Chase Belcher

Senior running back for Kennesaw State. 2025: 566 rushing yards, 2 rushing TD, 13 catches.

RB · Kennesaw State · Sr. · #4

6′0″ · 213 lb · Valdosta, GA

CFB Index 56 · #94 of 326 RBsHigh confidenceReturning to Kennesaw State for 2026

The numbers

566

rushing yards · 2025

2 TD · 5.3 per carry · 13 catches

The play that turned itSwung Kennesaw State from 46% to 78% to win.Kennesaw State at Liberty · 48-42

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 running back for Kennesaw State. 2025: 566 rushing yards, 2 rushing TD, 13 catches.

Signed with Northern Arizona in 2022.
Transferred from West Georgia to Kennesaw State in 2025.

His career, year by year

How he plays

Does a little of everything without one standout trait.

EPA / carry: 72nd percentile.

The full scouting read

Chase Belcher

RB · Kennesaw State · Sr · #4

Does a little of everything without one standout trait. He got to Kennesaw State by way of West Georgia. The receipt: 148 rush yds, 18 rec yds against Western Michigan — Bowl, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
portal record
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2025Kennesaw State10-4HC: Jerry Mack · Run-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

56Quality starter #94 of 326?

High confidence12 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (83rd percentile). Concern: td rate (6th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

EPA / carry#129 / 456 · 72nd pct

0.20

Yards / carry#168 / 456 · 63rd pct

5.3

Success rate#251 / 456 · 45th pct

42.9%

Explosive rate#319 / 456 · 30th pct

4.7%

TD rate#400 / 456 · 6th pct

0.0%

Box-score rates (7)

Rec yards#57 / 338 · 83rd pct

194

Yards / carry#118 / 349 · 65th pct

5.3

Rush yards#130 / 349 · 63rd pct

566

Carries#143 / 349 · 59th pct

107

Receptions#150 / 338 · 54th pct

Long run#166 / 349 · 51st pct

Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct

Season trend

EPA / carry— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Yards / carry— first qualifying season

TD rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Situational

Situational · Carry shape (PBP, full season)

Yardage DNA

107 carries

17%

Stuffed (≤0)

29%

Grind (1–3)

36%

Chunk (4–9)

18%

Explosive (10+)

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Home5g	31.6	3.8	0.2
Road7g	58.3	5.2	0.1

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-75g	41.0	5.1	0.0
Weeks 8+7g	51.6	4.3	0.3

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Jerry Mack

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Starter

A locked-in starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

56 · #94 of 326 RBs

Unranked recruit. Now #94 at the position.

2026 outlook

In the mix for All-Conference USA

Based on 2025: #9 of 28 Conference USA RBs

How the All-Conference USA estimate is computed

35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Kennesaw State	107	566	5.3	2	--
Career		107	566	5.3	2	--

