Montana beats Utah Tech 35-14

Utah Tech0-314
Montana3-035Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Washington-Grizzly Stadium, Missoula, Mont. · Crowd 25,418ESPN+

Montana beat Utah Tech 35-14.

We had Montana favored. It won.

Next: Utah Tech lost to Northern Arizona 35-23, Sat Sep 19

Next: Montana lost to Oregon State 52-17, Sat Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Montana a 95% chance, and the closing betting line (Montana was a 35.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Montana led by 7 after the first quarter and by 21 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+28+21

Favored the whole way: Montana never fell below 98%.

Utah Tech never had better than a 2% chance.

FinalMontana 35-14 Utah TechMontana wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4MontanaWon35-14Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4MontanaWon35-14Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4MontanaLowest 0%Lost14-35Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4MontanaLowest 0%Lost14-35Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Montana’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Montana -35.5), at 99% for Montana (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Montana scored on 5 of its 14 drives; Utah Tech on 2 of its 14.

Montana’s drives are teal, Utah Tech’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Utah Tech: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 39FumbleMontana: Touchdown, from 61 yards out to 0TouchdownUtah Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntMontana: Punt, from 73 yards out to 60PuntUtah Tech: Punt, from 80 yards out to 92PuntMontana: Touchdown, from 32 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Utah Tech: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 0FumbleMontana: Punt, from 80 yards out to 71PuntUtah Tech: Punt, from 72 yards out to 65PuntMontana: Punt, from 85 yards out to 75PuntUtah Tech: Missed field goal, from 60 yards out to 28Missed FGMontana: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownUtah Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 55PuntMontana: Missed field goal, from 80 yards out to 37Missed FGQ3Montana: Punt, from 89 yards out to 59PuntUtah Tech: Punt, from 82 yards out to 79PuntMontana: Turned over on downs, from 45 yards out to 14DownsUtah Tech: Punt, from 86 yards out to 63PuntMontana: Punt, from 90 yards out to 63PuntQ4Utah Tech: Missed field goal, from 83 yards out to 34Missed FGMontana: Touchdown, from 66 yards out to 0TouchdownUtah Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownMontana: Touchdown, from 57 yards out to 0TouchdownUtah Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 80PuntMontana: Punt, from 63 yards out to 60PuntUtah Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownMontana: Punt, from 75 yards out to 45PuntUtah Tech: End of game, from 94 yards out to 85End of game

Box score

Montana 35, Utah Tech 14

Utah Tech covered +35.5 by 14.5. The total, 49, stayed under 56.5.

Utah Tech leaders

  • Passing Bronson Barben 21 of 35, 301 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Asa Chatman 21 for 95 yds; Daron Tyson 2 for 9 yds
  • Receiving Mike Williams 3 for 80 yds, 1 TD; Will Greene 1 for 51 yds

Montana leaders

  • Passing Keali'i Ah Yat 25 of 35, 246 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Eli Gillman 17 for 147 yds, 3 TD; Dylan Paine 5 for 80 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Brooks Davis 12 for 151 yds; Lekeldrick Bridges 2 for 24 yds, 1 TD

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Utah Tech · 0-2

Rated 237th in our preseason ratings, 224th now, up 13 spots.

Two straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 7-63 @ BYUTop 25 #9 of 668

lost by 56 as a 50.5-point underdog

Utah Tech lost 7-63 at BYU. Never had a real chance.

Last two games

Montana · 2-0

Rated 93rd in our preseason ratings, 99th now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

Week by week

Montana

Wk 1: W 28-21 vs Southern Utah▲7Southern UtahWk 1: W 45-10 vs Drake▲35Drake
  • Wk 1Wvs Southern Utah28-21
  • Wk 1Wvs Drake45-10

Utah Tech

Wk 1: L 0-54 vs Montana State▼54Montana StateWk 1: L 7-63 at BYU▼56BYU
  • Wk 1Lvs Montana State0-54
  • Wk 1Lat BYU7-63

The series

Montana leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 2021 · Montana has won the last 2

  • 2023Montana 43-13
  • 2021Montana 31-14

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Montana’s chances here.

50-50Model 95% · Line 100%Utah TechMontana

Montana favored by 35.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

Montana by 35.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward Utah Tech.

opened −38.5now −35.5

Spread: −38.5 → −35.5

Home field

Montana is worth +13.2 points (±7.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.

83% at home, 25% on the road against FBS opponents (5-1 home, 2-6 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.4 at home vs. away over 60 games — inside the ±8.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 674 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.