Alabama

Home-field advantage · Alabama · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Alabama is worth +6.4 points more at home than on the road.

Top third of FBS, 84th percentile of 133 programs

94% at home, 79% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (45–3 home, 31–8 away). Interval ±3.9.

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Alabama has beaten the number by +2.2 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±6.7 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Bryant-Denny Stadium seats 101,821 and has averaged 98% full (99,812, 29 games reported). Visitors cover a median 280 miles to get here since 2018 — 29th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 24% of the 2026 roster (29 of 123 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 55 home games since 2018.