Season	Team
2025	Kennesaw State	13	194	14.9	2	--
Career		13	194	14.9	2	--

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 5 · Middle Tennessee · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +5.25Amari Odom pass complete to Chase Belcher for 53 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)
Week 1 · Western Michigan · 2&9 · Q4 · EPA +3.48No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush left for 46 yards gain to the WMU18 (#3 T.Hallock; #9 J.Camden), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Week 11 · New Mexico State · 2&11 · Q3 · EPA +3.27(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 27 yards gain to the NMSU44 (#9 B.Iya), 1ST DOWN
Week 13 · Missouri State · 3&6 · Q4 · EPA +3.25(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #4 C.Belcher caught at KSU29, for 26 yards to the MSU48 (#0 M.Neal; #9 D.Dixson), 1ST DOWN
Week 9 · Florida International · 3&4 · Q4 · EPA +2.72(01:05) Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:03, 1ST DOWN #27 B.Williams kick attempt good (H: #91 J.Huiet, LS: #43 B.Blanton)
Week 11 · New Mexico State · 3&8 · Q3 · EPA +2.70(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #4 C.Belcher caught at KSU46, for 11 yards to the KSU50 (#13 Q.Davis), 1ST DOWN
Week 2 · Indiana · 2&7 · Q4 · EPA +2.69Chase Belcher run for 24 yds to the IU 48 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Missouri State · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.55(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #4 C.Belcher caught at MSU00, for 14 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:27, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Holding declined #89 D.Kinney kick attempt good (H: #91 J.Huiet, LS: #34 B.Noonan)
Week 12 · Jacksonville State · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.39(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 27 yards gain to the Jax St48 (#43 T.Woods), 1ST DOWN
Week 4 · Arkansas State · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +2.33Chase Belcher run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Wk 2	L 9-56@ Indiana	8	27	3.4	0	24
Wk 4	W 28-21vs Arkansas State	3	14	4.7	0	13
Wk 5	W 24-16vs Middle Tennessee	2	9	4.5	0	5
Wk 7	W 35-7vs Louisiana Tech	2	7	3.5	0	5
Wk 9	W 45-26@ Florida International	12	65	5.4	1	13
Wk 10	W 33-20vs UTEP	24	113	4.7	1	14
Wk 11	W 24-21@ New Mexico State	13	81	6.2	0	27
Wk 12	L 26-35@ Jacksonville State	8	62	7.8	0	27
Wk 13	W 41-34vs Missouri State	11	15	1.4	0	14
Wk 14	W 48-42@ Liberty	7	24	3.4	0	15
Wk 15	W 19-15@ Jacksonville State	1	1	1.0	0	1
Bowl	L 6-41@ Western Michigan	16	148	9.3	0	46
Total		107	566	4.6	2	46

How he plays

Play style

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

CFB Index positional classification

Closer · Q4-with-lead carry share

The closer

~ our read

21.1%Carry share

27.4%Q4-lead share

73.9%In competitive games

21.1% of carries overall (107/506) → 27.4% of Q4-with-lead carries (23/84) — 73.9% of those in competitive (≤16-pt) games.

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

4/23Inside-5 share

4 of the team's 23 inside-the-5 carries (17.4%).

2026 Outlook

Kennesaw State

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Kennesaw State

Returning around him

6% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
Transfer portal: +10 net (29 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kennesaw State · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #133 · 2026 recruiting class #120

DNA match

Player DNA

Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Seth McGowan’s 2024 season.

Seth McGowan

78%match

New Mexico State · 2024

All-Conference USANFL Rd 7

Owen Allen

Air Force · 2025

72%

Dawaiian McNeely

Wyoming · 2022

70%

Donerio Davenport

Texas State · 2023

70%

Hayden Reed

Army · 2024

70%

Matches Seth on

Yards / carry

EPA / carry (adj)

Receiving share

Differs from Seth on

Yards / reception (higher)

Height (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Trey Ragas’s path through Louisiana.

Trey Ragas

97%match

Louisiana · 2020

All-Sun Belt

Cooper Wallace

The Citadel · 2024

97%

Cade Yacamelli

Wisconsin · 2025

96%

Darius Taylor

Minnesota · 2025

96%

Calvin Turner

Hawai'i · 2020

All-Mountain West

96%

Matches Trey on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ronald Awatt's sophomore season at UTEP (2021).

Ronald Awatt

77%match

UTEP · 2021

Ari Broussard

Rice · 2021

76%

Seth McGowan

New Mexico State · 2024

All-Conference USANFL Rd 7

76%

Owen Allen

Air Force · 2025

76%

Tayvon Ruley

Temple · 2021

76%

Matches Ronald on

Yards / carry

Total rush EPA (college ability)

EPA / carry (adj)

Differs from Ronald on

Rush TD rate (lower)

Receiving share (higher)

Player DNA

Players who play like Chase Belcher

Ousmane Kromah

Florida State · 2025

62%

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

2022

202512 games

2025 snapshot

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

Starter

Career stats

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Balanced Back

Players who play like Chase Belcher