cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Shamar Rigby /Oklahoma State

Shamar Rigby

WR · Oklahoma State · So · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

351 REC YDS · 25 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Oklahoma State → Wisconsin for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Wisconsin

2025Oklahoma State
2026Wisconsin

WR · OKLAHOMA STATE · BIG 12

Shamar Rigby

  • 2
  • #7
  • 6-3 | 190 lb
  • St. Petersburg, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

43

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2283

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
1132024
3512025

+211%

Up 211% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#756 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey7
Measurements6-3 | 190 lb
HometownSt. Petersburg, FL
Primary teamOklahoma State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 756 recruit
Composite rating 0.8753 HighSchool
Signed with Purdue 2024
Origin Clearwater Central Catholic Clearwater, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8753 No. 756 recruit | HighSchool | Purdue

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Wisconsin 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 4, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Oklahoma State -> Wisconsin 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate
2025 Purdue -> Oklahoma State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2283Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3108Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Purdue

Composite

0.8753

#756 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Shamar Rigby

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Shamar Rigby

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.0

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #161 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 70th

Why it matters

#161 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.0 yards per reception (25 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.0 (70th)

MODERATE · n=25 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#351 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 5 vs Baylor — 84 ypr

Result L 27-45

The week the volume broke through — put up 84 yds vs Baylor.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
351Rec yards
25Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
31.9Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
414.8Rec yards
30Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 351): needs 174.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 351): needs 324.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 25): needs 17.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 25): needs 27.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Shamar Rigby's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oklahoma State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2283 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 25 1 rec TD | #347/1110 (69th pct)
Receiving yards 351 14.0 per catch | #320/1107 (71st pct)
Scrimmage yards 351 Total offensive yardage | #320/1107 (71st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
25 69th
YDS
351 71st
YPR
14.0 68th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-7vs UT Martin25025.0041
Wk 2L 3-69@ Oregon177.007
Wk 4L 12-19vs Tulsa294.506
Wk 5L 27-45vs Baylor58416.8039Season-high 84 yds
Wk 6L 13-41@ Arizona144.004
Wk 7L 17-39vs Houston11717.0017
Wk 8L 17-49vs Cincinnati14848.0048
Wk 10L 21-38@ Kansas33110.3114
Wk 12L 6-14vs Kansas State33612.0025
Wk 13L 14-17@ UCF11313.0013
Wk 14L 13-20vs Iowa State55210.4020
Total2535115.3148
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Purdue1-11HC: Ryan Walters · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Oklahoma State1-11HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma State2535114.01--
2024Purdue1111310.30--
Career2 loaded seasons3646412.91--
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma State----------
2024Purdue15------
Career2 loaded seasons15------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.2% 10.2% pass-game share | #478/1137 (58th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 25 #347/1110 69th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 351 #320/1107 71st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.0 #350/1106 68th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 10.2% #478/1137 58th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 48 #298/1105 73rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.1% #286/1137 75th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.1% #586/1137 49th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.2% #461/1137 60th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.9% #435/1137 62nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.7% #420/1137 63rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.8% #837/1137 26th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g2.742.319.10.0
Road4g1.513.88.60.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g2.050.025.00.0
Losses10g2.330.114.30.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.028.512.40.0
Weeks 8+5g2.636.018.70.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

43Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec tds (23rd).

Yards / catch#201 / 558 · 63rd pct
14.0rece
Long catch#260 / 558 · 52nd pct
48rece
Rec yards#320 / 558 · 43rd pct
351rece
Receptions#347 / 558 · 37th pct
25rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Shamar RigbyOklahoma StateKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 65% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 64% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 64% sim
Yards / catch
63
Rigby
28
Jr.
40
Walker
15
Gibson
Long catch
52
Rigby
56
Jr.
39
Walker
56
Gibson
Rec yards
43
Rigby
84
Jr.
89
Walker
74
Gibson
Receptions
37
Rigby
94
Jr.
95
Walker
92
Gibson
Rec TDs
24
Rigby
24
Jr.
42
Walker
7
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Lawrence Arnold’s 2024 season.

Lawrence Arnold

83%match

Kansas · 2024

#2

Patrick Bryant

Illinois · 2022

81%
#3

Broc Thompson

Marshall · 2020

74%
#4

Brayden Cosper

BYU · 2022

78%
#5

Darrell Gill Jr.

Syracuse · 2024

78%

Matches Lawrence on

Yards / reception
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Lawrence on

Class year (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to DeVontres Dukes’s path through South Florida.

DeVontres Dukes

100%match

South Florida · 2020

#2

Jalen McDonald

Merrimack · 2025

97%
#3

Grant DuBose

Charlotte · 2022

All-Conference USANFL Rd 7
94%
#4

Kobe Clark

Abilene Christian · 2022

93%
#5

Jarrod Barnes

Central Arkansas · 2023

93%

Matches DeVontres on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Brady Kluse's sophomore season at Memphis (2025).

Brady Kluse

78%match

Memphis · 2025

#2

Brayden Cosper

BYU · 2022

78%
#3

Roman Mothershed

Troy · 2025

77%
#4

John Adams

Temple · 2024

75%
#5

JaVonnie Gibson

Oklahoma · 2025

74%

Matches Brady on

Yards / reception
Height
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Brady on

TD rate (lower)
Recruiting rating (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Gundy

Pass share

47.5%

365 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

64.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.9%

223 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2025
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State

Played his entire career under Mike Gundy.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSt. Petersburg, FL
Height6'3"
Weight190 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Purdue WR2 #2283 #3108 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oklahoma State Big 12 WR 2 No. 7 | 6-3 | 190 lb | St. Petersburg, FL
2024 Purdue Big Ten WR 2 No. 7 | 6-3 | 190 lb | St. Petersburg, FL