Sam Houston

1-7

Next game: at Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State’s best edge on Sam Houston is running

Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.

Sam Houston offense against Jacksonville State defense

weakelite
PassingSam Houston 13th · Jacksonville State 89th
RunningSam Houston 5th · Jacksonville State 21st
Staying on scheduleSam Houston 5th · Jacksonville State 45th
Big playsSam Houston 87th · Jacksonville State 94th
Red zoneSam Houston 2nd · Jacksonville State 89th

Jacksonville State offense against Sam Houston defense

weakelite
PassingJacksonville State 62nd · Sam Houston 75th
RunningJacksonville State 65th · Sam Houston 9th
Staying on scheduleJacksonville State 79th · Sam Houston 57th
Big playsJacksonville State 34th · Sam Houston 55th
Red zoneJacksonville State 33rd · Sam Houston 62nd

Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.

Key stats

Key stats · 2026 · FBS rank

Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.

EPA / play131st of 138
-0.03
EPA allowed / play79th of 138
+0.09
Pass rate, 1st downs1st of 137
58.7%
Red zone pass rate2nd of 137
61.1%
4th-down convTied 137th of 138
0
Rush carriesTied 136th of 138
226
Points / game130th of 138
18.0
All 98 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
2582322.8/gm5.11/play128th of 13866th of 7010th of 104th of 4
Opp
2705338.1/gm5.21/play47th of 13831st of 704th of 101st of 4
Rush yards
Team
60775.9/gm1.20/play138th of 13870th of 7010th of 104th of 4
Opp
1534191.8/gm2.96/play121st of 13866th of 7010th of 101st of 4
Rush carries
Team
22628.2/gmTied 136th of 138Tied 69th of 7010th of 104th of 4
Opp
31639.5/gmTied 109th of 13865th of 7010th of 101st of 4
Rush TDs
Team
40.5/gmTied 136th of 13869th of 70Tied 9th of 104th of 4
Opp
131.6/gmTied 78th of 138Tied 49th of 70Tied 4th of 101st of 4
Net pass yards
Team
1975246.9/gm3.91/playTied 46th of 138Tied 33rd of 702nd of 104th of 4
Opp
1171146.4/gm2.26/play4th of 1382nd of 701st of 101st of 4
Pass attempts
Team
27934.9/gmTied 30th of 138Tied 15th of 702nd of 104th of 4
Opp
20325.4/gmTied 10th of 138Tied 5th of 701st of 101st of 4
Completions
Team
17021.2/gmTied 38th of 138Tied 22nd of 703rd of 104th of 4
Opp
10913.6/gmTied 3rd of 138Tied 2nd of 701st of 101st of 4
Pass TDs
Team
131.6/gmTied 53rd of 138Tied 39th of 70Tied 2nd of 103rd of 4
Opp
111.4/gmTied 58th of 138Tied 31st of 706th of 101st of 4
Passer rating
Team
131.5131.588th of 13855th of 706th of 101st of 4
Opp
114.1114.117th of 13712th of 702nd of 102nd of 4
Interceptions thrown
Team
60.8/gmTied 64th of 138Tied 34th of 70Tied 3rd of 101st of 4
Opp
60.8/gmTied 62nd of 138Tied 35th of 70Tied 4th of 104th of 4
Sacks (def)
Team
151.9/gmTied 84th of 138Tied 48th of 70Tied 4th of 104th of 4
Opp
232.9/gmTied 119th of 138Tied 58th of 7010th of 102nd of 4
Tackles for loss
Team
475.9/gmTied 47th of 138Tied 29th of 703rd of 104th of 4
Opp
617.6/gmTied 133rd of 138Tied 67th of 7010th of 101st of 4
First downs
Team
12916.1/gmTied 132nd of 13868th of 7010th of 104th of 4
Opp
14618.2/gmTied 39th of 138Tied 29th of 704th of 101st of 4
3rd-down conv
Team
405.0/gmTied 86th of 138Tied 47th of 706th of 103rd of 4
Opp
334.1/gmTied 15th of 138Tied 9th of 703rd of 101st of 4
3rd-down att
Team
11314.1/gmTied 41st of 138Tied 18th of 703rd of 104th of 4
Opp
10613.2/gmTied 49th of 138Tied 21st of 70Tied 7th of 101st of 4
4th-down conv
Team
00.0/gmTied 137th of 138Tied 69th of 7010th of 104th of 4
Opp
70.9/gmTied 55th of 138Tied 31st of 706th of 101st of 4
4th-down att
Team
101.2/gmTied 116th of 138Tied 57th of 709th of 104th of 4
Opp
111.4/gmTied 21st of 138Tied 10th of 70Tied 2nd of 101st of 4
Time of possession
Team
242:2530:18/gm70th of 13838th of 703rd of 104th of 4
Opp
237:3529:42/gm53rd of 13833rd of 704th of 101st of 4

