cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Keontez Bradley /Buffalo

Keontez Bradley

CB · Buffalo · So · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

28 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Buffalo for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Buffalo for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Cornerback · Buffalo

Returning around him

  • 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Buffalo player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (16 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Buffalo · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #112 · 2026 recruiting class #92

CB · BUFFALO · MID-AMERICAN

Keontez Bradley

  • 2
  • #9
  • 6-2 | 185 lb
  • Mansfield, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

39

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9882

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#970 national
CFB
College
Buffalo
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class2
Jersey9
Measurements6-2 | 185 lb
HometownMansfield, OH
Primary teamBuffalo

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 970 recruit
Composite rating 0.8653 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Mansfield Mansfield, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8653 No. 970 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Buffalo 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 23, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Arizona State -> Buffalo 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9882Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9551Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8653

#970 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keontez Bradley

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keontez Bradley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
28Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 28): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 28): needs 72/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Keontez Bradley is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Buffalo's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9882 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 28 17 solo | #1469/4942 (70th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
28 70th
SOLO
17 73rd
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 10-23@ Minnesota330.00.00
Wk 2W 45-6vs St. Francis (PA)110.00.00
Wk 3W 31-28@ Kent State110.00.00
Wk 4L 17-21vs Troy200.00.02
Wk 5L 17-20vs UConn110.00.00
Wk 6W 31-30vs Eastern Michigan110.00.00
Wk 8W 28-21@ Massachusetts200.00.00
Wk 9L 16-24vs Akron110.00.00
Wk 10W 28-3@ Bowling Green330.00.00
Wk 12L 19-38@ Central Michigan420.00.00
Wk 13L 20-37vs Miami (OH)740.00.01Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 14L 26-31vs Ohio200.00.01
Total28170.00.04
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Buffalo28170.00.04----
Career1 loaded season28170.00.04----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 28 #1469/4942 70th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 17 #1252/4584 73rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.10.00.00.6
Road5g2.60.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g1.60.00.00.0
Losses7g2.90.00.00.6

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.50.00.00.3
Weeks 8+6g3.20.00.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

39Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Solo tackles#1252 / 2975 · 56th pct
17defe
Tackles#1469 / 2975 · 49th pct
28defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Keontez BradleyBuffaloTyler MartinMassachusetts· 69% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 69% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 68% sim
Passes defended
86
Bradley
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Solo tackles
56
Bradley
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Tackles
49
Bradley
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Forced fumbles
47
Bradley
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Bradley
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Bradley
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
Tackles for loss
7
Bradley
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Press Corner

Long and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Justin Ross’s 2025 season.

Justin Ross

90%match

Navy · 2025

#2

Dylahn McKinney

Colorado · 2025

81%
#3

Jordan Matthews

Vanderbilt · 2025

80%
#4

Elijah Blades

Buffalo · 2022

80%
#5

Delvon Gulley

UAB · 2025

78%

Matches Justin on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Justin Ross's sophomore season at Navy (2025).

Justin Ross

87%match

Navy · 2025

#2

Therrian Alexander

BYU · 2025

86%
#3

Jaiden Patterson

North Carolina · 2025

83%
#4

Javon Batten

Massachusetts · 2022

82%
#5

Delvon Gulley

UAB · 2025

81%

Matches Justin on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Pete Lembo

Pass share

49.8%

409 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

338 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Pete Lembo
Buffalo

Played his entire career under Pete Lembo.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMansfield, OH
Height6'2"
Weight185 lb
Class2
PositionCB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arizona State CB2 #9882 #9551 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Arizona State CB2 #14552 #14611 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Buffalo Mid-American CB 2 No. 9 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Mansfield, OH
2024 Arizona State Big 12 CB 2 No. 9 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Mansfield, OH
2023 Arizona State Pac-12 CB 2 No. 9 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Mansfield, OH