Utah Tech at Montana

Away
Utah Tech
0-2 L6 · Hibernating
Home
Montana
2-0 W3 · Warming
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:00 PM · Washington-Grizzly Stadium

How they got here

Last two games

Utah Tech · 0-2

Picked #237 in the preseason · now #176 — better than expected.

Two straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 7–63 @ BYUTop 25 #17 of 669

lost by 56 as a 50.5-point underdog

L 0–54 vs Montana State #100 of 669

lost by 54 as a 32.5-point underdog

Last two games

Montana · 2-0

Picked #93 in the preseason · now #107.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 45–10 vs Drake #212 of 669

won by 35 as a 35.5-point favorite

W 28–21 vs Southern Utah #149 of 669

won by 7 as a 15.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Utah Tech

  • Utah Tech is 2 games back in Big Sky with 9 left to make it up.
  • Utah Tech is still shaking off a 21-point loss.

Montana

  • Montana controls first place in Big Sky with 8 games left.
  • Montana is coming off a 21-point win.

The series

Montana leads the series 3-0

3 meetings since 2021 · Montana has won the last 3

  • 2026Montana 35–14
  • 2023Montana 43–13
  • 2021Montana 31–14

The line, and the room

The model and the market don’t fully agree on Montana’s chances here.

evenModel 95% · Market 100%Utah TechMontana

Home −35.5 · O/U 56.5

Conditions

63°F · 3 mph wind · Cloudy

Montana is worth +11.8 points (±8.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.

83% at home, 29% on the road against FBS opponents (5–1 home, 2–5 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +5.3 at home vs. away over 54 games — inside the ±8.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 674 miles to get here.

Utah Tech 14 – Montana 35

Montana 35: 71%Utah Tech 14: 29%

Called it — picked Montana to win.

Recent games

Montana

  • Wk 1Wvs Southern Utah28-21
  • Wk 1Wvs Drake45-10

Utah Tech

  • Wk 1Lvs Montana State0-54
  • Wk 1Lat BYU7-63

Trajectory

-1.32-6.76-12.21Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2Utah TechMontana

Conference standings

  • Montana#12-0
  • Utah Tech#130-2

Montana won 35-14, as picked pregame.