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats · 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
Pocket Passer · +0.10 EPA/play87147 / 23662.31653
#61 FBS
7.012
#53 FBS
5133.74133.56.35.2
+0.01 EPA/play15220 / 3754.12587.000112.6—32.2——
Running backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
Workhorse · -0.16 EPA/play228592323.912425.912.1
Balanced Back · -0.14 EPA/play205401473.7118——
+0.03 EPA/play108331253.8134——
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
Deep Threat · +0.85 EPA/play381839221.8381
Deep Threat · +0.25 EPA/play282235716.2353
Slot Technician · +0.22 EPA/play78363489.7237
Possession Receiver · +0.23 EPA/play571819510.8161
-0.06 EPA/play125613923.2148
+0.54 EPA/play—511928.4214
+0.20 EPA/play8736477.8015
-0.08 EPA/play8045336.6015

Biggest plays from Sam Houston’s games

Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Sam Houston’s games this season, whoever made them.

  1. Q2, 10:07 · New Mexico State down 7, ties itJames Jones runs 1 yard for a touchdownNew Mexico State at Sam Houston, week 8Q2, 10:07 · New Mexico State 7, Sam Houston 7New Mexico State tied the game in the second quarterNew Mexico State tied the game in the second quarterJ.Jones rush left for 1 yard gain to the SAM00 touchdown,, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q2, 0:24 · New Mexico State down 3, takes the leadAdam Damante finds AJ Williams III for a 27-yard touchdownNew Mexico State at Sam Houston, week 8Q2, 0:24 · New Mexico State 14, Sam Houston 10New Mexico State took the lead in the second quarterNew Mexico State took the lead in the second quarterAJ Williams III 27 yd pass from Adam Damante (Kyah Francone Kick)Watch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q3, 10:35 · New Mexico State down 3, takes the leadAdam Damante finds AJ Williams III for a 5-yard touchdownNew Mexico State at Sam Houston, week 8Q3, 10:35 · New Mexico State 21, Sam Houston 17Go-ahead score for New Mexico State in the third quarterGo-ahead score for New Mexico State in the third quarterAJ Williams III 5 yd pass from Adam Damante (Kyah Francone Kick)Watch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 8:28 · New Mexico State tiedNew Mexico State turns it overNew Mexico State at Sam Houston, week 8Q2, 8:28 · New Mexico State 7, Sam Houston 73New Mexico State’s turnover led to a field goal3New Mexico State’s turnover led to a field goalNew Mexico State’s turnover led to a field goalA.Williams III rush left for 5 yards loss to the NMS20 fumbled by A.Williams III at NMS18 recovered by SAM R.Adams at NMS20, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Backwards pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: A.Williams III rush left for 5 yards loss to the NMS20 fumbled by A.Williams III at NMS18 recovered by SAM R.Adams at NMS20, End Of Play)Watch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q3, 14:40 · Sam Houston down 4, takes the leadLandyn Locke finds Tim Burns Jr. for an 81-yard touchdownNew Mexico State at Sam Houston, week 8Q3, 14:40 · Sam Houston 17, New Mexico State 148181-yard touchdown pass8181-yard touchdown pass81-yard touchdown passTim Burns Jr. 81 yd pass from Landyn Locke (Sam Carpenter Kick)Watch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q1, 10:06 · Western Kentucky tiedBrock Glenn finds Coleson Arends for a 23-yard touchdownWestern Kentucky at Sam Houston, week 7Q1, 10:06 · Western Kentucky 7, Sam Houston 0Western Kentucky opened the scoringWestern Kentucky opened the scoringB.Glenn pass complete short left to C.Arends caught at SAM07, for 23 yards to the SAM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football

