Next game: vs Clemson
Syracuse and Clemson are even on paper
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Syracuse offense against Clemson defense
Clemson offense against Syracuse defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.07 EPA/play | 9 | 5 | 98 / 171 | 57.3 | 1186 | 6.9 | 7 | 5 | 123.2 | 37 | 50.3 | 5.8 | 5 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 171 pass attempts and 20 carries in 5 games. About as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 79 of 159 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman View Steven Angeli's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.19 EPA/play | 16 | 3 | 42 / 70 | 60 | 532 | 7.6 | 3 | 2 | 132.3 | 51 | 67.8 | 6.3 | 6.7 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| +0.38 EPA/play | 12 | 3 | 36 / 47 | 76.6 | 391 | 8.3 | 6 | 2 | 180.1 | — | 77.7 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| +0.05 EPA/play | 21 | 2 | 5 / 11 | 45.5 | 74 | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 132.0 | — | 73.3 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.16 EPA/play | 20 | 7 | 99 | 522 #70 FBS | 5.3 | 2 | 55 | 10.3 | 13.4 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 99 carries and 1 catch in 7 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Hill does a little of everything without one standout trait. Scott is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry5.0 bottom 40th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share1.0% bottom 4th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Tylik Hill's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.19 EPA/play | 22 | 7 | 96 | 418 | 4.4 | 5 | 39 | 14.7 | 11.6 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 96 carries and 7 catches in 7 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Miller does a little of everything without one standout trait. Scott is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry4.9 bottom 37th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception4.0 bottom 10th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ahmad Miller's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.14 EPA/play | 4 | 6 | 43 | 149 | 3.5 | 1 | 25 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 43 carries and 7 catches in 6 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Johnson does a little of everything without one standout trait. Scott is the one who just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Season receipt Yards / carry3.8 bottom 9th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception4.6 bottom 14th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ju'Juan Johnson's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.15 EPA/play | 23 | 3 | 30 | 146 | 4.9 | 3 | 37 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.65 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 60 | 952 #4 FBS | 15.9 | 8 #9 FBS | 76 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Impact starter — 60 catches and 2 carries in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Hatcher moves the chains on third down. Jackson is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception16.1 77th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume60 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Umari Hatcher's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +1.12 EPA/play | 19 | 8 | 22 | 333 | 15.1 | 4 #70 FBS | 46 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. Starter — 22 catches in 8 games, about as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. This week's matchup — TE Bacheyie creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Provience is the one who is the first read once you cross the 20. Season receipt Yards / reception15.6 90th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.1 96th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Daunte Bacheyie's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.23 EPA/play | 5 | 4 | 19 | 194 | 10.2 | 2 | 28 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR III moves the chains on third down. Jackson is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception11.2 bottom 26th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.2 bottom 21th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Calvin Russell III's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.55 EPA/play | 86 | 5 | 12 | 170 | 14.2 | 0 | 25 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Ross-Simmons moves the chains on third down. Jackson is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception15.2 68th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Justus Ross-Simmons's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · -0.44 EPA/play | 6 | 5 | 14 | 120 | 8.6 | 0 | 27 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Johnson moves the chains on third down. Jackson is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception9.3 bottom 12th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.4 bottom 1th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Darius Johnson's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.31 EPA/play | — | 6 | 9 | 95 | 10.6 | 1 | 27 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Clement shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Provience is the one who is the first read once you cross the 20. Season receipt Yards / reception10.6 bottom 46th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Reception volume9 bottom 19th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View David Clement's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.67 EPA/play | 81 | 6 | 8 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 29 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE Meyers shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Provience is the one who is the first read once you cross the 20. Season receipt Yards / reception10.0 bottom 40th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate25.0% 96th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Noah Meyers's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.11 EPA/play | 11 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 10.4 | 0 | 28 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.32 EPA/play | 8 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 7.8 | 0 | 18 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 92 | 8 | 32 | 9 | 5.5 | 1 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. Impact starter — 32 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Rashard Perry's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 30 | 8 | 31 | 9 | 6.5 | 5 #38 FBS | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Impact starter — 31 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate21.0% 70th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tunmise Adeleye's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 11 | 8 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — 26 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate11.5% bottom 38th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Nissi Ogbebor's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 95 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate7.7% bottom 26th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Dillan Fontus's full player page | |||||||
| 98 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thumper | 6 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 9 #31 FBS | 3 | 0 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. Starter — 60 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate15.0% 83th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume60 90th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Chris D'Appolonia's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 5 | 7 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 4.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 41 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Antoine Deslauriers's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 14 | 7 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 6 #17 FBS | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume28 bottom 29th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate21.4% 100th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Keyshawn Johnson's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 2 | 8 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume23 bottom 20th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Zyian Moultrie-Goddard's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 6 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume22 bottom 19th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Gary Bryant III's full player page | |||||||||
| 18 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 82 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 33 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 12 | 8 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — 45 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Chris Peal's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 1 | 8 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 33 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate15.2% 83th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Demetres Samuel Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 8 | 33 | 6 #43 FBS | 3 #16 FBS | 2 | 1.5 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 33 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate18.2% 91th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Davien Kerr's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 8 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 28 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Braheem Long Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 7 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2.5 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate25.0% 99th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Nazir Ward's full player page | |||||||
| 9 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 22 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 40 | 6 | 6/10 | 60 | 11/14 | 29 | 42 |
| 47 | 5 | 6/9 | 66.7 | 10/12 | 28 | 34 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 8 | 24 | 1064 | 44.3 | 58 | 9 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 97 | 19.4 | 0 | 25 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centerfielder | 1 | 8 | 14 | 157 | 11.2 | 0 | 38 |
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 8 | 7 | 96 | 13.7 | 0 | 30 |
Biggest plays from Syracuse’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Syracuse’s games this season, whoever made them.
