Oregon State
0-2Pac-12 · JaMarcus Shephard, year 1 (0-2) · Reser Stadium · 43,363 · 30,539 avg in 2026
LastL 24–35 vs Texas Tech · Sat Sep 12 · Jesse Legree 240 rec yds, 2 TD, 1 tackles
Nextvs Montana · Sat Sep 19 · 11 pm ET · Reser Stadium · series 12-2-2, lost the last 2 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 89 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vertical Passer · +0.55 EPA/play | 2 | 2 | 60 / 99 | 60.6 | 789 #4 FBS | 8.0 | 3 #60 FBS | 1 | 135.5 | 55 | 68.7 | 7.2 | 5.7 | |
Yards by week → Vertical PasserElite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable. 1 of 13 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt9.1 87th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush usage8.3% bottom 23th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Braden Atkinson's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Pocket Passer · +0.15 EPA/play | 5 | — | 62 / 117 | 53.0 | 646 #14 FBS | 5.5 | 3 #60 FBS | 2 | 104.4 | — | — | — | — | |
Pocket PasserBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 7 of 13 QBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / attempt5.0 bottom 8th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %51.8% bottom 5th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Gabarri Johnson's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +1.84 EPA/play | 12 | 2 | 13 | 376 #1 FBS | 28.9 | 3 #9 FBS | 75 | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. 11 of 58 WRs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception30.4 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.8 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jesse Legree's full player page | ||||||||
| -0.07 EPA/play | 12 | — | 6 | 84 | 14 | 0 | 43 | |
| +0.38 EPA/play | 7 | 2 | 8 | 78 | 9.8 | 0 | 18 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.88 EPA/play | 9 | — | 6 | 70 | 11.7 | 1 | 22 | |
| +0.50 EPA/play | 80 | 2 | 7 | 57 | 8.1 | 0 | 24 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.29 EPA/play | 8 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 14 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 90 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coverage 'Backer | 2 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage 'BackerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 21 of 84 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.5% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate5.3% 86th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Aiden Sullivan's full player page | |||||||||
| 44 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 2.5 #68 FBS | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 18 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | — | 11 | 2 #43 FBS | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 9 | 3 #10 FBS | 1 #22 FBS | 0 | 0 | |
| 36 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 8 | 2 #43 FBS | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 2 | 1/3 | 33.3 | 3/3 | 6 | 34 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 2 | 9 | 385 | 42.8 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.16 EPA/play | 25 | 2 | 5 | 93 | 18.6 | 0 | 35 |
2026 stat leaders · Oregon State
through 2 games
2026 stat leaders · Oregon StateJesse Legree leads Oregon State with 376 receiving yards through 2 games.
How They Play · 2025Oregon State fields a struggling methodical, ball-control offense behind a leaky, gives up the big play defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Oregon State reads strongest in success rate allowed (top 26%) and rushing epa allowed (top 50%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Oregon State sits at the 1st percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · Oregon State · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Oregon State is worth +2.7 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 25th percentile of 133 programs
48% at home, 29% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (21–23 home, 12–30 away). Interval ±3.8.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Oregon State has beaten the number by −0.9 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±6.4 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Reser Stadium seats 43,363 and has averaged 79% full (34,045, 27 games reported). Visitors cover a median 566 miles to get here since 2018 — 34th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 13% of the 2026 roster (18 of 134 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 50 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected
Oregon State's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 47th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 58th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Oregon State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
10th percentile success on standard downs, 38th on passing downs — a 28-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| App State | 44th | 90th |
| Arizona | 92nd | 86th |
| Arkansas | 60th | 80th |
| Auburn | 75th | 55th |
| Ball State | 12th | 24th |
| Baylor | 40th | 96th |
| Boise State | 58th | 46th |
| Boston College | 27th | 56th |
| Buffalo | 7th | 14th |
| California | 9th | 25th |
| Central Michigan | 16th | 6th |
| Charlotte | 73rd | 83rd |
| Clemson | 1st | 19th |
| Coastal Carolina | 61st | 52nd |
| Colorado | 35th | 77th |
| Colorado State | 82nd | 91st |
| Delaware | 70th | 31st |
| Duke | 20th | 29th |
| Eastern Michigan | 52nd | 10th |
| Florida Atlantic | 43rd | 87th |
| Florida International | 46th | 43rd |
| Florida State | 28th | 65th |
| Georgia Southern | 24th | 45th |
| Georgia Tech | 58th | 44th |
| Hawai'i | 18th | 41st |
| Iowa State | 4th | 23rd |
| Jacksonville State | 65th | 82nd |
| Kansas | 70th | 35th |
| LSU | 33rd | 98th |
| Liberty | 14th | 59th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 92nd |
| Louisville | 96th | 70th |
| Memphis | 69th | 65th |
| Michigan | 2nd | 62nd |
| Michigan State | 62nd | 29th |
| Middle Tennessee | 87th | 68th |
| Missouri | 36th | 85th |
| Navy | 98th | 59th |
| Nevada | 77th | 52nd |
| New Mexico State | 45th | 75th |
| Norfolk State | 16th | 9th |
| North Dakota State | 86th | 27th |
| North Texas | 49th | 68th |
| Ohio | 38th | 17th |
| Ohio State | 90th | 40th |
| Oklahoma State | 41st | 49th |
| Ole Miss | 94th | 50th |
| Oregon | 35th | 33rd |
| Oregon State | 10th | 38th |
| Pittsburgh | 30th | 76th |
| Purdue | 83rd | 88th |
| Rutgers | 30th | 71st |
| Sacramento State | 23rd | 14th |
| Sam Houston | 78th | 61st |
| San Diego State | 4th | 40th |
| San José State | 54th | 22nd |
| South Alabama | 50th | 73rd |
| South Florida | 91st | 52nd |
| Stanford | 76th | 15th |
| Syracuse | 48th | 64th |
| TCU | 93rd | 8th |
| Tennessee | 65th | 78th |
| Texas | 72nd | 94th |
| Texas A&M | 85th | 72nd |
| Texas Tech | 88th | 48th |
| Troy | 22nd | 59th |
| Tulane | 31st | 2nd |
| Tulsa | 56th | 1st |
| UAB | 65th | 81st |
| UNLV | 51st | 7th |
| USC | 97th | 99th |
| UTSA | 99th | 29th |
| Utah State | 4th | 93rd |
| Vanderbilt | 80th | 12th |
| Wake Forest | 56th | 97th |
| Washington | 81st | 4th |
| Washington State | 8th | 3rd |
| Western Kentucky | 25th | 34th |
| Western Michigan | 39th | 20th |
| Wisconsin | 13th | 18th |
| Wyoming | 65th | 36th |
Halftime identity
Oregon State by half
1st-half offense ranks 28th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 74th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
Pass defense by zone
Pass-depth identity
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Oregon State’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.8% vs 68.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 78-play sample) — mid-pack, 22 of 41 qualifying offenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Oregon State
Most similar programs · Oregon StateReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Historical echo
Historical echo
Oregon State’s slide has precedent — and 2 of the 4 closest kept falling.
Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.
Conditions
59°F average kickoff temp; 16% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 77 home games with weather data.