All 44 plays from Sam Houston’s games

How scary each game got

Sam Houston lost to New Mexico State after being 82% to win; every win stayed above 50%

50%L1L2W3L4L6L7L8L9

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Sam Houston during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

Stat leaders

2026 stat leaders · Sam Houston

through 8 games

Dean Ford leads Sam Houston with 48 tackles through 8 games.

1. Dean Ford LB 48 tackles
2. Landyn Locke QB 1,653 passing yards
3. Brian Bates Jr. LB 36 tackles
4. Railyn Adams S 36 tackles
5. Brody Henderson DE 34 tackles

Roster

Roster

2026
26 players carry a qualified CFB Zeitgeist Score this season so far.
Railyn Adams S #68 of 537
Dylan Frazier IDL #45 of 300
Josh Alexander-Felton EDGE #73 of 405
Brody Henderson EDGE #132 of 405
Grady O'Neill WR #169 of 465
Justin Terrell IDL #114 of 300

+20 more

Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back

How they play

How they play · 2026

Sam Houston fields a struggling pass-first, explosive, big-play offense behind a leaky defense.

Offense
5th pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
55% pass plays
Style
87th pct explosiveness
Defense
43rd pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

Player percentiles

Player percentiles · Sam Houston · 2026

Sam Houston reads strongest in explosive plays (top 14%) and passing EPA allowed (top 25%); the crux lives in red-zone finish, where Sam Houston sits at the 1st percentile.

Offense · strengths lead

EPA / play -0.03
5th
Success rate +0.36
5th
Explosive plays +1.36
87th
Rushing EPA -0.11
5th
Red-zone finish +2.14
2nd

Defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA allowed +0.09
43rd
Success rate allowed +0.40
57th
Explosive plays allowed +1.22
55th
Passing EPA allowed +0.08
75th
Red-zone defense +3.25
62nd

Hidden math · special situations

Field position (O) +27.10
13th
Passing EPA +0.03
13th
Rushing EPA allowed +0.17
9th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 8 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 138 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Sam Houston is worth +8.3 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile of 133 programs

53% at home, 21% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (8-7 home, 5-19 away). Interval ±5.0.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
The stadium and how the home edge is measured

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Sam Houston has beaten the number by −1.6 more at home than away over 42 games. That is inside the ±9.5 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Elliott T. Bowers Stadium seats 14,000 and has averaged 66% full (9,280, 12 games reported). Visitors cover a median 610 miles to get here since 2018 — 29th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 26% of the 2026 roster (27 of 104 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across 36 of 37 home games since 2018.

Home8-7Away5-19Edge+8.3 ±5.0Visitor trip610 mi

More in this tab

How they play

Usage splitsWho gets the ball late, on money downs and as an underdog.

How the players get used

From the 2025 season's play-by-play

  • Garbage timeElijah Green sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline: the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.
  • Deep threatGrady O'Neill is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
  • Deep threatQua'Vez Humphreys is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
  • Deep threatTim Burns Jr. is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battlesReps are split — here's who's actually winning them.

WR/TE room

The targets are split. The job isn’t.

Grady O'Neill (WR) and Matt Smith (TE) split the targets (57/64 vs 7/64) -- but the job isn't split the same way.