Overtime, 0:00 · Syracuse down 7, takes the leadSteven Angeli finds Calvin Russell III for a 4-yard touchdownSyracuse at North Carolina, week 8Overtime, 0:00 · Syracuse 31, North Carolina 30Overtime touchdown for SyracuseOvertime touchdown for SyracuseS.Angeli pass complete short middle to C.Russell III caught at UNC00, for 4 yards to the UNC00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN C.Russell III pass attempt Successful. The previous play is under automatic review - "" C.Russell III pass attempt Successful. The previous play is under automatic review - "". CALL UPHELD C.Russell III pass attempt Successful. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD▶Watch from this play
Q4, 0:17 · Syracuse down 10, takes the leadSteven Angeli finds Noah Meyers for a 2-yard touchdownSMU at Syracuse, week 9Q4, 0:17 · Syracuse 30, SMU 270:17Go-ahead touchdown for Syracuse with 0:17 left0:17Go-ahead touchdown for Syracuse with 0:17 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Syracuse with 0:17 leftNoah Meyers 2 yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 4:51 · California down 4, takes the leadCalifornia scores a touchdownCalifornia at Syracuse, week 2Q4, 4:51 · California 21, Syracuse 184:51Go-ahead pick-six for California with 4:51 left4:51Go-ahead pick-six for California with 4:51 leftGo-ahead pick-six for California with 4:51 leftKingston Lopa 0 yd Interception Return (Towns McGough Kick)▶Watch from this play
Overtime, 0:00 · North Carolina breaks the tieBilly Edwards finds Demon June for a 3-yard touchdownSyracuse at North Carolina, week 8Overtime, 0:00 · North Carolina 30, Syracuse 23Overtime touchdown for North CarolinaOvertime touchdown for North CarolinaB.Edwards Jr. pass complete short right to D.June caught at SYR01, for 3 yards to the SYR00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 9:04 · SMU down 3, takes the leadKendrick Raphael runs 13 yards for a touchdownSMU at Syracuse, week 9Q4, 9:04 · SMU 27, Syracuse 20Go-ahead touchdown for SMU in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for SMU in the fourth quarterKendrick Raphael 13 yd Run (Kevin Jennings Pass to Derrick McFall for Two-Point Conversion)▶Watch from this play
Q4, 0:51 · North Carolina tiedTunmise Adeleye sacks Billy Edwards for a 2-yard lossSyracuse at North Carolina, week 8Q4, 0:51 · North Carolina 23, Syracuse 23▼20%North Carolina’s chance to win, 77% to 57%▼20%North Carolina’s chance to win, 77% to 57%B.Edwards Jr. sacked for loss of 2 yards to the SYR41 (T.Adeleye), TURNOVER ON DOWNS▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Syracuse lost to California after being 89% to win; the closest win was at North Carolina, down to 5%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Syracuse during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Syracuse
through 8 gamesUmari Hatcher leads Syracuse with 952 receiving yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+15 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Syracuse fields a struggling offense behind a leaky, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Syracuse reads strongest in red-zone finish (top 20%) and field position (O) (top 29%); the crux lives in EPA / play, where Syracuse sits at the 27th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Syracuse is worth +3.6 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 38th percentile of 133 programs
51% at home, 36% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (24-23 home, 16-29 away). Interval ±4.0.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Syracuse has beaten the number by +0.6 more at home than away over 99 games. That is inside the ±6.4 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
JMA Wireless Dome seats 49,057 and has averaged 78% full (38,484, 30 games reported). Visitors cover a median 483 miles to get here since 2018 — 60th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is a home crowd more than a home town: only 5% of the 2026 roster (5 of 98 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 55 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Money downJohntay Cook II isn't a money-down weapon: his 3rd-down conversion rate lags the position, and his per-target value drops further in that spot.
- Short yardageYasin Willis converts 3rd/4th-and-short at a below-average rate.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Tylik Hill and Ahmad Miller split the carries (97/190 vs 93/190) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Ahmad Miller gets the goal line; Tylik Hill produces in bigger chunks.
See it develop week by week
Inside-the-5 share, week by week (weeks both players actually played the role)
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Umari Hatcher (WR) and Daunte Bacheyie (TE) split the targets (85/111 vs 26/111) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Syracuse actually scores
24th percentile quality, 74th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Syracuse’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 6th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 5th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Syracuse hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
57th percentile success on standard downs, 39th on passing downs — a 18-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Syracuse by half
1st-half offense ranks 89th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 1st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Syracuse’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.07; 36th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.35 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Syracuse’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Syracuse’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (64.9% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 246-play sample) — mid-pack, 35 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Syracuse’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 181-play sample) — mid-pack, 51 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
67% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — well above the ~48% league baseline.
4 of 6 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
11% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — below the ~18% league average, and due for more.
3 interceptions of 28 disrupted passes (25 deflected, 3 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
76 penalties committed, 64 drawn on opponents — ceding 143 yards of field position.
703 penalty yards committed vs. 560 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Syracuse
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.