CFB Zeitgeist Score
15
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 68th percentile.
Bryce Duke
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
86 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 16 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Utah for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Utah
Returning around him
- 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 3 Utah players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -3 net (17 in / 20 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Utah · Last season: 11-2 (AP #15) · Talent rank #44 · 2026 recruiting class #40
RB · UTAH · BIG 12
Bryce Duke
- 4
- #25
- 6-0 | 210 lb
- Leesburg, VA
Heisman Heat
#3632
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+46%
Up 46% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Bryce Duke
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Bryce Duke
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 5g
86Rush yards
16Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
17.2Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
223.6Rush yards
42Carries
0Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 86): needs 83/game over remaining 8.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 86): needs 114.2/game over remaining 8.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 86): needs 176.8/game over remaining 8.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 8.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.9/game over remaining 8.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 8.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Bryce Duke's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Utah, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
16 36th
YDS
86 38th
YPC
5.4 72nd
TD
0 40th
Receiving
REC
2 25th
YDS
6 12th
YPR
3.0 11th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 5 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 43-10@ UCLA | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 2 | W 63-9vs Cal Poly | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 5 | W 48-14@ West Virginia | 5 | 26 | 5.2 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 7 | W 42-10vs Arizona State | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 9 | W 53-7vs Colorado | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | 14 | Season-high 32 yds |
| Total | 16 | 86 | 5.2 | 0 | 14 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Virginia Tech3-8HC: Brent Pry · Balanced
2023Virginia Tech7-6HC: Brent Pry · Run-leaning
2025Utah11-2HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah | 16 | 86 | 5.4 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | 11 | 69 | 6.3 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Virginia Tech | 18 | 59 | 3.3 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 45 | 214 | 4.8 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Virginia Tech | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 7 | 54 | 7.7 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 86 | #455/735 | 38th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.4 | #206/735 | 72nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 2 | #414/552 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 6 | #485/548 | 12th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 5.2% | #530/738 | 28th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 16 | #475/739 | 36th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 14 | #488/733 | 34th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 4 | #504/540 | 7th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 3.0 | #489/548 | 11th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 6.9% | #577/738 | 22nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.8% | #410/738 | 45th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.5% | #539/738 | 27th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.4% | #538/738 | 27th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.0% | #611/738 | 17th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.8% | #533/738 | 28th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.0% | #401/738 | 46th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 5 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 16.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
| Road2g | 18.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 17.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 13.5 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+1g | 32.0 | 10.7 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
15Below cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Bryce DukeUtahJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 45% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 43% simTae MeadowsTroy· 41% sim
Yards / carry
Receptions
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Long run
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kyle Whittingham
Pass share
39.8%
371 pass / 562 run
Plays / game
71.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.2%
289 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2023
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2025
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
Played his entire career under Kyle Whittingham.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLeesburg, VA
Height6'0"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey25
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUtah
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Old Dominion | RB4 | #3632 | #3871 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | RB4 | #1349 | #1343 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Virginia Tech | RB4 | #2240 | #2608 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah | Big 12 | RB | 4 | No. 25 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Leesburg, VA |
| 2024 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 25 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Leesburg, VA |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 25 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Leesburg, VA |
| 2022 | Virginia Tech | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 25 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Leesburg, VA |