Grady O'NeillMatt Smith
Targets
577
the baseline -- every row below is tested against this split, not a flat 50/50
3rd-down targets
19/190/19
shared -- dots touch, this room really is a committee here
Top-5-catch share
34.7%100.0%
concentration alone -- EPA/target doesn't corroborate, read with caution
Screened 2 claims, 0 survived, 2 falsified
Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Sam Houston’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 4th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 16th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 4th pctileCompetitive snaps…Worst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Sam Houston hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

11th percentile success on standard downs, 37th on passing downs — a 26-point gap between the two.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantSam HoustonWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i48th standard · 29th passingUNLV41st standard · 19th passingStanford40th standard · 9th passingEastern Michigan16th standard · 30th passingSan José State17th standard · 2nd passingNew Mexico State14th standard · 36th passingSacramento State13th standard · 6th passingOklahoma State96th standard · 86th passingDuke21st standard · 67th passingFlorida State30th standard · 90th passingRutgers42nd standard · 81st passingKansas52nd standard · 18th passingBoston College63rd standard · 28th passingNorfolk State7th standard · 0th passingLouisville95th standard · 72nd passingMissouri34th standard · 41st passingMemphis92nd standard · 93rd passingGeorgia Southern60th standard · 71st passingOle Miss81st standard · 94th passingJacksonville State82nd standard · 80th passingNorth Dakota State30th standard · 45th passingArizona76th standard · 94th passingUSC79th standard · 97th passingWake Forest75th standard · 96th passingTCU70th standard · 10th passingDelaware59th standard · 64th passingUAB24th standard · 62nd passingMichigan State23rd standard · 55th passingSouth Florida84th standard · 57th passingFlorida International20th standard · 53rd passingNavy89th standard · 17th passingWisconsin25th standard · 22nd passingOregon State97th standard · 70th passingSyracuse57th standard · 39th passingOhio State84th standard · 80th passingBall State31st standard · 52nd passingPittsburgh65th standard · 50th passingColorado16th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Tech53rd standard · 40th passingAuburn14th standard · 69th passingBaylor15th standard · 46th passingNorth Texas95th standard · 84th passingApp State33rd standard · 49th passingIowa State18th standard · 31st passingUTSA91st standard · 33rd passingArkansas71st standard · 24th passingBoise State77th standard · 92nd passingOregon39th standard · 26th passingTulsa49th standard · 7th passingTulane12th standard · 8th passingPurdue57th standard · 82nd passingMiddle Tennessee27th standard · 64th passingVanderbilt41st standard · 32nd passingSan Diego State8th standard · 54th passingLSU86th standard · 98th passingClemson7th standard · 39th passingCentral Michigan36th standard · 9th passingTexas Tech64th standard · 76th passingMichigan10th standard · 89th passingWestern Michigan32nd standard · 27th passingOhio82nd standard · 42nd passingBuffalo9th standard · 11th passingTexas27th standard · 61st passingCoastal Carolina23rd standard · 64th passingColorado State66th standard · 95th passingWyoming78th standard · 48th passingTexas A&M46th standard · 55th passingLiberty93rd standard · 78th passingFlorida Atlantic67th standard · 87th passingLouisiana36th standard · 66th passingSouth Alabama44th standard · 74th passingTroy39th standard · 15th passingSam Houston11th standard · 37th passingNevada28th standard · 27th passingWestern Kentucky22nd standard · 25th passingWashington State19th standard · 5th passingWashington56th standard · 16th passingCalifornia11th standard · 20th passingCharlotte18th standard · 41st passingTennessee75th standard · 12th passingUtah State3rd standard · 76th passingMiami99th standard · 95th passingHouston87th standard · 99th passingUCF29th standard · 45th passingUtah94th standard · 98th passingFresno State25th standard · 84th passingAkron58th standard · 34th passingNorth Carolina89th standard · 73rd passingIllinois73rd standard · 91st passingToledo73rd standard · 52nd passingMinnesota32nd standard · 4th passingRice59th standard · 14th passingTemple50th standard · 68th passingNC State62nd standard · 77th passingVirginia83rd standard · 2nd passingNotre Dame100th standard · 43rd passingMassachusetts35th standard · 38th passingKent State5th standard · 21st passingSouth Carolina70th standard · 56th passingMiami (OH)50th standard · 43rd passingKennesaw State61st standard · 16th passingCincinnati68th standard · 83rd passingIndiana55th standard · 44th passingMaine0th standard · 86th passingNorthern