Justin Marshall

Senior wide receiver for Buffalo. 2022: 58 catches, 754 receiving yards, 7 TD.

WR · Buffalo · Sr. · #1

6′3″ · 210 lb · Conyers, GA

CFB Index 68 · #88 of 488 WRsHigh confidenceBuffalo 2022 alumnus

Recruiting

3★

WR recruit

No. 431 nationally · Signed with Louisville

No college snaps yet.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 wide receiver for Buffalo. 2022: 58 catches, 754 receiving yards, 7 TD.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Louisville in 2017.
Transferred from Louisville to Buffalo in 2022.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Four seasons at Buffalo, 1,298 receiving yards — his college career is complete.

His career

He was on the field for 4 seasons. That is rarer than it sounds.

The week the volume broke through — put up 127 yds vs Georgia Southern.Georgia Southern · W 23-212022

2017

Signed with Louisville3-star out of Newton

202212 games

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

★★★

#431 national

CFB

College

2 teams

2019–2022

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2019–2022

2 coaches

2019–2020

Lance Leipold

Buffalo

2021–2022

Maurice Linguist

Buffalo

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Lance Leipold → Maurice Linguist. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

2022 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2019Louisville8-5HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-heavy

2020Louisville4-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning

2021Louisville6-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning, fast tempo

2022Buffalo7-6HC: Maurice Linguist · Run-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

68Quality starter #88 of 488?

High confidence10 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (89th percentile). Strength: receptions (86th percentile). Concern: catch rate (15th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Yards / catch#200 / 636 · 69th pct

13.7

TD rate#245 / 636 · 62nd pct

7.6%

EPA / target#284 / 636 · 55th pct

0.72

Explosive rate#419 / 636 · 34th pct

10.1%

Catch rate#544 / 636 · 15th pct

65.8%

Box-score rates (5)

Rec TDs#46 / 550 · 89th pct

Receptions#76 / 550 · 86th pct

Rec yards#91 / 550 · 84th pct

754

Long catch#94 / 550 · 82nd pct

Yards / catch#263 / 550 · 52nd pct

13.0

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / target

61st → 55th percentile

Explosive rate

30th → 34th percentile

Catch rate

28th → 15th percentile

TD rate

22nd → 62nd percentile

Yards / catch

66th → 69th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2022 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home5g	5.4	66.8	11.7	0.8
Road7g	4.4	60.0	14.5	0.4

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-78g	5.4	74.8	15.2	0.8
Weeks 8+4g	3.8	39.0	9.6	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Pete Lembo

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2022

Part-time starter

Splitting first-team reps — starts some weeks, rotates others.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

68 · #88 of 488 WRs

Three-star recruit. Now #88 at the position.

Career stats

Season	Team
2022	Buffalo	58	754	13.0	7	--
2021	Louisville	23	322	14.0	1	--
2020	Louisville	7	87	12.4	0	--
2019	Louisville	6	135	22.5	0	--
Career		94	1,298	13.8	8	--

Season	Team
2022	Buffalo	--	--	19	--	--
2021	Louisville	--	--	--	--	--
2020	Louisville	--	--	--	--	--
2019	Louisville	--	--	--	--	--
Career		--	--	19	--	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 8 · 2022

W 34–27

vs Toledo

3 rec · 26 yds

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 7 at home.

With R. Cook Jr. — 118 rush yds (18 car) · 1 TD · C. Snyder — 245 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · QBR 32.5 · -2 rush yds (9 car) · 1 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 7 · Massachusetts · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +5.90Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 49 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)
Week 2 · Holy Cross · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +5.61Justin Marshall 69 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick)
Week 1 · Georgia Southern · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.23Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 16 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST down
Week 10 · Ohio · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.14Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 12 yds for a TD OHIO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Torrie Cox Jr.) declined, (Alex McNulty KICK)
Week 5 · Miami (OH) · 3&8 · Q4 · EPA +3.13Justin Marshall 15 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick)
Week 10 · Ohio · 3&10 · Q4 · EPA +3.00Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 12 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Holy Cross · 1&15 · Q1 · EPA +2.91Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 20 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)
Week 1 · Georgia Southern · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.87Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 32 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)
Week 1 · Georgia Southern · 3&8 · Q1 · EPA +2.81Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 15 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Georgia Southern · 3&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.80Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 11 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2022 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 10-31@ Maryland	4	52	13.0	0	34	Season-high 127 yds
Wk 2	L 31-37vs Holy Cross	5	116	23.2	2	69	2 TD catches
Wk 3	L 26-38@ Coastal Carolina	8	88	11.0	1	17
Wk 4	W 50-31@ Eastern Michigan	3	45	15.0	0	30
Wk 5	W 24-20vs Miami (OH)	6	52	8.7	1	15
Wk 6	W 38-7@ Bowling Green	3	43	14.3	0	21
Wk 7	W 34-7@ Massachusetts	3	75	25.0	1	49
Wk 8	W 34-27vs Toledo	3	26	8.7	0	9
Wk 10	L 24-45@ Ohio	6	72	12.0	1	27
Wk 11	L 27-31@ Central Michigan	4	45	11.3	0	17
Wk 13	L 27-30vs Kent State	2	13	6.5	0	7
Bowl	W 23-21vs Georgia Southern	11	127	11.5	1	32
Total		58	754	13.4	7	69

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology