CFB Zeitgeist Score
27
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 95th percentile.
Josh Ford
The Hope Economyas of 2026-06-22
Josh Ford is Oklahoma State's offseason bet — the case is potential over production.
45REC YDS3REC1REC TD
Oklahoma State fans sell the ceiling harder than the résumé; the upside is the whole argument.
high confidence3 sources
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Oklahoma State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Oklahoma State
Returning around him
- 44% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- Transfer portal: -10 net (55 in / 65 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Oklahoma State · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #49 · 2026 recruiting class #53
TE · OKLAHOMA STATE · BIG 12
Josh Ford
- 2
- #40
- 6-6 | 265 lb
- Stillwater, OK
Heisman Heat
#3326
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Oklahoma State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8531 | No. 1475 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma State |
| 2010 | 3-star | 0.8422 | No. 1368 recruit | HighSchool | New Mexico |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Oklahoma State
Composite
0.8531
#1475 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Josh Ford
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=4
- National · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Josh Ford
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 3g
45Rec yards
3Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
15Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
195Rec yards
13Receptions
4Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 45): needs 65.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 45): needs 95.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 3): needs 5.7/game over remaining 10.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 3): needs 7.7/game over remaining 10.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.7/game over remaining 10.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 10.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Josh Ford's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oklahoma State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
3 35th
YDS
45 40th
YPR
15.0 90th
TD
1 71st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | L 3-69@ Oregon | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 4 | L 12-19vs Tulsa | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 5 | L 27-45vs Baylor | 1 | 26 | 26.0 | 1 | 26 | Season-high 26 yds |
| Total | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | 1 | 26 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Oklahoma State1-11HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oklahoma State | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #311/475 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 45 | #284/475 | 40th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #140/475 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 15.0 | #48/475 | 90th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.1% | #172/468 | 63rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 26 | #178/475 | 63rd pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 5.9% | #68/468 | 86th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.2% | #178/468 | 62nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.9% | #208/468 | 56th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 3.8% | #137/468 | 71st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.7% | #148/468 | 69th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 2.2% | #294/468 | 37th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 1.0 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 0.5 |
| Road1g | 1.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Losses3g | 1.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 1.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
27Below cohort
Elite: yards / catch (94th). Concern: receptions (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Josh FordOklahoma StateLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 54% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 50% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 47% sim
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Gundy
Pass share
47.5%
365 pass / 403 run
Plays / game
64.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.9%
223 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
Played his entire career under Mike Gundy.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownStillwater, OK
Height6'6"
Weight265 lb
Class2
PositionTE
Jersey40
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOklahoma State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Oklahoma State | TE2 | #3326 | #3278 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | TE | 2 | No. 40 | 6-6 | 265 lb | Stillwater, OK |
| 2024 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | TE | 2 | No. 40 | 6-6 | 265 lb | Stillwater, OK |