Next game: vs BYU
Utah’s best edge on BYU is red zone
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Utah offense against BYU defense
BYU offense against Utah defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.38 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 158 / 227 | 69.6 | 1876 #32 FBS | 8.3 | 18 #14 FBS | 7 | 159.0 | 72 | 80.2 | 8.0 | 3.8 | |
Yards by week → Scrambler· Money-downMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. saves his best for the money downs In the Heisman race — our Heisman model ranks this player #2 right now. This week's matchup — QB Dampier extends plays on the move until something opens up. Fifita is the one who picks you apart underneath and protects the ball. Season receipt Rush usage26.8% 70th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %70.2% 89th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Devon Dampier's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.36 EPA/play | 15 | 8 | 11 / 20 | 55.0 | 192 | 9.6 | 2 | 0 | 168.6 | — | 53.1 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete Back · +0.43 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 109 | 726 #24 FBS | 6.7 | 9 #16 FBS | 90 | 20.8 | 17.0 | |
Yards by week → Complete back· Boom-or-bustThreatens defenses in every dimension — rushing, receiving, third-down. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine In the Heisman race — our Heisman model ranks this player #15 right now. This week's matchup — RB Parker beats you as a runner and a receiver. Reescano is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry6.9 93th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share19.3% 94th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Wayshawn Parker's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.33 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 32 | 237 | 7.4 | 2 | 63 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.53 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 39 | 505 #73 FBS | 12.9 | 6 #23 FBS | 37 | |
Yards by week → Jump-ball target· Money-downWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. lives on the sticks and moves the chains Starter — 39 catches and 2 carries in 8 games, more catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week. This week's matchup — WR Pegan wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Mizell is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt TD rate15.4% 83th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume39 88th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Braden Pegan's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.61 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 21 | 347 | 16.5 | 0 | 43 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Money-downReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Whittemore moves the chains on third down. Mizell is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception16.2 78th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Creed Whittemore's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +0.57 EPA/play | 89 | 6 | 18 | 248 | 13.8 | 3 | 57 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. 18 catches in 6 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. This week's matchup — TE Bennee creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Powell is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception14.6 84th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Plays like View Noah Bennee's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.44 EPA/play | 11 | 7 | 17 | 248 | 14.6 | 1 | 45 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Johnson beats you over the top. Mizell is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception16.8 82th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Ricky Johnson's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +1.20 EPA/play | 10 | 7 | 12 | 159 | 13.2 | 4 #70 FBS | 59 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. 12 catches and 6 carries in 7 games. Fewer catches a game than most FBS tight ends who play every week. This week's matchup — TE Andrews creates mismatches lined up all over the formation. Powell is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception22.5 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate33.3% 100th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Hunter Andrews's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.27 EPA/play | 12 | 5 | 8 | 120 | 15 | 0 | 26 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 90 | 5 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 26 tackles in 5 games. More tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate19.2% 64th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jireh Moe's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 8 | 7 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 21 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ethan Day's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 15 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 20 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Lance Holtzclaw's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 93 | 8 | 19 | 9 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 19 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate2.6% bottom 8th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kash Dillon's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 51 | 8 | 17 | 7 | 3.5 | 2 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt View Karson Kaufusi's full player pageTFL rate20.6% 69th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles | |||||||
| 45 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 40 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 8 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 3.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 46 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2021 class View Trey Reynolds's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 7 | 8 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 1.5 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 39 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.3% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate3.8% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Johnathan Hall's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | — | 8 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.7% 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume28 bottom 29th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Cyrus Polu's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 83 | 8 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.1% 89th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate8.9% 91th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Elijah Elliss's full player page | |||||||||