Illinois51st standard · 14th passingBowling Green43rd standard · 21st passingGeorgia State68th standard · 66th passingSouthern Miss48th standard · 7th passingKansas State64th standard · 68th passingUConn72nd standard · 73rd passingAlabama77th standard · 57th passingEast Carolina37th standard · 19th passingOld Dominion1st standard · 36th passingOklahoma4th standard · 50th passingUTEP9th standard · 1st passingNorthwestern88th standard · 88th passingVirginia Tech43rd standard · 91st passingMaryland34th standard · 26th passingArizona State38th standard · 61st passingNew Mexico55th standard · 48th passingNebraska46th standard · 85th passingMarshall69th standard · 32nd passingArkansas State85th standard · 59th passingSMU91st standard · 82nd passingJames Madison45th standard · 77th passingTexas State74th standard · 100th passingMississippi State66th standard · 59th passingUL Monroe47th standard · 11th passingMissouri State52nd standard · 30th passingWest Virginia54th standard · 75th passingLouisiana Tech26th standard · 79th passingUCLA80th standard · 60th passingKentucky90th standard · 51st passingFlorida61st standard · 70th passingUT Martin6th standard · 3rd passingArmy93rd standard · 58th passingMercyhurst2nd standard · 34th passingIowa79th standard · 13th passingPenn State20th standard · 47th passingAir Force98th standard · 23rd passingRobert Morris2nd standard · 5th passingGardner-Webb5th standard · 23rd passingGeorgia98th standard · 89th passingBYU86th standard · 35th passing
Fragile off scheduleBalancedWeak both waysStandard downs onlySam HoustonWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i48th standard · 29th passingUNLV41st standard · 19th passingStanford40th standard · 9th passingEastern Michigan16th standard · 30th passingSan José State17th standard · 2nd passingNew Mexico State14th standard · 36th passingSacramento State13th standard · 6th passingOklahoma State96th standard · 86th passingDuke21st standard · 67th passingFlorida State30th standard · 90th passingRutgers42nd standard · 81st passingKansas52nd standard · 18th passingBoston College63rd standard · 28th passingNorfolk State7th standard · 0th passingLouisville95th standard · 72nd passingMissouri34th standard · 41st passingMemphis92nd standard · 93rd passingGeorgia Southern60th standard · 71st passingOle Miss81st standard · 94th passingJacksonville State82nd standard · 80th passingNorth Dakota State30th standard · 45th passingArizona76th standard · 94th passingUSC79th standard · 97th passingWake Forest75th standard · 96th passingTCU70th standard · 10th passingDelaware59th standard · 64th passingUAB24th standard · 62nd passingMichigan State23rd standard · 55th passingSouth Florida84th standard · 57th passingFlorida International20th standard · 53rd passingNavy89th standard · 17th passingWisconsin25th standard · 22nd passingOregon State97th standard · 70th passingSyracuse57th standard · 39th passingOhio State84th standard · 80th passingBall State31st standard · 52nd passingPittsburgh65th standard · 50th passingColorado16th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Tech53rd standard · 40th passingAuburn14th standard · 69th passingBaylor15th standard · 46th passingNorth Texas95th standard · 84th passingApp State33rd standard · 49th passingIowa State18th standard · 31st passingUTSA91st standard · 33rd passingArkansas71st standard · 24th passingBoise State77th standard · 92nd passingOregon39th standard · 26th passingTulsa49th standard · 7th passingTulane12th standard · 8th passingPurdue57th standard · 82nd passingMiddle Tennessee27th standard · 64th passingVanderbilt41st standard · 32nd passingSan Diego State8th standard · 54th passingLSU86th standard · 98th passingClemson7th standard · 39th passingCentral Michigan36th standard · 9th passingTexas Tech64th standard · 76th passingMichigan10th standard · 89th passingWestern Michigan32nd standard · 27th passingOhio82nd standard · 42nd passingBuffalo9th standard · 11th passingTexas27th standard · 61st passingCoastal Carolina23rd standard · 64th passingColorado State66th standard · 95th passingWyoming78th standard · 48th passingTexas A&M46th standard · 55th passingLiberty93rd standard · 78th passingFlorida Atlantic67th standard · 87th passingLouisiana36th standard · 66th passingSouth Alabama44th standard · 74th passingTroy39th standard · 15th passingSam Houston11th standard · 37th passingNevada28th standard · 27th passingWestern Kentucky22nd standard · 25th passingWashington State19th standard · 5th passingWashington56th standard · 16th passingCalifornia11th standard · 20th passingCharlotte18th standard · 41st passingTennessee75th standard · 12th passingUtah State3rd standard · 76th passingMiami99th standard · 95th passingHouston87th standard · 99th passingUCF29th standard · 45th passingUtah94th standard · 98th passingFresno State25th standard · 84th passingAkron58th