cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Darius Taylor /Minnesota

Darius Taylor

RB · Minnesota · Jr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

670 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 143 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Minnesota for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Minnesota for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Minnesota · editorial

Returning around him

  • 44% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Minnesota player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (19 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

  • Doak Walker

Minnesota · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #41 · 2026 recruiting class #49

RB · MINNESOTA · BIG TEN

Darius Taylor

  • 3
  • #1
  • 6-0 | 215 lb
  • Detroit, MI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

68

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#75

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2023

Minnesota · RB

2024

Minnesota · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Minnesota · RB

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
7992023
9862024
6702025

-16%

Down 16% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#354 national
CFB
College
Minnesota
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey1
Measurements6-0 | 215 lb
HometownDetroit, MI
Primary teamMinnesota

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 354 recruit
Composite rating 0.8981 HighSchool
Signed with Minnesota 2023
Origin Walled Lake Western Walled Lake, MI, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.8981 No. 354 recruit | HighSchool | Minnesota

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#75Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#129Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (670).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Minnesota

Composite

0.8981

#354 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Darius Taylor

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "BUCKEYES BATTLE GOPHERS: Can Minnesota's Drake Lindsey Upset Ohio State? Ohio St"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Darius Taylor

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per carry

4.7

yds

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #44 of 69
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 37th

Why it matters

#44 of 69 P4 + Notre Dame RBs at 4.7 yards per carry (143 carries).

Vs cohort

This player 4.7 (37th)

HIGH · n=143 cohort 69

  • Also strong
  • Rushing yards (total)#34 / 69
  • Rushing WEPA per carry#61 / 66

Signature Moment

Week 8 vs Nebraska — 148 ypc

Result W 24-6

The week the volume broke through — put up 148 yds vs Nebraska.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
670Rush yards
143Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
67Rush yards
14Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
871Rush yards
186Carries
5Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 670): needs 26.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 670): needs 110/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 670): needs 276.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 5.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Darius Taylor is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 670 rushing yards, 34 catches, and 0 return yards for Minnesota. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #75 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 32.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 354 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 915 670 rush | 245 rec | #98/735 (87th pct)
Rush TD 4 143 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 4.7 Per-rush efficiency | #343/735 (53rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
143 90th
YDS
670 87th
YPC
4.7 53rd
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
34 97th
YDS
245 95th
YPR
7.2 55th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 23-10vs Buffalo301414.7018
Wk 2W 66-0vs Northwestern State3206.7017
Wk 6L 3-42@ Ohio State8121.505
Wk 7W 27-20vs Purdue14322.309
Wk 8W 24-6vs Nebraska241486.2171Season-high 148 yds
Wk 9L 3-41@ Iowa111.001
Wk 12L 13-42@ Oregon10575.7023
Wk 13L 35-38@ Northwestern10434.3127
Wk 14W 17-7vs Wisconsin191005.3149
BowlW 20-17vs New Mexico241164.8138
Total1436704.2471
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Minnesota6-7HC: P.J. Fleck · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced
2025Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota1436704.74--
2024Minnesota2059864.810--
2023Minnesota1387995.85--
Career3 loaded seasons4862,4555.119--
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota342457.20--
2024Minnesota543506.52--
2023Minnesota11928.40--
Career3 loaded seasons996876.92--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 34 245 rec yds | #20/552 (97th pct)
Usage 32.8% 50.0% rush share | #6/738 (99th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.04 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #309/362 (15th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 670 #98/735 87th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.7 #343/735 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 34 #20/552 97th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 245 #31/548 95th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.04 #309/362 15th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 112 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 32.8% #6/738 99th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 143 #76/739 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 71 #58/733 92nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 40 #71/540 87th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.2 #250/548 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 50.0% #15/738 98th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 35.7% #4/738 100th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 34.5% #15/738 98th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 32.4% #23/738 97th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 29.6% #3/738 100th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 29.0% #1/738 100th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 17.9% #1/738 100th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g92.85.00.5
Road4g28.23.10.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g92.85.00.5
Losses4g28.23.10.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g64.24.00.2
Weeks 8+5g69.84.50.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

68Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (93rd). Strength: rec yards (91st).

Receptions#20 / 338 · 94th pct
34rece
Rec yards#30 / 338 · 91st pct
245rece
Long run#53 / 349 · 85th pct
71rush
Carries#76 / 349 · 78th pct
143rush
Rush yards#98 / 349 · 72nd pct
670rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Yards / carry#200 / 349 · 41st pct
4.7rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.04Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Darius TaylorMinnesotaDean ConnorsHouston· 86% simCarson HansenIowa State· 83% simDominic RichardsonTulsa· 83% sim
Receptions
94
Taylor
94
Connors
75
Hansen
78
Richardson
Rec yards
91
Taylor
92
Connors
70
Hansen
67
Richardson
Long run
85
Taylor
64
Connors
78
Hansen
68
Richardson
Carries
78
Taylor
93
Connors
91
Hansen
94
Richardson
Rush yards
72
Taylor
88
Connors
87
Hansen
92
Richardson
Rush TDs
50
Taylor
72
Connors
72
Hansen
62
Richardson
Yards / carry
41
Taylor
49
Connors
58
Hansen
53
Richardson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Satellite Back

Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ari Broussard’s 2021 season.

Ari Broussard

83%match

Rice · 2021

#2

Jirehl Brock

Iowa State · 2022

83%
#3

Jaylon Armstead

San Diego State · 2022

74%
#4

Jase McClellan

Alabama · 2021

NFL Rd 6
76%
#5

Antonio Harris

Purdue · 2025

74%

Matches Ari on

Rush TD rate
Yards / carry
Weight

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Julius Loughridge’s path through Fordham.

Julius Loughridge

100%match

Fordham · 2024

#2

Corey Taylor II

Tulsa · 2020

100%
#3

Cooper Wallace

The Citadel · 2024

97%
#4

CJ Marable

Coastal Carolina · 2020

97%
#5

Jordan Waters

NC State · 2024

94%

Matches Julius on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jirehl Brock's junior season at Iowa State (2022).

Jirehl Brock

78%match

Iowa State · 2022

#2

Evan Hull

Northwestern · 2022

NFL Rd 5
77%
#3

Roman Hemby

Maryland · 2023

All-Big Ten
73%
#4

Dylan Carson

Air Force · 2025

70%
#5

Jaylon Armstead

San Diego State · 2022

70%

Matches Jirehl on

Yards / carry
Receiving share
Weight

Differs from Jirehl on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

P.J. Fleck

Pass share

51.7%

397 pass / 371 run

Plays / game

59.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2024
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2025
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota

Played his entire career under P.J. Fleck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDetroit, MI
Height6'0"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Big Ten OTHE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Minnesota RB3 #75 #129 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Minnesota RB3 #464 #658 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Minnesota Big Ten RB 3 No. 1 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Detroit, MI
2024 Minnesota Big Ten RB 3 No. 1 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Detroit, MI
2023 Minnesota Big Ten RB 3 No. 1 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Detroit, MI