Sacramento State

1-2

Mid-American · Alonzo Carter, year 1 (1-2) · Hornet Stadium · 21,195 · 18,523 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#113 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #125 (-19.1) · FPI #138
The marketNorth Dakota State by 27.5vs North Dakota State · our model 40% Sacramento State · a number, not a pick

LastL 3–49 at Fresno State · Sat Sep 12 · Onterrio Smith Jr. 66 rec yds

Nextvs North Dakota State · Sat Sep 19 · 10:30 pm ET · Hornet Stadium · North Dakota State by 27.5 · first meeting on record · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

The mood around Sacramento State has soured.

belief cooled ↓ 9.3vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Souring
43/100 · 59 mentions
~ our read
Grounding
running on emotion
2% cite a stat · 6% typical ✓ counted
~ our read
Volatility
Chaotic
σ 24 pts
Doom window
~ our read
The model
#113
CFB Zeitgeist · -4.4
✓ measured
Explore all 8 corners of the fanbase ↓
1
identity shift

Sacramento State's fanbase identity shift signals new era.

Sacramento State's 7-5 record marks a winning start to its FBS leap, but the fanbase's identity shift and $18M stadium investment raise questions about sustaining Big Sky dominance in the Mid-American Conference.

The Pulse on Sacramento State

Archive · Wk 2 · 59 mentions · medium confidence
43
Δ -9.3 vs last wk
59 mentions this week · conversation velocity

What moved it — last 14 days

Awaiting next signal window
"Stinger Up" — Sacramento State fanbase · recurring line
96 mentions · sample growing
The Fever Year

Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling

Inside the fanbase — all 8 corners

Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
MMountain West Connection
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
6 outlets & communities talking

The split, staged

Warmest corner+0.00
Local
most bought-in cohort our read
vs
Coldest corner−0.00
Bettors
coolest cohort our read

How Sacramento State fans actually talk real · top-upvoted

Rr/CFBthe room

Hawaii vs *insert legacy Pac 12 school here*

161 open ↗

The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.

Loudest in the room this week real · by engagement

All 8 corners of the fanbase

skeptical
buying in
Local+0.27
Bettors+0.04

Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.

What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model

fan energy
41%
recent results
19%
where the program is headed
14%
the schedule
8%
the rankings
5%

Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.

259 mentions · 6 sources · week 2026-02. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checklight on evidence

~ our readSacramento State fans are down on the program, but it's more feel than fact right now.

backed by facts
2% cited a stat or resultleague 6%
the mood
14% optimistic34% down

✓ counted We read 59 posts from Sacramento State fans this week.

Fanbase health · Sacramento State

Sacramento State's fanbase is growing — 69 of 100.

Audible (95 weighted voices in the latest week) and winning on the field (7-5 last season, 1-2 so far).

On the field — 7-5 last season, 1-2 so far69
How loud — 95 weighted voices in the latest week70

2 of 3 signals · on-field reading uses last season until 4 games are in · 0–100, bands at 26 / 51 / 76

More in this tab

PodcastsThe shows this fanbase actually listens to.

From the booth

a recent episode about this team
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