standard · 34th passingNorth Carolina89th standard · 73rd passingIllinois73rd standard · 91st passingToledo73rd standard · 52nd passingMinnesota32nd standard · 4th passingRice59th standard · 14th passingTemple50th standard · 68th passingNC State62nd standard · 77th passingVirginia83rd standard · 2nd passingNotre Dame100th standard · 43rd passingMassachusetts35th standard · 38th passingKent State5th standard · 21st passingSouth Carolina70th standard · 56th passingMiami (OH)50th standard · 43rd passingKennesaw State61st standard · 16th passingCincinnati68th standard · 83rd passingIndiana55th standard · 44th passingMaine0th standard · 86th passingNorthern Illinois51st standard · 14th passingBowling Green43rd standard · 21st passingGeorgia State68th standard · 66th passingSouthern Miss48th standard · 7th passingKansas State64th standard · 68th passingUConn72nd standard · 73rd passingAlabama77th standard · 57th passingEast Carolina37th standard · 19th passingOld Dominion1st standard · 36th passingOklahoma4th standard · 50th passingUTEP9th standard · 1st passingNorthwestern88th standard · 88th passingVirginia Tech43rd standard · 91st passingMaryland34th standard · 26th passingArizona State38th standard · 61st passingNew Mexico55th standard · 48th passingNebraska46th standard · 85th passingMarshall69th standard · 32nd passingArkansas State85th standard · 59th passingSMU91st standard · 82nd passingJames Madison45th standard · 77th passingTexas State74th standard · 100th passingMississippi State66th standard · 59th passingUL Monroe47th standard · 11th passingMissouri State52nd standard · 30th passingWest Virginia54th standard · 75th passingLouisiana Tech26th standard · 79th passingUCLA80th standard · 60th passingKentucky90th standard · 51st passingFlorida61st standard · 70th passingUT Martin6th standard · 3rd passingArmy93rd standard · 58th passingMercyhurst2nd standard · 34th passingIowa79th standard · 13th passingPenn State20th standard · 47th passingAir Force98th standard · 23rd passingRobert Morris2nd standard · 5th passingGardner-Webb5th standard · 23rd passingGeorgia98th standard · 89th passingBYU86th standard · 35th passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
Air Force98th23rd
Akron58th34th
Alabama77th57th
App State33rd49th
Arizona76th94th
Arizona State38th61st
Arkansas71st24th
Arkansas State85th59th
Army93rd58th
Auburn14th69th
BYU86th35th
Ball State31st52nd
Baylor15th46th
Boise State77th92nd
Boston College63rd28th
Bowling Green43rd21st
Buffalo9th11th
California11th20th
Central Michigan36th9th
Charlotte18th41st
Cincinnati68th83rd
Clemson7th39th
Coastal Carolina23rd64th
Colorado16th65th
Colorado State66th95th
Delaware59th64th
Duke21st67th
East Carolina37th19th
Eastern Michigan16th30th
Florida61st70th
Florida Atlantic67th87th
Florida International20th53rd
Florida State30th90th
Fresno State25th84th
Gardner-Webb5th23rd
Georgia98th89th
Georgia Southern60th71st
Georgia State68th66th
Georgia Tech53rd40th
Hawai'i48th29th
Houston87th99th
Illinois73rd91st
Indiana55th44th
Iowa79th13th
Iowa State18th31st
Jacksonville State82nd80th
James Madison45th77th
Kansas52nd18th
Kansas State64th68th
Kennesaw State61st16th
Kent State5th21st
Kentucky90th51st
LSU86th98th
Liberty93rd78th
Louisiana36th66th
Louisiana Tech26th79th
Louisville95th72nd
Maine0th86th
Marshall69th32nd
Maryland34th26th
Massachusetts35th38th
Memphis92nd93rd
Mercyhurst2nd34th
Miami99th95th
Miami (OH)50th43rd
Michigan10th89th
Michigan State23rd55th
Middle Tennessee27th64th
Minnesota32nd4th
Mississippi State66th59th
Missouri34th41st
Missouri State52nd30th
NC State62nd77th
Navy89th17th
Nebraska46th85th
Nevada28th27th
New Mexico55th48th
New Mexico State14th36th
Norfolk State7th0th
North Carolina89th73rd
North Dakota State30th45th
North Texas95th84th
Northern Illinois51st14th
Northwestern88th88th
Notre Dame100th43rd
Ohio82nd42nd
Ohio State84th80th
Oklahoma4th50th
Oklahoma State96th86th
Old Dominion1st36th
Ole Miss81st94th
Oregon39th26th
Oregon State97th70th
Penn State20th47th
Pittsburgh65th50th
Purdue57th82nd
Rice59th14th
Robert Morris2nd5th
Rutgers42nd81st
SMU91st82nd
Sacramento State13th6th
Sam Houston11th37th
San Diego State8th54th
San José State17th2nd
South Alabama44th74th
South Carolina70th56th
South Florida84th57th
Southern Miss48th7th
Stanford40th9th
Syracuse57th39th
TCU70th10th
Temple50th68th
Tennessee75th12th
Texas27th61st
Texas A&M46th55th
Texas State74th100th
Texas Tech64th76th
Toledo73rd52nd
Troy39th15th
Tulane12th8th
Tulsa49th7th
UAB24th62nd
UCF29th45th
UCLA80th60th
UConn72nd73rd
UL Monroe47th11th
UNLV41st19th
USC79th97th
UT Martin6th3rd
UTEP9th1st
UTSA91st33rd
Utah94th98th
Utah State3rd76th
Vanderbilt41st32nd
Virginia83rd2nd
Virginia Tech43rd91st
Wake Forest75th96th
Washington56th16th
Washington State19th5th
West Virginia54th75th
Western Kentucky22nd25th
Western Michigan32nd27th
Wisconsin25th22nd
Wyoming78th48th

