAR
135 93rd
YDS
1,134 100th
YPC
8.4 94th
TD
10 97th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Arizona State8-4HC: Herm Edwards · Run-heavy
2022LSU10-4HC: Brian Kelly · Balanced
2023LSU10-3HC: Brian Kelly · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2023LSU23632772.2%3,81211.7404208.0----
2022LSU26638868.6%2,9137.5173144.5----
2021Arizona State19730165.4%2,3807.91010136.2----
Career3 loaded seasons6991,01668.8%9,1059.06717162.5----
SeasonTeam
2023LSU1351,1348.410--
2022LSU1868854.811--
2021Arizona State1387105.16--
Career3 loaded seasons4592,7295.927--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 1,134 10 rush TD | #3/408 (100th pct)
Usage 52.4% 96.1% pass share | 21.9% rush share | #60/428 (86th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.35 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #42/200 (80th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,812 #5/382 99th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 40 #2/407 100th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 236 #45/383 89th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 72.2% #52/383 87th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 11.7 #22/382 95th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 1,134 #3/408 100th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.35 #42/200 80th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 314 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 52.4% #60/428 86th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 327 #67/407 84th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 4 #263/407 36th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 135 #28/408 93rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 85 #2/391 100th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 10 #14/408 97th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 8.4 #27/407 94th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 96.1% #14/428 97th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 76.2% #12/428 97th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 74.8% #21/428 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 56.1% #39/428 91st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 42.8% #94/428 78th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 40.9% #101/428 77th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 21.9% #53/428 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.54 #1/140 100th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 104 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Kelly

Pass share

55.0%

443 pass / 363 run

Plays / game

62.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

365 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

2 coaches
2021
Ed Orgeron
LSU
2022
Brian Kelly
LSU
era →
2023
Brian Kelly
LSU

Coaching transition mid-career: Ed Orgeron → Brian Kelly. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSan Bernardino, CA
Height6'4"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

18 entries
🏆

ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS

Consensus AA (2023)

11 first-team selectors

🏅

POSITION AWARDS

Unitas Golden Arm, Walter Camp, Manning

2023 season

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Heisman

Heisman Trophy winner

Won the award in 2023. This should always live at the front of the card's trophy case.

Finalist

1 finalist season

Invited into the official finalist tier in 2023. That belongs in the trophy case, not buried in a table.

All-America

12 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Votes

Heisman votes in 1 season

Even lower-volume award recognition is worth preserving because it marks seasons where a player entered the national conversation.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 Walter Camp position_award LSU | Walter Camp winner | QB
2023 Manning position_award LSU | Manning winner | QB
2023 Unitas Golden Arm position_award LSU | Unitas Golden Arm winner | QB
2023 Heisman position_award LSU | Heisman winner | QB
2023 Davey O'Brien position_award LSU | Davey O'Brien winner | QB
2023 All-SEC all_conference LSU | SEC QB
2023 All-America (SI) all_america LSU | SI first | QB
2023 All-America (USA Today) all_america LSU | USA Today first | QB
2023 All-America (The Athletic) all_america LSU | The Athletic first | QB
2023 All-America (PFF) all_america LSU | PFF first | QB
2023 All-America (CBS) all_america LSU | CBS first | QB
2023 All-America (ESPN) all_america LSU | ESPN first | QB
2023 All-America (Athlon) all_america LSU | Athlon first | QB
2023 All-America (SN) all_america LSU | SN first | QB
2023 All-America (FWAA) all_america LSU | FWAA first | QB
2023 All-America (AFCA) all_america LSU | AFCA first | QB
2023 All-America (AP) all_america LSU | AP first | QB
2023 All-America (Consensus) all_america LSU | Consensus --

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 LSU QB4 #2 #2 8.2% 43.7% Winner 2029 W19 snapshot | SEC | Won the trophy
2022 LSU QB4 #19 #21 1.2% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Arizona State QB4 #53 #53 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 LSU SEC QB 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 210 lb | San Bernardino, CA
2022 LSU SEC QB 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 210 lb | San Bernardino, CA
2021 Arizona State Pac-12 QB 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 210 lb | San Bernardino, CA