CFB Zeitgeist Score
66
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 68th percentile.
Zavion Thomas
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
488 REC YDS · 41 REC · 4 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Chicago2026 NFL rookie season
WR · LSU · SEC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
66
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 68th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#330
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Mississippi State · WR
—
2023
Mississippi State · WR
—
2024
LSU · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
LSU · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025Up 12100% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.8926 | No. 391 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State |
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8663 | No. 756 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Mississippi State -> LSU | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Mississippi State -> Mississippi State | 4-star | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Mississippi State
Composite
0.8926
#391 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 3, Pick 25
#89 overall · Chicago
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
75
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
11.9
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#297 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.9 yards per reception (41 catches).
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=41 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 12 vs Arkansas — 80 ypr
Result W 23-22
The week the volume broke through — put up 80 yds vs Arkansas.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Zavion Thomas already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Returns
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 17-10@ Clemson | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 2 | W 23-7vs Louisiana Tech | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 3 | W 20-10vs Florida | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 1 | 23 | |
| Wk 4 | W 56-10vs SE Louisiana | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 5 | L 19-24@ Ole Miss | 3 | 63 | 21.0 | 0 | 50 | |
| Wk 7 | W 20-10vs South Carolina | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 8 | L 24-31@ Vanderbilt | 4 | 75 | 18.8 | 1 | 62 | |
| Wk 9 | L 25-49vs Texas A&M | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 11 | L 9-20@ Alabama | 5 | 49 | 9.8 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 12 | W 23-22vs Arkansas | 6 | 80 | 13.3 | 0 | 34 | Season-high 80 yds |
| Wk 13 | W 13-10vs Western Kentucky | 6 | 47 | 7.8 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 14 | L 13-17@ Oklahoma | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | 1 | 18 | |
| Bowl | L 35-38@ Houston | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Total | 41 | 488 | 12.3 | 4 | 62 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LSU | 41 | 488 | 11.9 | 4 | -- |
| 2024 | LSU | 23 | 218 | 9.5 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | 40 | 503 | 12.6 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 106 | 1,213 | 11.4 | 7 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LSU | 19 | 99 | 22 | 170 | -- |
| 2024 | LSU | 9 | 76 | 633 | 66 | -- |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | 12 | 23 | 202 | 163 | -- |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | -- | -- | 95 | 202 | 1 |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 40 | 198 | 952 | 601 | 1 |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 41 | #178/1110 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 488 | #233/1107 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 4 | #152/1111 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.9 | #556/1106 | 50th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 22 | #172/238 | 28th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 170 | #27/224 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.7% | #556/1137 | 51st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 99 | #24/397 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 48 | #15/346 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 19 | #14/407 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.2 | #164/393 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #19/411 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 62 | #154/1105 | 86th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 22.0 | #71/236 | 70th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 17 | #27/237 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 10.0 | #73/222 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #169/243 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.9% | #397/1137 | 65th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.7% | #243/1137 | 79th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 7.5% | #239/1137 | 79th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.2% | #225/1137 | 80th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.2% | #203/1137 | 82nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.0% | #458/1137 | 60th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 6.0% | #17/1137 | 99th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 3.4 | 33.9 | 9.4 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 2.8 | 41.8 | 15.6 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 3.4 | 35.4 | 11.0 | 0.3 |
| Losses6g | 2.8 | 40.0 | 13.8 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.3 | 28.4 | 13.1 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 4.2 | 48.2 | 11.3 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: rush yards (92nd). Strength: rush tds (85th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to BJ Hawkins Jr.’s 2025 season.
BJ Hawkins Jr.
Roderic Burns
TJ Sheffield
DeMeer Blankumsee
Will Pauling
Matches BJ on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Harris’s path through Furman.
Joshua Harris
Hunter Long
Jake Bailey
Taylor Grimes
Jalen McDonald
Matches Joshua on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Preston Fox's senior season at West Virginia (2023).
Preston Fox
Cade McDonald
Yulkeith Brown
Nate Mccollum
Roderic Burns
Matches Preston on
Differs from Preston on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brian Kelly
Pass share
55.0%
443 pass / 363 run
Plays / game
62.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
365 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Brian Kelly.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-SEC
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-SEC | all_conference | LSU | SEC | AP |
| 2024 | All-SEC | all_conference | LSU | SEC | AP |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | LSU | WR4 | #330 | #363 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | WR4 | #994 | #1261 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | WR4 | #2821 | #2564 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LSU | SEC | WR | 4 | 5-10 | 192 lb | Woodmere, LA |
| 2024 | LSU | SEC | WR | 4 | 5-10 | 192 lb | Woodmere, LA |
| 2023 | Mississippi State | SEC | WR | 4 | 5-10 | 192 lb | Woodmere, LA |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | SEC | WR | 4 | 5-10 | 192 lb | Woodmere, LA |