CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Riley Leonard
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
Where He Ended Up · NFL
IndianapolisEntering 2nd NFL season
#189Rd 6 · Pick 13
IndianapolisEntering 2nd NFL season
QB · NOTRE DAME · FBS INDEPENDENTS
Riley Leonard
- 4
- #13
- 6-4 | 216 lb
- Fairhope, AL
Heisman Heat
#338
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 3 · RecognizedR11 · National watch / fringe AA
National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2021
Duke · QB
—
★
2022
Duke · QB
R08 · Watch-list name
Recognized
2023
Duke · QB
—
NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 6, Pick 13 · #189 overall · Indianapolis
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2023+189%
Up 189% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Duke
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 · #189
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8704 | No. 683 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Duke -> Notre Dame | 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8704
#683 national
NFL Draft
2025 · Rd 6, Pick 13
#189 overall · Indianapolis
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Riley Leonard
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Riley Leonard
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Riley Leonard's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Notre Dame, he has 1,102 passing yards and 3 touchdown passes, but he also adds 352 rushing yards and 4 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
95 63rd
ATT
165 66th
CMP%
57.6% 34th
Y/A
6.7 45th
Passing Production
YDS
1,102 64th
TD
3 57th
INT
3 43rd
Rushing
CAR
58 74th
YDS
352 87th
YPC
6.1 87th
TD
4 82nd
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Duke3-9HC: David Cutcliffe · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,102 | #138/382 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 3 | #178/407 | 57th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 95 | #141/383 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 57.6% | #254/383 | 34th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.7 | #210/382 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 352 | #54/408 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.30 | #82/200 | 60th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 65 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 23.3% | #203/428 | 53rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 165 | #138/407 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 3 | #234/407 | 43rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 58 | #107/408 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 44 | #56/391 | 86th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.1 | #52/407 | 87th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #74/408 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 28.1% | #224/428 | 48th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 24.2% | #186/428 | 57th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 24.2% | #224/428 | 48th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 23.9% | #228/428 | 47th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 23.1% | #189/428 | 56th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 22.0% | #206/428 | 52nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 18.9% | #71/428 | 84th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.25 | #70/140 | 51st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 45 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Marcus Freeman
Pass share
44.0%
321 pass / 409 run
Plays / game
60.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.7%
257 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
2 coaches2021
Brian Kelly
Notre Dame
2022era →
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2023
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
Coaching transition mid-career: Brian Kelly → Marcus Freeman. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFairhope, AL
Height6'4"
Weight216 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey13
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNotre Dame
ConferenceFBS Independents
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Notre Dame | QB4 | #338 | #198 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | FBS Independents |
| 2023 | Duke | QB4 | #223 | #245 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Duke | QB4 | #24 | #34 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | Duke | QB4 | #606 | #628 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | QB | 4 | No. 13 | 6-4 | 216 lb | Fairhope, AL |
| 2023 | Duke | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 13 | 6-4 | 216 lb | Fairhope, AL |
| 2022 | Duke | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 13 | 6-4 | 216 lb | Fairhope, AL |
| 2021 | Duke | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 13 | 6-4 | 216 lb | Fairhope, AL |