CFB Zeitgeist Score
12
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by fumbles lost at the 74th percentile.
Josh Sterzer
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
56 REC YDS · 7 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Utah State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Utah State
Returning around him
- 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +10 net (29 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Utah State · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #114 · 2026 recruiting class #87
TE · UTAH STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Josh Sterzer
- 4
- 6-3 | 230 lb
- Salt Lake City, UT
Heisman Heat
#5042
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025+167%
Up 167% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Utah State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Josh Sterzer
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Josh Sterzer
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 6g
56Rec yards
7Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
9.3Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
121.3Rec yards
15Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 56): needs 92/game over remaining 7.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 56): needs 134.9/game over remaining 7.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 7): needs 7.6/game over remaining 7.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 7): needs 10.4/game over remaining 7.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 7.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.3/game over remaining 7.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Josh Sterzer's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Utah State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
7 53rd
YDS
56 46th
YPR
8.0 31st
TD
1 71st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 6 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 28-16vs UTEP | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 3 | W 49-30vs Air Force | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | 18 | Season-high 18 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 48-7vs McNeese | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 5 | L 35-55@ Vanderbilt | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Wk 8 | W 30-25vs San José State | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-25vs Boise State | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Total | 7 | 56 | 8.8 | 1 | 18 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Utah State10-3HC: Blake Anderson · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Utah State6-7HC: Blake Anderson · Run-leaning
2023Utah State6-7HC: Blake Anderson · Run-leaning
2025Utah State6-7HC: Bronco Mendenhall · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | 7 | 56 | 8.0 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Utah State | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Utah State | 11 | 129 | 11.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | Utah State | 4 | 21 | 5.2 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 24 | 217 | 9.0 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 7 | #224/475 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 56 | #259/475 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #140/475 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.0 | #328/475 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.8% | #303/468 | 35th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 18 | #281/475 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.0% | #199/468 | 58th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.8% | #202/468 | 57th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 2.4% | #292/468 | 38th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 1.7% | #375/468 | 20th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 1.5% | #320/468 | 32nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 1.2% | #372/468 | 21st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/55 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 6 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | 2.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 1.0 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses2g | 1.5 | 12.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 1.0 | 9.8 | 10.3 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 1.5 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
12Below cohort
Concern: receptions (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Josh SterzerUtah StateBryce CaufieldOregon State· 60% simHayden HansenFlorida· 57% simRichie AndersonFresno State· 56% sim
Fumbles lost
Rec TDs
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bronco Mendenhall
Pass share
47.9%
403 pass / 439 run
Plays / game
64.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.7%
339 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2022
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2023
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2025era →
Bronco Mendenhall
Utah State
Coaching transition mid-career: Blake Anderson → Bronco Mendenhall. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSalt Lake City, UT
Height6'3"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionTE
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUtah State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Utah State | TE4 | #5042 | #5647 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Utah State | TE4 | #4399 | #4496 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Utah State | TE4 | #2883 | #3296 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | Utah State | TE4 | #3856 | #3934 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Salt Lake City, UT |
| 2024 | Utah State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Salt Lake City, UT |
| 2023 | Utah State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Salt Lake City, UT |
| 2022 | Utah State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Salt Lake City, UT |
| 2021 | Utah State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Salt Lake City, UT |