Clemson

1-1Coaches #23

ACC · Dabo Swinney, year 19 (188-54) · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · 81,500 · 81,150 avg in 2026

The nationCoaches #23preseason poll
The model#19 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #50 (+5.2) · FPI #46
The marketClemson by 3.5vs North Carolina · our model 86% Clemson · a number, not a pick

LastW 22–7 vs Georgia Southern · Sat Sep 12 · Will Heldt 2 sacks, 3 TFL, 3 tackles

Nextvs North Carolina · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · Clemson by 3.5 · series 40-18-1, won the last 7 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
16.0
Pts allowed/game
29.0
Total yards/gm#134 / 138 · 3rd pct
246.0
Rush yards/gm#126 / 138 · 9th pct
95.0
Pass yards/gm#124 / 138 · 11th pct
151.0
Yards allowed/gm#122 / 138 · 12th pct
455.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#104 / 138 · 25th pct
165.5
SacksT-#80 / 138 · 33rd pct
3
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down conv#136 / 138 · 2nd pct
11.1%
All 90 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
492246.0/gm4.03/play#134 / 138 · 3rd pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#17 / 17 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
910455.0/gm5.69/play#122 / 138 · 12th pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#17 / 17 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
19095.0/gm1.56/play#126 / 138 · 9th pct#65 / 69 · 7th pct#15 / 17 · 15th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
331165.5/gm2.07/play#104 / 138 · 25th pct#64 / 69 · 8th pct#14 / 17 · 21st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6532.5/gmT-#104 / 138 · 23rd pctT-#53 / 69 · 22nd pct#13 / 17 · 26th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
7638.0/gmT-#101 / 138 · 26th pctT-#59 / 69 · 14th pctT-#13 / 17 · 24th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
10.5/gmT-#123 / 138 · 8th pctT-#64 / 69 · 5th pctT-#14 / 17 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#107 / 138 · 18th pctT-#62 / 69 · 7th pctT-#15 / 17 · 12th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
302151.0/gm2.48/play#124 / 138 · 11th pct#67 / 69 · 4th pct#17 / 17 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
579289.5/gm3.62/play#123 / 138 · 11th pct#67 / 69 · 4th pct#15 / 17 · 15th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
5728.5/gmT-#74 / 138 · 46th pctT-#43 / 69 · 38th pctT-#11 / 17 · 35th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
8442.0/gmT-#125 / 138 · 9th pctT-#64 / 69 · 7th pct#16 / 17 · 9th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3417.0/gmT-#86 / 138 · 36th pctT-#53 / 69 · 23rd pctT-#12 / 17 · 29th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4924.5/gmT-#121 / 138 · 12th pctT-#62 / 69 · 10th pct#14 / 17 · 21st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
10.5/gmT-#114 / 138 · 11th pctT-#60 / 69 · 8th pctT-#15 / 17 · 9th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#75 / 138 · 36th pctT-#47 / 69 · 22nd pctT-#10 / 17 · 35th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
106.4106.4#109 / 115 · 6th pct#59 / 59 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
123.3123.3#43 / 91 · 53rd pct#27 / 41 · 35th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#10 / 13 · 31st pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
21.0/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#8 / 69 · 78th pctT-#3 / 17 · 76th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 69 · 64th pctT-#4 / 17 · 53rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
31.5/gmT-#80 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#49 / 69 · 22nd pctT-#10 / 17 · 32nd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#121 / 138 · 11th pctT-#65 / 69 · 6th pct#16 / 17 · 9th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
73.5/gmT-#111 / 138 · 16th pctT-#61 / 69 · 10th pctT-#14 / 17 · 18th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
2211.0/gm#138 / 138 · 1st pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#17 / 17 · 3rd pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3015.0/gmT-#126 / 138 · 8th pctT-#65 / 69 · 6th pct#17 / 17 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5226.0/gm#129 / 138 · 7th pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#17 / 17 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
31.5/gm#136 / 138 · 2nd pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#17 / 17 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
157.5/gmT-#120 / 138 · 12th pctT-#64 / 69 · 7th pctT-#13 / 17 · 21st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2713.5/gmT-#57 / 138 · 57th pctT-#24 / 69 · 64th pctT-#7 / 17 · 59th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3316.5/gmT-#115 / 138 · 16th pctT-#62 / 69 · 9th pct#17 / 17 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
00.0/gmT-#114 / 138 · 9th pctT-#52 / 69 · 13th pctT-#11 / 17 · 21st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 69 · 62nd pctT-#4 / 17 · 59th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
00.0/gmT-#135 / 138 · 1st pctT-#66 / 69 · 3rd pct#17 / 17 · 3rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#54 / 138 · 52nd pctT-#30 / 69 · 49th pctT-#9 / 17 · 47th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
55:3327:46/gm#111 / 138 · 20th pct#58 / 69 · 17th pct#14 / 17 · 21st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
64:2732:14/gm#101 / 138 · 27th pct#58 / 69 · 17th pct#14 / 17 · 21st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.06 EPA/play2220 / 3360.62006.100111.511.3
-0.30 EPA/play17214 / 2360.91024.41295.135
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
-0.05 EPA/play8221823.9021
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.60 EPA/play121113412.2145
+0.21 EPA/play1228648022
+0.98 EPA/play626559.2020

