CFB Zeitgeist Score
71
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 92nd percentile.
Dominic Richardson
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Dominic Richardson arrives at Tulsa with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
1,065RUSH YDS5RUSH TD212CARRIES
RUSHING VALUE · WEPA
+0.12
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 192 plays
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Tulsa for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Tulsa
Returning around him
- 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -1 net (21 in / 22 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Tulsa · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #85 · 2026 recruiting class #109
RB · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Dominic Richardson
- 4
- #21
- 6-0 | 210 lb
- Oklahoma City, OK
Heisman Heat
#796
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025+186%
Up 186% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8704 | No. 682 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State -> Tulsa | 3-star | 0.8100 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Oklahoma State -> Baylor | 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (1065).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8704
#682 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Dominic Richardson
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Dominic Richardson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
1,065Rush yards
212Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
96.8Rush yards
19Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
1,259Rush yards
251Carries
6Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,065.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,065.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 1,065): needs 217.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 7.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Dominic Richardson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulsa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
212 97th
YDS
1,065 96th
YPC
5.0 62nd
TD
5 85th
Receiving
REC
20 87th
YDS
130 78th
YPR
6.5 45th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 35-7vs Abilene Christian | 20 | 142 | 7.1 | 1 | 57 | |
| Wk 2 | L 14-21@ New Mexico State | 20 | 93 | 4.7 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 3 | L 23-42vs Navy | 13 | 61 | 4.7 | 1 | 16 | |
| Wk 4 | W 19-12@ Oklahoma State | 31 | 146 | 4.7 | 0 | 39 | |
| Wk 5 | L 14-31vs Tulane | 14 | 48 | 3.4 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 6 | L 7-45@ Memphis | 14 | 48 | 3.4 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 8 | L 27-41@ East Carolina | 17 | 59 | 3.5 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 9 | L 37-38vs Temple | 19 | 78 | 4.1 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-40@ Florida Atlantic | 9 | 21 | 2.3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 12 | W 31-14vs Oregon State | 27 | 166 | 6.1 | 1 | 24 | 166-yard day |
| Wk 13 | W 26-25@ Army | 28 | 203 | 7.3 | 1 | 20 | Season-high 203 yds |
| Total | 212 | 1065 | 4.7 | 5 | 57 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Oklahoma State11-2HC: Mike Gundy · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Oklahoma State7-6HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Baylor3-9HC: Dave Aranda · Balanced
2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulsa | 212 | 1,065 | 5.0 | 5 | -- |
| 2024 | Baylor | 31 | 109 | 3.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Baylor | 125 | 519 | 4.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Oklahoma State | 149 | 543 | 3.6 | 8 | -- |
| 2021 | Oklahoma State | 79 | 373 | 4.7 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 596 | 2,609 | 4.4 | 18 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulsa | 20 | 130 | 6.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | Baylor | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Baylor | 21 | 152 | 7.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Oklahoma State | 22 | 220 | 10.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Oklahoma State | 7 | 54 | 7.7 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 71 | 575 | 8.1 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 1,065 | #29/735 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #115/739 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #280/735 | 62nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 20 | #73/552 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 130 | #119/548 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.12 | #173/362 | 52nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 192 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 28.4% | #20/738 | 97th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 212 | #20/739 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 57 | #118/733 | 84th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 22 | #198/540 | 64th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.5 | #302/548 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 49.5% | #16/738 | 98th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 35.2% | #13/738 | 98th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 31.4% | #27/738 | 96th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 25.1% | #47/738 | 94th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 22.5% | #15/738 | 98th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 21.7% | #13/738 | 98th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.3% | #72/738 | 90th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 99.0 | 5.1 | 0.8 |
| Road6g | 95.0 | 4.3 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 164 | 6.3 | 0.8 |
| Losses7g | 58.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 89.7 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 105 | 4.7 | 0.6 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
71Solid starter
Elite: carries (94th). Strength: rush yards (91st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.12Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Dominic RichardsonTulsaJevon JacksonUAB· 92% simShomari LawrenceMissouri State· 91% simJevyon DuckerTemple· 89% sim
Carries
Rush yards
Receptions
Long run
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Yards / carry
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to George Holani’s 2022 season.
George Holani
77%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Kaytron Allen
All-Big TenNFL Rd 6
76%
#3
Khalan Laborn
All-Sun Belt
74%
#4
Harrison Waylee
All-MAC
75%
#5
Bryson Washington
All-Big 12
74%
Matches George on
Receiving share
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Height
Differs from George on
Rush TD rate (lower)
Class year (higher)
Through 6 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Coleman Bennett’s path through Kennesaw State.
Coleman Bennett
96%match
All-Conference USA
#2
Antonio Harris
94%
#3
Marlon Gunn
94%
#4
Gerrid Doaks
All-AACNFL Rd 7
93%
#5
DeCarlos Brooks
90%
Matches Coleman on
Height
Weight
Yards per carry
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tre Lamb
Pass share
45.9%
407 pass / 480 run
Plays / game
73.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.2%
357 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
3 coaches2021
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2022
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2023era →
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2024
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2025era →
Tre Lamb
Tulsa
Played under 3 different head coaches: Philip Montgomery, Kevin Wilson, and Tre Lamb. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownOklahoma City, OK
Height6'0"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey21
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTulsa
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Baylor | RB4 | #796 | #932 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Baylor | RB4 | #1227 | #1701 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Oklahoma State | RB4 | #359 | #456 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2021 | Oklahoma State | RB4 | #253 | #203 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Tulsa | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Oklahoma City, OK |
| 2024 | Baylor | Big 12 | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Oklahoma City, OK |
| 2023 | Baylor | Big 12 | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Oklahoma City, OK |
| 2022 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Oklahoma City, OK |
| 2021 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Oklahoma City, OK |