| 53 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 23 | 8 | 36 | 5 | 2 #51 FBS | 1.5 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 36 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jackson Bennee's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 6 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 35 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume35 62th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Nate Ritchie's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 1 | 8 | 32 | 3 | 2 #51 FBS | 3 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 32 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Rabbit Evans's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 9 | 7 | 24 | 7 #20 FBS | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Ball hawk· Takeaway threatReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate29.2% 93th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Elijah Davis's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 11 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate29.4% 93th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Elijah Reed's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 5 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 2 #51 FBS | 0.5 | 0 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate26.7% 89th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View James Chenault's full player page | |||||||
| 21 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 25 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 8 | 6/8 | 75 | 37/38 | 55 | 54 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 8 | 22 | 954 | 43.4 | 60 | 9 | 1 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | 13 | 78 | 6 | 0 | 25 | |
| Possession Receiver · +0.61 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 0 | 15 |
Biggest plays from Utah’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Utah’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 2:09 · Utah up 1Devon Dampier runs 9 yards for a touchdownHouston at Utah, week 8Q4, 2:09 · Utah 21, Houston 13▲26%Utah’s chance to win, 70% to 96%▲26%Utah’s chance to win, 70% to 96%D.Dampier rush right for 9 yards gain to the HOU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 1:06 · Utah down 4, takes the leadDevon Dampier finds Braden Pegan for a 16-yard touchdownUtah at Colorado, week 7Q3, 1:06 · Utah 20, Colorado 17▲20%Utah’s chance to win, 60% to 80%▲20%Utah’s chance to win, 60% to 80%D.Dampier pass complete short right to B.Pegan caught at COLO00, for 16 yards to the COLO00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Big 12 Conference - Q4, 11:57 · Utah down 6, takes the leadWayshawn Parker runs 5 yards for a touchdownHouston at Utah, week 8Q4, 11:57 · Utah 14, Houston 13Go-ahead touchdown for Utah in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for Utah in the fourth quarterW.Parker rush middle for 5 yards gain to the HOU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference
Q3, 6:46 · Houston up 3Makhi Hughes runs 2 yards for a touchdownHouston at Utah, week 8Q3, 6:46 · Houston 10, Utah 0▲15%Houston’s chance to win, 58% to 73%▲15%Houston’s chance to win, 58% to 73%M.Hughes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q3, 4:25 · Utah down 10Devon Dampier runs 22 yards for a touchdownHouston at Utah, week 8Q3, 4:25 · Utah 7, Houston 10Utah got on the board with 4:25 left in the third quarterUtah got on the board with 4:25 left in the third quarterD.Dampier rush right for 22 yards gain to the HOU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference
Q3, 9:45 · Colorado down 6, takes the leadDekalon Taylor runs 18 yards for a touchdownUtah at Colorado, week 7Q3, 9:45 · Colorado 14, Utah 13Go-ahead score for Colorado in the third quarterGo-ahead score for Colorado in the third quarterD.Taylor rush right for 18 yards gain to the UTAH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference
How scary each game got
Utah won all 8 games; the closest win was against Houston, down to 14%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Utah during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Utah
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · UtahWayshawn Parker leads Utah with 726 rushing yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+16 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Utah fields an elite offense behind an elite defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Utah reads strongest in success rate (top 5%) and rushing EPA (top 8%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Utah sits at the 10th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Utah is worth +3.2 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 31st percentile of 133 programs
82% at home, 62% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (36-8 home, 28-17 away). Interval ±3.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Utah has beaten the number by +1.8 more at home than away over 97 games. That is inside the ±5.7 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Rice-Eccles Stadium seats 51,444 and has averaged 101% full (52,185, 30 games reported). Visitors cover a median 585 miles to get here since 2018 — 32nd-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 30% of the 2026 roster (32 of 107 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 52 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- CloserWayshawn Parker gets less work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict: not the trusted closer raw carries might suggest, and what late usage he does get skews toward mop-up duty in blowouts.
- Deep threatLarry Simmons is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatRyan Davis is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Wayshawn Parker and Daniel Bray split the carries (106/137 vs 31/137) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Braden Pegan (WR) and Noah Bennee (TE) split the targets (55/76 vs 21/76) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Utah actually scores
96th percentile quality, 7th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Utah’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 63rd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 89th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Utah hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
94th percentile success on standard downs, 98th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Utah by half
1st-half offense ranks 95th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 99th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Utah’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.26; 83rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.08. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.51 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Utah’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (72.1% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 201-play sample) — mid-pack, 131 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Utah’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (61.2% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 209-play sample) — stingiest, 2 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 40% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~52% league rate.
2 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 17% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~18% league rate.
9 interceptions of 53 disrupted passes (44 deflected, 9 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Winning the penalty battle: 46 penalties committed vs. 56 drawn on opponents, a 80-yard edge.
399 penalty yards committed vs. 479 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Utah
Most similar programs · UtahReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT · 4,631 ft above sea level
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 45°, between 35° and 58° in about 7 in 10 games (34 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 65°, and 8 in 10 ran between 43° and 82° (53 road games).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.