Sam Houston by half

1st-half offense ranks 19th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 5th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.

league median1st half · 19th pcti…2nd half · 5th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

How much of Sam Houston’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is -0.03; 3rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.04. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.24 raw vs. 0.05 adjusted.

0.290.10-0.09Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.290.10-0.09Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), Sam Houston’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.8% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 247-play sample) — mid-pack, 31 of 136 qualifying offenses.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), Sam Houston’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 144-play sample) — mid-pack, 30 of 137 qualifying defenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 273 claims, 273 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=247 short-zone plays, raw rate 63.6%; 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=144 short-zone plays, raw rate 61.8%
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.190, 84th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.190
84th
Havoc allowed (O) 0.219
2nd
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.114
76th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.076
83rd
Stuff rate (D) 0.187
39th
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.252
3rd
Line yards (O) 2.423
3rd
Line yards allowed (D) 3.052
24th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.384
2nd
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.444
58th
Passing-downs success (O) 0.307
44th
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.294
54th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

30% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — below the ~48% league baseline.

3 of 10 forced fumbles recovered; 2 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

15% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.

6 interceptions of 40 disrupted passes (34 deflected, 6 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

69 penalties committed, 54 drawn on opponents — ceding 160 yards of field position.

606 penalty yards committed vs. 446 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

Ratings and comparisons

RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Where the models rank Sam Houston

CFB Zeitgeist Score

#134

-8.2

SP+

#129

-18.0

FPI

#130

-19.3

Elo

#132

1063

SRS

#130

-16.7

The national models put Sam Houston between 129th and 132nd nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is more skeptical, at 134th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist Score ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Sam Houston

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site