cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jordan Brown /Nevada

Jordan Brown

WR · Nevada · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

183 REC YDS · 16 REC · 0 REC TD

NOW IN NFLCincinnati — drafted 2019, Rd 7, Pick 9, #223 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

CincinnatiEntering 8th NFL season

#223Rd 7 · Pick 9
CincinnatiEntering 8th NFL season

WR · NEVADA · MOUNTAIN WEST

Jordan Brown

  • 4
  • #1
  • 5-10 | 193 lb
  • Dallas, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

17

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 33rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2740

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2022

Texas Tech · WR

2023

Texas Tech · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Nevada · WR

NFL Draft 2019 · Rd 7, Pick 9 · #223 overall · Cincinnati

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
18.02022
2562023
1832025

+917%

Up 917% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 &middot; #223
Cincinnati &middot; 2019

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +2500

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements5-10 | 193 lb
HometownDallas, TX
Primary teamNevada

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2740Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2630Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2019 · Rd 7, Pick 9

#223 overall · Cincinnati

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jordan Brown

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "College football is back, and Penn State kicks off its season against Nevada in "Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Brown

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
183Rec yards
16Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
26.1Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
339.9Rec yards
30Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 183): needs 86.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 183): needs 136.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 16): needs 7.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 16): needs 10.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Jordan Brown already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #2740 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 16 0 rec TD | #465/1110 (58th pct)
Receiving yards 183 11.4 per catch | #493/1107 (56th pct)
Scrimmage yards 183 Total offensive yardage | #493/1107 (56th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
16 58th
YDS
183 56th
YPR
11.4 46th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 11-46@ Penn State23216.0028
Wk 2W 20-17vs Sacramento State45513.8021
Wk 3L 13-14vs Middle Tennessee55811.6021Season-high 58 yds
Wk 4L 16-31@ Western Kentucky2199.5013
Wk 8L 22-24@ New Mexico166.006
Wk 13W 13-7@ Wyoming11313.0013
Wk 14L 17-42vs UNLV100.000
Total1618310.0028
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Texas Tech8-5HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Texas Tech7-6HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
2025Nevada3-9HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Nevada1618311.40--
2023Texas Tech2225611.61--
2022Texas Tech3186.00--
Career3 loaded seasons4145711.11--
SeasonTeam
2025Nevada----------
2023Texas Tech----45----
2022Texas Tech----171----
Career3 loaded seasons----216----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.7% 15.5% pass-game share | #222/1137 (81st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 16 #465/1110 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 183 #493/1107 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.4 #597/1106 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.5% #222/1137 81st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 28 #624/1105 44th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.4% #156/1137 86th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.6% #202/1137 82nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.4% #210/1137 82nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.7% #300/1137 74th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.7% #420/1137 63rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.5% #630/1137 45th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g3.337.78.50.0
Road4g1.517.511.10.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g2.534.013.40.0
Losses5g2.223.08.60.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g3.241.012.70.0
Weeks 8+3g1.06.36.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

17Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec tds (6th).

Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Yards / catch#374 / 558 · 33rd pct
11.4rece
Receptions#465 / 558 · 15th pct
16rece
Rec yards#487 / 558 · 13th pct
183rece
Long catch#490 / 558 · 12th pct
28rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jordan BrownNevadaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 57% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 51% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 50% sim
Fumbles lost
36
Brown
6
III
6
Walker
Yards / catch
33
Brown
9
III
15
Gibson
40
Walker
Receptions
15
Brown
92
III
92
Gibson
95
Walker
Rec yards
13
Brown
70
III
74
Gibson
89
Walker
Long catch
12
Brown
16
III
56
Gibson
39
Walker
Rec TDs
7
Brown
24
III
7
Gibson
42
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to JoJo Earle’s 2021 season.

JoJo Earle

82%match

Alabama · 2021

#2

Roderic Burns

North Texas · 2020

78%
#3

Robert Lewis

Auburn · 2024

82%
#4

Luke Wysong

New Mexico · 2021

81%
#5

Sahmir Hagans

Duke · 2023

79%

Matches JoJo on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Yards / reception

Differs from JoJo on

Weight (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Winston Wright’s path through East Carolina.

Winston Wright

96%match

East Carolina · 2024

#2

Cam Ross

Virginia · 2025

96%
#3

Kaleb Brown

UAB · 2025

96%
#4

Max Tomczak

Youngstown State · 2025

96%
#5

Luke Wysong

Arizona · 2025

All-Mountain West
95%

Matches Winston on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Keegan Jones's graduate season at UCLA (2024).

Keegan Jones

81%match

UCLA · 2024

#2

Julian Gray

Liberty · 2025

78%
#3

Jacquez Stuart

Toledo · 2024

77%
#4

JoJo Earle

UNLV · 2025

76%
#5

Reese Smith

Liberty · 2025

76%

Matches Keegan on

EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume
Yards / reception

Differs from Keegan on

TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Choate

Pass share

42.6%

306 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

59.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

251 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Ken Wilson
Nevada
2023
Ken Wilson
Nevada
2025
Jeff Choate
Nevada
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Ken Wilson → Jeff Choate. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDallas, TX
Height5'10"
Weight193 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-AAC all_conference North Texas | AAC LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas Tech WR4 #2740 #2630 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Texas Tech WR4 #1424 #1482 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas Tech WR4 #2820 #2756 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Kansas WR4 #4538 #5026 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Nevada Mountain West WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 193 lb | Dallas, TX
2024 Texas Tech Big 12 WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 193 lb | Dallas, TX
2023 Texas Tech Big 12 WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 193 lb | Dallas, TX
2022 Texas Tech Big 12 WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 193 lb | Dallas, TX
2021 Kansas Big 12 WR 4 No. 1 | 5-10 | 193 lb | Dallas, TX