cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tyler Brown /James Madison

Tyler Brown

S · James Madison · So · #13

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

71 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred James Madison → Iowa for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Iowa

2025James Madison
2026Iowa

S · JAMES MADISON · SUN BELT

Tyler Brown

  • 2
  • #13
  • 5-11 | 194 lb
  • Annapolis, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 77th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9647

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2443 national
CFB
College
James Madison
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +2500

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class2
Jersey13
Measurements5-11 | 194 lb
HometownAnnapolis, MD
Primary teamJames Madison

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2443 recruit
Composite rating 0.8100 HighSchool
Signed with James Madison 2024
Origin Archbishop Spalding Severn, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8100 No. 2443 recruit | HighSchool | James Madison

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Iowa 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 9, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 James Madison -> Iowa 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9647Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9160Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to James Madison

Composite

0.8100

#2443 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tyler Brown

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tyler Brown

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
71Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
71Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tyler Brown is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on James Madison's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9647 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 4.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 71 37 solo | #253/4942 (95th pct)
TFL 4.5 Backfield disruption | #648/4972 (87th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
71 95th
SOLO
37 93rd
TFL
4.5 87th
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Weber State420.00.012
Wk 2L 14-28@ Louisville400.00.00
Wk 4W 31-13@ Liberty330.00.00
Wk 5W 35-10vs Georgia Southern640.00.00
Wk 6W 14-7@ Georgia State521.00.00
Wk 7W 24-14vs Louisiana820.50.00
Wk 8W 63-27vs Old Dominion850.00.00
Wk 11W 35-23@ Marshall1380.00.01Season-high 13 tackles
Wk 12W 58-10vs App State320.00.00
Wk 13W 24-20vs Washington State731.00.00
Wk 14W 59-10@ Coastal Carolina110.00.00
Wk 15W 31-14vs Troy752.01.02
BowlL 34-51@ Oregon200.00.00
Total71374.51.015
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025James Madison12-2HC: Bob Chesney · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025James Madison71374.51.051--
Career1 loaded season71374.51.051--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 71 #253/4942 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.5 #648/4972 87th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 37 #303/4584 93rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g6.10.50.10.6
Road6g4.70.20.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins11g5.90.40.10.5
Losses2g3.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.60.20.00.3
Weeks 8+6g6.50.50.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

64Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (91st). Strength: passes defended (90th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles#253 / 2975 · 91st pct
71defe
Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
Solo tackles#303 / 2975 · 90th pct
37defe
Tackles for loss#648 / 2975 · 77th pct
4.5defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tyler BrownJames MadisonNick AndersenWake Forest· 92% simOwen LongColorado State· 91% simBrevin HamblinUtah State· 89% sim
Tackles
91
Brown
99
Andersen
100
Long
99
Hamblin
Passes defended
91
Brown
96
Andersen
91
Long
98
Hamblin
Solo tackles
90
Brown
96
Andersen
99
Long
99
Hamblin
Tackles for loss
77
Brown
90
Andersen
80
Long
56
Hamblin
Sacks
63
Brown
74
Andersen
80
Long
74
Hamblin
Interceptions
31
Brown
31
Hamblin
QB hurries
22
Brown
22
Andersen
22
Long
22
Hamblin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to C.J. Heard’s 2025 season.

C.J. Heard

82%match

Vanderbilt · 2025

#2

Rayuan Lane

Navy · 2022

78%
#3

Jeremiah Lewis

Northwestern · 2022

77%
#4

Miles Greer

Buffalo · 2025

77%
#5

Kal-El Pascal

Bowling Green · 2025

79%

Matches C.J. on

Class year
Height
Interceptions

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Mykael Wright's sophomore season at Oregon (2021).

Mykael Wright

86%match

Oregon · 2021

#2

C.J. Heard

Vanderbilt · 2025

85%
#3

Kal-El Pascal

Bowling Green · 2025

82%
#4

Xavier Smith

UTEP · 2024

72%
#5

Zach Williams

Tulsa · 2025

72%

Matches Mykael on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bob Chesney

Pass share

39.7%

385 pass / 584 run

Plays / game

69.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

269 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Bob Chesney
James Madison

Played his entire career under Bob Chesney.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAnnapolis, MD
Height5'11"
Weight194 lb
Class2
PositionS
Jersey13

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 James Madison S2 #9647 #9160 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 James Madison Sun Belt S 2 No. 13 | 5-11 | 194 lb | Annapolis, MD
2024 James Madison Sun Belt S 2 No. 13 | 5-11 | 194 lb | Annapolis, MD