cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jermaine Mathews Jr. /Ohio State

Jermaine Mathews Jr.

CB · Ohio State · Jr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

26 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Ohio State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Ohio State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Cornerback · Ohio State · editorial

Returning around him

  • 31% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 11 Ohio State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -20 net (17 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Ohio State · Last season: 12-2 (AP #3) · Talent rank #3 · 2026 recruiting class #4

CB · OHIO STATE · BIG TEN

Jermaine Mathews Jr.

  • 3
  • #7
  • 5-11 | 190 lb
  • Cincinnati, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3982

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#47 national
CFB
College
Ohio State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class3
Jersey7
Measurements5-11 | 190 lb
HometownCincinnati, OH
Primary teamOhio State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 47 recruit
Composite rating 0.9754 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio State 2023
Origin Winton Woods Cincinnati, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9754 No. 47 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3982Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3563Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Ohio State

Composite

0.9754

#47 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jermaine Mathews Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jermaine Mathews Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
26Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
28Tackles
1.6Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 26): needs 54/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 26): needs 74/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jermaine Mathews Jr. is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Ohio State's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #3982 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 47 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 26 20 solo | #1609/4942 (67th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
26 67th
SOLO
20 78th
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 14-7vs Texas330.00.010Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 3W 37-9vs Ohio320.00.00
Wk 5W 24-6@ Washington220.00.00
Wk 6W 42-3vs Minnesota210.50.01
Wk 7W 34-16@ Illinois111.01.01
Wk 8W 34-0@ Wisconsin110.00.00
Wk 10W 38-14vs Penn State310.00.00
Wk 11W 34-10@ Purdue100.00.010
Wk 12W 48-10vs UCLA110.00.00
Wk 13W 42-9vs Rutgers110.00.00
Wk 15L 10-13vs Indiana220.00.00
BowlL 14-24vs Miami650.00.00
Total26201.51.022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2025Ohio State12-2HC: Ryan Day · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio State26201.51.022--
2023Ohio State1390.00.031--
Career2 loaded seasons39291.51.053--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 26 #1609/4942 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 28 #232/578 60th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 20 #1029/4584 78th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 14.0 #292/578 50th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g2.60.10.00.1
Road4g1.20.20.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g1.80.10.10.2
Losses2g4.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.80.20.20.3
Weeks 8+6g1.50.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

54Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Solo tackles#1029 / 2975 · 64th pct
20defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles#1609 / 2975 · 45th pct
26defe
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jermaine Mathews Jr.Ohio StateDevin LafayetteTroy· 73% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 73% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 71% sim
Interceptions
75
Jr.
75
Lafayette
95
Johnson
75
Montgomery
Passes defended
67
Jr.
91
Lafayette
96
Johnson
67
Montgomery
Solo tackles
64
Jr.
98
Lafayette
97
Johnson
82
Montgomery
Sacks
63
Jr.
63
Lafayette
63
Johnson
89
Montgomery
Tackles
45
Jr.
99
Lafayette
98
Johnson
99
Montgomery
Tackles for loss
39
Jr.
56
Lafayette
47
Johnson
85
Montgomery
QB hurries
22
Jr.
22
Lafayette
22
Johnson
22
Montgomery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Cover Corner

Steady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Adrian Cole’s 2023 season.

Adrian Cole

89%match

Florida International · 2023

#2

Corey Mayfield Jr.

UTSA · 2021

88%
#3

Faybian Marks

Utah · 2021

86%
#4

JaTravis Broughton

TCU · 2024

84%
#5

Trent Henry

Troy · 2024

84%

Matches Adrian on

PD rate
Weight
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Shawn Dourseau's junior season at East Carolina (2022).

Shawn Dourseau

100%match

East Carolina · 2022

#2

Kalen King

Penn State · 2023

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
94%
#3

Champ Anthony

Auburn · 2025

92%
#4

Devin Lemear

Baylor · 2023

91%
#5

Chrishawn Gordon

Fresno State · 2023

90%

Matches Shawn on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Day

Pass share

47.0%

408 pass / 461 run

Plays / game

62.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Ryan Day
Ohio State
2025
Ryan Day
Ohio State

Played his entire career under Ryan Day.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCincinnati, OH
Height5'11"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionCB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio State CB3 #3982 #3563 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Ohio State CB3 #3805 #3529 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio State Big Ten CB 3 No. 7 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2024 Ohio State Big Ten CB 3 No. 7 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Cincinnati, OH
2023 Ohio State Big Ten CB 3 No. 7 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Cincinnati, OH