2026 stat leaders · Clemson

through 2 games

Sammy Brown leads Clemson with 15 tackles through 2 games.

1. Sammy Brown LB 15 tackles
2. Jerome Carter S 15 tackles
3. Corey Myrick S 15 tackles
4. Jeremiah Alexander LB 13 tackles
5. Corian Gipson CB 12 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Clemson fields a capable pass-first offense behind a strong, gives up the big play defense.

Offense
51st pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
54% pass plays
Defense
71st pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
13th pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Clemson · 2025

Clemson reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 20%) and passing epa allowed (top 29%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Clemson sits at the 12th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.17
51st
Success Rate +0.42
52nd
Explosive Plays +1.22
35th
Rushing EPA +0.08
40th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.09
71st
Success Rate Allowed +0.38
81st
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.36
13th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.17
72nd

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.25
50th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.04
67th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 13 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Clemson · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Clemson is worth +2.2 points more at home than on the road.

Bottom third of FBS, 20th percentile of 133 programs

83% at home, 74% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (39–8 home, 29–10 away). Interval ±4.4.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Clemson has beaten the number by −3.1 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±7.0 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) seats 81,500 and has averaged 99% full (80,516, 29 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 268 miles trip since 2018, the 21st-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. 19% of the 2026 roster (23 of 119 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 55 home games since 2018.

Home39–8Away29–10Edge+2.2 ±4.4Visitor trip268 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Clemson hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

1st percentile success on standard downs, 19th on passing downs — a 18-point gap between the two.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantClemsonWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i18th standard · 41st passingUNLV51st standard · 7th passingStanford76th standard · 15th passingEastern Michigan52nd standard · 10th passingSan José State54th standard · 22nd passingNew Mexico State45th standard · 75th passingSacramento State23rd standard · 14th passingOklahoma State41st standard · 49th passingDuke20th standard · 29th passingFlorida State28th standard · 65th passingRutgers30th standard · 71st passingKansas70th standard · 35th passingBoston College27th standard · 56th passingNorfolk State16th standard · 9th passingLouisville96th standard · 70th passingMissouri36th standard · 85th passingMemphis69th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Southern24th standard · 45th passingOle Miss94th standard · 50th passingJacksonville State65th standard · 82nd passingNorth Dakota State86th standard · 27th passingArizona92nd standard · 86th passingUSC97th standard · 99th passingWake Forest56th standard · 97th passingTCU93rd standard · 8th passingDelaware70th standard · 31st passingUAB65th standard · 81st passingMichigan State62nd standard · 29th passingSouth Florida91st standard · 52nd passingFlorida International46th standard · 43rd passingNavy98th standard · 59th passingWisconsin13th standard · 18th passingOregon State10th standard · 38th passingSyracuse48th standard · 64th passingOhio State90th standard · 40th passingBall State12th standard · 24th passingPittsburgh30th standard · 76th passingColorado35th standard · 77th passingGeorgia Tech58th standard · 44th passingAuburn75th standard · 55th passingBaylor40th standard · 96th passingNorth Texas49th standard · 68th passingApp State44th standard · 90th passingIowa State4th standard · 23rd passingUTSA99th standard · 29th passingArkansas60th standard · 80th passingBoise State58th standard · 46th passingOregon35th standard · 33rd passingTulsa56th standard · 1st passingTulane31st standard · 2nd passingPurdue83rd standard · 88th passingMiddle Tennessee87th standard · 68th passingVanderbilt80th standard · 12th passingSan Diego State4th standard · 40th passingLSU33rd standard · 98th passingClemson1st standard · 19th passingCentral Michigan16th standard · 6th passingTexas Tech88th standard · 48th passingMichigan2nd standard · 62nd passingWestern Michigan39th standard · 20th passingOhio38th standard · 17th passingBuffalo7th standard · 14th passingTexas72nd standard · 94th passingCoastal Carolina61st standard · 52nd passingColorado State82nd standard · 91st passingWyoming65th standard · 36th passingTexas A&M85th standard · 72nd passingLiberty14th standard · 59th passingFlorida Atlantic43rd standard · 87th passingLouisiana19th standard · 92nd passingSouth Alabama50th standard · 73rd passingTroy22nd standard · 59th passingSam Houston78th standard · 61st passingNevada77th standard · 52nd passingWestern Kentucky25th standard · 34th passingWashington State8th standard · 3rd passingWashington81st standard · 4th passingCalifornia9th standard · 25th passingCharlotte73rd standard · 83rd passingTennessee65th standard · 78th passingUtah State4th standard · 93rd passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
App State44th90th
Arizona92nd86th
Arkansas60th80th
Auburn75th55th
Ball State12th24th
Baylor40th96th
Boise State58th46th
Boston College27th56th
Buffalo7th14th
California9th25th
Central Michigan16th6th
Charlotte73rd83rd
Clemson1st19th
Coastal Carolina61st52nd
Colorado35th77th
Colorado State82nd91st
Delaware70th31st
Duke20th29th
Eastern Michigan52nd10th
Florida Atlantic43rd87th
Florida International46th43rd
Florida State28th65th
Georgia Southern24th45th
Georgia Tech58th44th
Hawai'i18th41st
Iowa State4th23rd
Jacksonville State65th82nd
Kansas70th35th
LSU33rd98th
Liberty14th59th
Louisiana19th92nd
Louisville96th70th
Memphis69th65th
Michigan2nd62nd
Michigan State62nd29th
Middle Tennessee87th68th
Missouri36th85th
Navy98th59th
Nevada77th52nd
New Mexico State45th75th
Norfolk State16th9th
North Dakota State86th27th
North Texas49th68th
Ohio38th17th
Ohio State90th40th
Oklahoma State41st49th
Ole Miss94th50th
Oregon35th33rd
Oregon State10th38th
Pittsburgh30th76th
Purdue83rd88th
Rutgers30th71st
Sacramento State23rd14th
Sam Houston78th61st
San Diego State4th40th
San José State54th22nd
South Alabama50th73rd
South Florida91st52nd
Stanford76th15th
Syracuse48th64th
TCU93rd8th
Tennessee65th78th
Texas72nd94th
Texas A&M85th72nd
Texas Tech88th48th
Troy22nd59th
Tulane31st2nd
Tulsa56th1st
UAB65th81st
UNLV51st7th
USC97th99th
UTSA99th29th
Utah State4th93rd
Vanderbilt80th12th
Wake Forest56th97th
Washington81st4th
Washington State8th3rd
Western Kentucky25th34th
Western Michigan39th20th
Wisconsin13th18th
Wyoming65th36th
Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Clemson’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Defense: Tom Allen / co-Nick Eason (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 51% → 2026: 50% · 1-pt range · #203 of 203 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2025: 39% → 2026: 35% · 4-pt range · #187 of 200 · less than most
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

Pass-depth identity

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), Clemson’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.6% vs 65.2% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 71-play sample) — mid-pack, 6 of 18 qualifying defenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 59 claims, 59 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=71 short-zone plays, raw rate 63.4%
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Clemson

CFB Zeitgeist

#19

+7.3

SP+

#50

+5.2

FPI

#46

+5.3

Elo

#48

1558

The national models put Clemson between 46th and 50th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is higher on them than any of these models, at 19th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Clemson

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

Historical echoPrograms whose arc bent the same way -- then what happened.

Historical echo

Clemson’s slide has precedent — and 2 of the 4 closest kept falling.

Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.

TCU 1962–1967
kept sliding
Florida 2009–2014
kept sliding
Duke 1945–1950
stayed down
Notre Dame 1958–1963
clawed back

An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

70°F average kickoff temp; 11% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.

Based on 84 home games with weather data.

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